Truly an honor to introduce and welcome former President @BillClinton and former Prime Minister Tony Blair to @CryptoBahamas to cap off an incredible Day 3.
Now that a "peace deal" has been announced, Netanyahu reportedly told Trump that Jews won't withdraw from Lebanon.
In this regard, an Iranian analyst on TV said the solution is as follows:
Given that the very first point of the ceasefire—and therefore its core—is peace on all fronts, especially in Lebanon, and given that the IDF openly said they attacked Dahiyah with the green light from CENTCOM and therefore the Americans are part of it, without a ceasefire and Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon the agreement is void.
Consequently, the best strategy, Vahid Khazab argued, is to act like our enemies. Iran should sign the "deal" but at the same time attack Israel and the Americans anytime they do not abide by the agreements. That is, be part of the agreement but do not abide by it when the enemy does not. In this manner, Iran should now present a one-week scheduled withdrawal from Lebanon to Israel but instead of waiting, even if on day 1 they did not withdraw from city X (which they should have), Iran should attack Israel to show that the agreement is not up for compromise and must be implemented meter by meter until it is fully done on day 7.
Such a move would cause back-and-forth attacks for a few days but that would be far more reasonable and beneficial than signing an agreement and then losing the overall war. This back-and-forth clash itself will be resolved after some days anyway.
In this strategy, Iran is part of the deal and has the legitimacy to enforce it but at the same time has the freedom to attack at will. It is the same strategy Israel is using against Hezbollah, but this time we use it.
A break-up note, quietly published in the AFR…
“Sorry, but I’ve found someone new.”
The fact that the IPA is now backing One Nation, and de-legitimising the Liberals, is significant.
The IPA was founded to assist with the establishment of the Liberal Party.
- It had a seat at the table when the party was forming.
- It wrote the Menzies’ early policy platforms.
- Director CD Kemp (who founded the IPA alongside the Murdochs, Coles, and BHP) left papers from this era that became the official history of the Liberal Party.
- The IPA became an intergenerational power base. Kemp’s two sons were Liberal ex-Ministers.
- The IPA-to-MP pipeline delivered Tim Wilson, John Pesutto, James Paterson and many more.
Now, allies are abandoning ship – not leaping into a void, but abandoning the IPA’s historic free-market ideals and Liberal Party links to chase shifting institutional power.
We can debate whether it’s driven by a desire to maintain relevance, or capture by Rinehart (who bankrolls both One Nation and the IPA) – but the cause is irrelevant and the outcome is the same.
Once the IPA has legitimised One Nation as “mainstream” and de-legitimised the Liberals as implicitly fringe, there’s no going back.
(In the UK, the same story: The Institute of Economic Affairs, a stalwart Tory ally, helped undermine the Tories and drive Reform.)
The IPA has picked a side, and sorry Liberals: it ain’t you.
They’ve run off with some redhead girl from Ipswich, and are going to spend the next few years stringing you along.