@WalrusQuant Nice summary. My only comment is that no sportsbook is setting the line on the mean.
They don't care how far over or under you go. Sportsbook lines are set on the median. That's why most people look at a player's average and bet the over. Wrongly.
@MattRybaltowski I wouldn't expect it to last even 3 seconds. Prediction markets are for algorithmic (bot) trading. If your bot didn't capture an arbitrage event in under 1 second, you need a better bot.
The Ohio Casino Control Commission has banned a bettor from its sports gambling market for allegedly making threats to Toronto Blue Jays manager John Schneider during the 2025 World Series.
Where are Prediction Markets headed?🤨
Answered by the people who are taking us there.
Back in August, I sat down with influential CEOs and market observers to tackle key questions and find common threads.
This week's video is a mash-up of their answers👀⤵️
@bakeage09 Which PM? Since the game is going to be played within a week, most PM’s just roll it over to the new date, but call out anyone charging commission on an event that didn’t happen.
🚨 Unabated NBA Is Back for 2026-27 🚨
Get the fastest NBA news.
We tracked about 11,000 alerts last year against a popular news service and Unabated was first to report over 86% of the time.
That means you're getting to lines before the books respond.
Why would WINNING bettors OPPOSE Responsible Gaming initiatives??? 🤔
Because operators can use them as a SHIELD for keeping out winning bettors.🛡️
Wait until you get a load of this⤵️
This is the RG control panel of a winning user at @HardRockBet in NJ who contacted me:
I support Responsible Gambling initiatives and controls.
But operators will, too often, use it as an excuse to proactively boot winning players.
Then claim that the addicts and victims of gambling compulsion didn't make use of the controls they had available to them.😠
This is in NJ. A state which was once the gold standard for consumer protection in regulated gambling.
However, ever since the state closed down much of the DGE, the operators are running amok. 😒