@DrStoxx That's from a zero hedge article. I like zero hedge and have followed it for many years. I don't think they have ever been bullish, positive on anything.
@Brohawkkk@fundstrat This was already a known. Two-month aggregated changes (Sep to Nov) embedded into the annual numbers, but no discrete November MoM print due to shutdown.
@sweatystartup We have been in a rolling recession for years imo - Cathy Wood touches on it often. Albeit, as we have seen for many years the stock market isn't always correlated to the real economy. Rates should be lower, fed should have started in the summer. Tariff fog didn't help.
@The_AI_Investor I remind myself this is a structural revolution. Not a quarter to quarter earnings report which wall street and some talking heads can't see beyond.
@NickTimiraos the reality is that the fed is behind the curve already. The inflation we saw came from the energy price shock from the Ukraine conflict, yes we had some price pressures from transport, good during covid, but they would have normalised to a degree. Energy is everything.
@onechancefreedm The BLS data is typically revised, as for CPI they use estimates and surveys - evidently workers being furloughed they can't complete those. I think it's time for the BLS to move to more modern processes to collate like truflation for example. All the best.
@ericjackson Need vix to roll over - NVDA should have been the clearing event, but lack of econ data from BLS etc is blowing up the algos as they need the data for the models, no data = sell, ask questions later.
@elerianm Imo, they should have started moving towards neutral rate in the summer. I understand they had concerns over tariff inflation, but also tariffs reduce demand ... so net net, a non event from my perspective or even deflationary. You then have deflationary pressures from AI.