César Sabas

Geopolitics 🌎

Security Policy @Univ_Toulouse
Political Science USB
International Studies UCV

[César Sabas @CesarSabas]

Hoy en día, la discusión en geopolítica se resume a "Irán no es Venezuela", mientras que Trump dice "sí lo será"

Mientras tanto, los venezolanos en nuestro humillante silencio con la cabeza baja. El chavismo sigue en el poder, pero sin soberanía. Y la oposición como la guayabera

[Clash Report @clashreport]

BREAKING: Trump:

The United States will be hitting Iran (Whose Navy, Air Force, Radar, Anti Aircraft, and all other forms of Defense, together with most its offensive capability, are GONE!), VERY HARD TONIGHT.

At some point in the not too distant future, we will be taking Kharg Island, and other oil infrastructure points, and assume total control of their Oil and Gas Markets, much like we have with Venezuela, which is working out brilliantly for both Venezuela and the United States of America. Thank you for your attention to this matter!

[César Sabas @CesarSabas]

Espero que Keiko Fujimori mantenga la presencia china en Chacay.

Los sudamericanos necesitamos tanto la presencia china como filipinos, surcoreanos y japoneses la estadounidense.

[César Sabas @CesarSabas]

@Abujirji Pronto llegará la hora de PEDIRME PERDÓN por haberse burlado de lo del Bluff.

[César Sabas @CesarSabas]

@dloyorosales @WalterVMG Identificarlos para qué? Para hacer una Lista Tascón a la inversa?

[César Sabas @CesarSabas]

"Justamente es lo que quiere Trump también."

NO SABOTEEN LA AGENDA DEL PRESIDENTE TRUMP ❗❗❗

[Elias Ferrer @FerrerBreda]

Estoy trabajando para que lleguen inversiones a Venezuela, el país que mejor ha tratado y acogido. Es, para mí, el mejor país del mundo.

Justamente es lo que quiere Trump también.

Y justamente es lo opuesto a lo que tú quieres.

Nunca he trabajado para Maduro ni para el Estado. Tampoco he tratado de lavarle la cara, menos por dinero. A esa profesión te dedicas tú, no yo.

[Clash Report @clashreport]

Energy Secretary Chris Wright said he is unaware of any U.S. operation to seize Iranian oil, contradicting earlier remarks by Trump.

[ʜᴇʀQʟᴇs @herqles_es]

🇬🇧 | Se ha identificado a la víctima del criminal sudanés en Belfast como Stephen 'Shaggie' Ogilvie, de 44 años. Se encuentra grave y según las primeras informaciones habría perdido un ojo y la visión en el otro a manos del delincuente importado.

[Simon Kuestenmacher @simongerman600]

Facades matter. Wrocław, Poland in 2007 and in 2026. One looks like a dystopian socialist nightmare, the other looks like a liveable and desirable neighbourhood. Source: https://t.co/CKzmKnWXGh

[Clash Report @clashreport]

U.S. Aircraft Losses, Feb 28 – June 8, 2026

— 1 F-35 ($110M) — hit by Iranian SAM
— 3 F-15E ($90M each) — shot down over Kuwait/Iran
— 1 A-10 — crashed during CSAR operation in Iran
— 1 AH-64 ($35M) — shot down by IRGC over Hormuz
— 1 E-3 Sentry AWACS ($700M est.) — destroyed at PSAB
— 2+ KC-135 Tankers destroyed, 7 damaged
— 28 MQ-9 Reapers + 1 MQ-1C UCAV destroyed
— 1 MQ-4C Triton ($250M)
— 2 MC-130J Commando II ($100M each)
— 1 HH-60M — Iraq
— 1 HH-60W — damaged over Iran
— 2 CH-47 Chinook ($50M each)
— 4 AH-MH Little Bird

Source: @EGYOSINT

[Clash Report @clashreport]

BIG: Iran agreed to halt fire against Israel after the US unfroze $3 billion in Iranian assets, flown from Abu Dhabi to Tehran despite active airspace restrictions — according to an IRGC-affiliated news agency.

The deal was brokered via a Qatari delegation, with the US also promising Israel would restrain its attacks on Lebanon.

Source: KAN

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

Gallup poll | 5/1-5/17 (released 6/9)

Views on moral acceptability by party

(% who say morally acceptable)

Abortion
🟦Democrats: 73%
🟥Republicans: 18%
—
Changing ones gender
🟦Democrats: 60%
🟥Republicans: 5%
—
Gay or lesbian relations
🟦Democrats: 68%
🟥Republicans: 30%
—
Doctor-assisted suicide
🟦Democrats: 68%
🟥Republicans: 30%
—
Sex Between teenagers
🟦Democrats: 54%
🟥Republicans: 16%
—
Sex between an unmarried man and woman
🟦Democrats: 83%
🟥Republicans: 46%
—
Pornography
🟦Democrats: 47%
🟥Republicans: 19%

[Foreign Affairs @ForeignAffairs]

“Khamenei’s death disrupted Iran’s evolution and provided the regime with an opportunity to consolidate,” writes @citrinowicz. “Paradoxically, the external pressure meant to topple the Iranian regime has helped preserve it.”
https://t.co/LhKm2CtS3F

[Clash Report @clashreport]

Israel and the U.S. told Iran there will be no further attacks if Iran does not launch any more strikes.

Source: Israel Hayom

[Radio Sefarad @RadioSefarad]

#Israel frente al ataque de #Irán. Contexto, datos y perspectiva #geopolítica con nuestros analistas @jorgeopar @CesarSabas @lcmondino_ @por_israel
#EstadosUnidos #Trump #Netanyahu
@fcjecom @IsraelinSpain
🎙️https://t.co/WuoPg36LCl
🎙️https://t.co/VTdUhBwLko

[César Sabas @CesarSabas]

EXPERTO israelí: "Teherán ahora se siente mucho más confiado en su posición, creyendo que resistió con éxito la presión militar de lo que considera los dos ejércitos más poderosos del mundo: Estados Unidos e Israel."

[Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش @citrinowicz]

"We Created a Monster"

Iran’s reckless behavior over the last 24 hours, including its threat to attack Israel if Israel strikes Beirut, is a direct consequence of how the recent war ended.

Tehran now feels far more confident in its position, believing it successfully withstood military pressure from what it views as the two most powerful militaries in the world: the United States and Israel.

This is not a temporary spike in rhetoric. It is part of a broader and more dangerous trend. Iran increasingly sees itself as the patron and protector of its regional proxies, extending what amounts to an informal security umbrella over groups such as Hezbollah and other members of the so-called “Axis of Resistance.” The threat against Israel over Beirut reflects this growing sense of ownership and responsibility for its partners across the region.

More importantly, this is further evidence of a profound shift in Iran’s decision-making process following the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. For decades, Khamenei was fundamentally cautious when it came to the direct use of Iranian military power, particularly when the risk of confrontation with the United States was involved. That restraint appears to be fading.

We are entering a new era in which Tehran feels stronger, more secure, and increasingly confident in the credibility of its deterrence. Iranian leaders now appear to believe that their willingness to absorb military pressure and survive it, has enhanced rather than weakened their strategic position.

The result is a more assertive Iran, a more dangerous Middle East, and a growing risk that future crises will escalate faster and further than anyone anticipated.

#iran
#IranWar‌

[Yaroslav Trofimov @yarotrof]

Iran is firing ballistic missiles at Israel. Israeli officials say they will respond. A return to full-scale war in the Middle East may be hours away.

[César Sabas @CesarSabas]

@patriotazulian0 Estoy muy preocupado...

[César Sabas @CesarSabas]

Como ciudadano español veo un proceso de polarización profundamente preocupante que me recuerda a mi país natal, Venezuela. Es urgente que España inicie lo más rápido posible un proceso de reconciliación.

[EFE Noticias @EFEnoticias]

VIDEO | El papa León XIV ha afirmado que viene a España para alentar una "reconciliación y cooperación más profunda entre las distintas fuerzas" de una nación a la que ha pedido "abandonar las narrativas divisivas y polarizantes".

[César Sabas @CesarSabas]

@antichavista196 "y para idiotas". Ahí te respondiste a "¿No sé por qué le dan tanto crédito...".

[César Sabas @CesarSabas]

VERDADERO plan de las "fases":

Fase 1 : Delcy como presidente encargada.

Fase 2: Delcy como presidenta, sin más título.

Fase 3: Delcy como presidenta electa. Se reinicia el ciclo.

[Ricardo Hausmann @ricardo_hausman]

La errada estrategia de 3 etapas para #Venezuela de @SecRubio parece estar fracasando en su primera etapa. Como muestra Guillermo Arcay, ni los inversionistas creen en la recuperación.

[César Sabas @CesarSabas]

@Abujirji Y es lo que pasó.

[GABO⚔️🇻🇪🇸🇾الحلبي @Abujirji]

Gente como La GéGé,Enver,Molotov,Rosmar,Selmy,Sucre,Fuenmayor,Colette,Fontan,Requena,Caleca,Mibelis,Quintero,Sifuentes,Marcano,Esteban,Sabas,Etc

No Son Opositores Al Chavismo,están aquí en apoyo indirecto a este sistema Chavista.

Atacan 24/7 a MCM pero no dan propuestas….

🐀