Rich Brutcher

[Rich Brutcher @brutch13]

@DavidKWilliams Big name doesn't always mean smooth trading. Could get messy if buyers don't show up at the right time.

[FX Team_Nasdaq|S&P500|US stock pick Trades @DavidKWilliams]

$SPCX could become one of the biggest liquidity tests of the year. 🚨

SpaceX’s IPO is approaching on June 12.

Right now, the market only sees one thing:

Elon Musk.
SpaceX.
Starlink.
One of the hottest IPO stories in history.
But the real risk is not the hype.
It is liquidity.
If $SPCX comes to market near a $1.75T valuation, this is not a normal IPO.

This is a massive capital reallocation event.

Funds that want exposure to $SPCX need cash first.

And where does that cash come from?

It does not appear from nowhere.

It comes from selling assets they already own.

High-beta tech stocks.
AI names.
Crypto.
Crowded trades.
Stocks that already ran too far.

That is the risk most people are ignoring.

Everyone sees the SpaceX story.
Very few people see the forced positioning behind it.

If the impact is mild, the market may only see short-term volatility.
If the funding pressure gets stronger, high-beta tech could be sold first, and Bitcoin or crypto assets could follow.
But if everyone rushes into $SPCX at the same time, the problem becomes much bigger:
Liquidity gets pulled out of the most crowded trades.
Stocks may not fall slowly.
Crypto may not fall slowly.
High-volatility assets usually get hit first.

That is the real risk I am watching.

The market is already crowded.
The AI trade is already hot.
Crypto is already showing weakness.
Liquidity is not as deep as most people think.
Now one of the most hyped IPOs in history is about to demand more capital.

Connect the dots:

If institutions want $SPCX,
they need dollars.

To get dollars,
they need to sell assets.

And when too many people sell at the same time,
the market does not adjust gently.

It reprices fast.
I am not saying $SPCX is not worth watching.
Exactly the opposite.

It is worth watching because it is too big, too hyped, and too attractive to ignore.

That is why it could become a liquidity stress test for the entire market.
Retail traders see the IPO dream.
Institutions see capital allocation.
The market eventually sees who sells first, who sells later, and who is forced to sell.
My view is simple:
Before $SPCX goes public, do not only ask how much SpaceX can rise.

Ask where the money will come from.

If capital starts leaving AI, tech stocks, and crypto, that is not normal volatility.

That is liquidity being pulled out.
Starting from the June 8 market open, positioning begins for real.

This is not panic.
This is risk management.

The crowd watches the hype.
I watch the money flow. 📊🔥
Not financial advice.

[Rich Brutcher @brutch13]

@saffronroseacts These numbers are wild. If Google needs to outsource this much compute, it really shows how fast AI is outpacing even the biggest internal capabilities.

[Rich Brutcher @brutch13]

@jacknapierlive I think the cloud division still has a lot to prove before I'd call it a major pillar.

[Rich Brutcher @brutch13]

@AliShahReinvent Everyone piles into NVDA or TSM, but process control is the boring stuff that actually makes or kills a fab's yield. KLA's moat is real.

[Rich Brutcher @brutch13]

@MissBehave2121 I keep hearing about all these other revenue streams but the earnings still show cars making up the bulk. FSD and robotaxi feel years away from real profit.

[FX_Beckett-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @MissBehave2121]

🚨 $TSLA isn't acting like your typical car company.

Current price: $391.00
Today: -6.61%
Market cap: ~$1.38T
Everyone keeps focusing on Tesla's car sales.
But that's just one piece of the puzzle.

The real $TSLA story goes deeper:

EV production
Energy storage
FSD
Robotaxi
AI robotics
Software ecosystem

If Tesla stays just an EV maker, the stock looks pricey.

But if it becomes an AI mobility platform, everything shifts.
That's why $TSLA is always high-risk, high-reward.
My take:
I'm into the long-term idea.
But I wouldn't jump in after big price moves.
I'm keeping an eye on:
$TSLA — wait for dips
$NVDA — AI processing power
$GOOG / $MSFT — AI platforms
$AVGO / $TSM — AI chips

Don't buy into hype.
Wait for price support.
Only buy when the risk-reward is in your favor. 🚀

Not financial advice.

[Rich Brutcher @brutch13]

@flakeybrunette Crazy numbers. Curious if Google's getting anything exclusive out of this or just standard cloud rates.

[Rich Brutcher @brutch13]

@Cobtribefan Wild swings like that make me wonder how much is actual demand vs just traders piling on the hype.

[Rich Brutcher @brutch13]

@DavidKWilliams 100x by 2030? That sounds like a number pulled from thin air to get attention. I'd like to see the actual math behind it.

[FX Team_Nasdaq|S&P500|US stock pick Trades @DavidKWilliams]

Goldman Sachs just put a massive number on the SpaceX AI story.
They are projecting SpaceX’s AI revenue could explode 100x by 2030.
That is not a small upgrade.
That is a full narrative reset. 🔥
The market keeps looking at SpaceX as only a rocket company.
Wrong.
SpaceX is becoming:
satellites
Starlink
space infrastructure
AI data networks
global connectivity
future compute distribution
If AI needs data, compute, and global infrastructure, then SpaceX may become one of the most important private companies in the entire AI economy.
This is why investors are watching the SpaceX / $TSLA / $SPCX narrative so closely.
Rockets were phase one.
AI infrastructure could be the real monster story. 🚀

[Rich Brutcher @brutch13]

@BlockheadsMedia Short-term traders love these swings but I’d rather wait to see if it holds above $135 before jumping in. Chop city.

[Rich Brutcher @brutch13]

@omgitsbunnie Gotta wonder if that spike was just algos piling on before the rug pull. Long-term story might still hold, but watching it bleed back that fast would make me cautious about jumping in now.

[FX_Everly-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @omgitsbunnie]

🚨 $MSFT just hit a major technical level.
It shot up from around $412 to nearly $466 in just two days.
That was a solid run.
But after that fast move, the stock quickly dropped back and now sits near $427. 📉
Here’s what that means:
Long term, things look good, but short-term selling is obviously happening.
The key support I’m watching is $419–$423. 🎯
That’s where buyers need to step in.
If $MSFT holds here, the bullish setup stays, and we could see another bounce.
But if this level breaks, the market might start pricing in more downside, especially with everything else slowing down.
Right now, it’s not just about Microsoft.
The whole U.S. market is cooling off.
$SPX is struggling.
$NDX is dropping.
$QQQ is losing steam.
Mega-cap tech isn’t going straight up anymore.
Why?
After the big AI rally, the market needs time to process valuations, earnings, and risk.
For $MSFT, the long-term story is still solid.
Azure cloud growth.
Enterprise AI.
Copilot.
Office ecosystem.
Windows.
LinkedIn.
Enterprise software.
These aren’t just short-term hype. They’re real business drivers. 🚀
But even great stocks pull back.
So I wouldn’t just jump into $MSFT here.
My plan:
Watch $419–$423.
Watch $SPX, $NDX, and $QQQ.
Watch if buyers defend support.
Watch if volume picks up.
If support holds, it might be a great pullback entry.
If it breaks, short-term risk goes up.
Long term, I’m still bullish on $MSFT.
Short term, patience matters more than emotion.
⚠️ This is just market analysis, not financial advice. Do your own research.

[Rich Brutcher @brutch13]

@josephcurl I've seen these quick moves before, they trap a lot of people chasing the top. $209 support might hold but I'm staying on the sidelines till it settles.