Cameron O’Leary

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@ECaliberSeven How did this change so quickly? Did Dems send in cavalry?

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@Brendan_Duke @brianbeutler Aren’t all of these investments subject to the QSBS now so it doesn’t matter?

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@patdennis Some good policy makes people feel worse though (making everything whole price from the off instead of price + fees when you check out for example)

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@LPDonovan @JBSDC They are headquartered in California

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@conorsen He’s at 97 right now 😂

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@DanRosenheck There were 3 real candidates there, now we have just 2!

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@BullandBaird Well for one the post inflation, post tax return of atleast 6 of these is negative so that helps.

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@conorsen @LPDonovan A boyish smile from the South can save them…

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@electionsjoe I think it���s very hard to expect polling miss odds to be equal for both sides at 55/45. At a minimum there’s just more voters who have voted for both parties in that 55 than the 45 so you’d always expect a higher chance of a polling miss benefiting the smaller number.

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@AlexanderMcCoy4 Thank you!

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@ECaliberSeven Would make sense that Jackson gains ground on home turf…but that’s narrative creation.

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@michaelbd @ModeledBehavior Yes, Microsoft paid social security taxes.

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@ECaliberSeven Iowa Texas and Florida would be more left for me, if calibrating to this forecast. But I think it’s actually that the Senates too kind, Iowa is likely R IMO.

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@LoganMohtashami Long term sure…but post 2008 regulation has taken some high interest, low credit score mortgages out of the average mix, computers have made origination cheaper and you’d expect some drift down from barriers to Fed Policy effectiveness over the years to further winnow

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@StatisticUrban Markey

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@ECaliberSeven 1/3 of their time in the Senate will be under Trump. 1/3 will be first term of a Dem Presidency trying to just staff government with competent people again. 1/3 will be in the minority. Meh.

[Cameron O’Leary @camtrakacela]

@Noahpinion Has nothing to do with deficits. Expansion in real yields and inflation expectations.