Cell Danny

MAGA

[Cell Danny @cell99zero]

@Rogers_tp Nice work spotting it early man 😎

[Roger Smith @Rogers_tp]

I'm expecting less aggressive trading action and possibly lower volume as we head into FOMC - institutions don't like to make big bets ahead of HUGE reports like this.

[Cell Danny @cell99zero]

@rogersmichalski Do you think a reading of 36 is low enough to become interesting for contrarian investors?

[Cell Danny @cell99zero]

@rogersmichalski Do you think investors have become too comfortable with tech always bouncing back quickly?

[Geoff Smith @geoffsmith_pp]

Happy new week. You can see that VOLD and ADD is not really that bad but bonds down right is NOT doing us any favors and bonds are the most important one.

[Roger Michalski @rogersmichalski]

Several weeks ago I started pointing out to you that tech is becoming increasingly vulnerable.

I mentioned that chips are not seeing the reaction they are used to seeing and I mentioned that XLY - discretionary is soft - that led me to fear that tech is going to sell off - I did mention that I'm hoping to see the market cap out XLY and SMH coming into XLC - So far we are seeing EXACTLY that - let's hope it stays that way - otherwise we are all going at QQQ and asking ourselves where's the beef???

[Roger Smith @Rogers_tp]

These are the three market moving events this new week.

[Roger Smith @Rogers_tp]

notice the three top sectors are speculative - and QQQ was leading yesterday as well on the way up - this is positive for now.

[Roger Michalski @rogersmichalski]

TLT bond levels overnight - notice we are right at the lows - not great for the market today.

[Geoff Smith @geoffsmith_pp]

I mentioned this yesterday in the channel that the RSP is breaking the 50 day line - and now it's breaking the QVWAP which is not great.

The next level is the 100 day line - I also don't like that volume was picking up here when these moves were made - that tells us the moves were NOT random.

[Roger Smith @Rogers_tp]

To the surprise of NO ONE - the PPI was even worse than expected - the headline worst case scenario was 5.3 - we got 5.4 - if anyone it the FED tells you that they are making progress on inflation - just show them this data and ask them where's the beef???

[Cell Danny @cell99zero]

@rogersmichalski @jlwoodward2002 That's probably one of the most misunderstood points in income investin

[Cell Danny @cell99zero]

@rogersmichalski Roger, what should investors look at besides the distribution rate when comparing these ETFs?

[Cell Danny @cell99zero]

@rogersmichalski And despite all the changes in the economy since then, the fundamental importance of work hasn't changed.

[Cell Danny @cell99zero]

@rogersmichalski @Sobin68020325 And despite all the changes in the economy since then, the fundamental importance of work hasn't changed.

[Geoff Smith @geoffsmith_pp]

Notice there's no concentration in techs anywhere - they are all spread out within the sectors - that means we don't have strong move pending in tech one way or another - fragmented price action is what I'm expecting and what the market is showing us with only 100 stocks making 1 month highs and 1 month lows.

[Roger Smith @Rogers_tp]

The bond market didn't really rally very much last few sessions and I'm expecting more weakness in light of the strong employment data last week - that gives more juice for the FED to raise rates.

[Cell Danny @cell99zero]

@Rogers_tp The key question is whether the labor strength persists or starts to cool enough to change the Fed’s stance.

[Roger Michalski @rogersmichalski]

The five largest hyperscalers are on track to spend near $760 billion on infrastructure in 2026, nearly double 2025. This is the capex commitment that underwrites the load projections priced into PJM's capacity market.