WE'RE GIVING AWAY 2 TICKETS TO THE #FIFAWORLDCUP 2026™ FINAL 🏆🏟️👀
1. Follow @KrakenFX
2. Repost this post
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T&Cs apply. Good luck!!
@QwQiao love this idea as a way to work through my backlog of ideas/things to write about.
what’s your current setup for writing the articles? any specific tools/models you like best for this?
HANTAVIRUS SITUATION SUMMARY
The Andes-strain hantavirus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship is tragic. But I estimate a <1% chance this becomes a pandemic. It is on track to self-extinguish within weeks.
This outbreak fits the well-characterized 30-year epidemiology of Andes virus. Transmission requires very close, prolonged contact (e.g. a shared bed or intimate caregiving). It does not work with mere airborne exposure like the coronavirus. This severely limits the potential for this to spread and become a pandemic. R0 in casual-contact settings is effectively zero; in intimate-contact settings it appears to be modestly above 1 but not self-sustaining once contact patterns break.
No Andes outbreak has historically produced sustained chains beyond close-contact networks. The largest documented event is the 2018–19 Epuyén outbreak with 34 cases, 11 deaths, traced through identifiable contact chains, then over.
Cruise ships are unusually efficient amplifiers of shared-air, shared-surface, shared-meal pathogens. Likely one (or two) rodent-acquired index cases from Patagonia, then a small fan-out among cabin-sharing close contacts, with no evidence of transmission outside that pattern. Furthermore, every passenger and crew member is known + tracked.
The bad news is that the case fatality is genuinely high (~35–50%) with no antiviral available. Very dangerous for those exposed.
@cameldck@cobie@mirza Dan was employee no. 20 at Coinbase. His wife worked at SpaceX and Opendoor.
but yeah, probably just bought nice houses because he’s a scammer.
@atalantis7 CT consensus (the ppl I think are smart at least) is to expect a cooldown soon
everyone v bulled up rn so expressing caution probably smart