CFB Quant

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[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

@JacksonCollier Smart on them. If you’re optimistic about the choices you make leading to a better position for your school in 3-4 years, then you shouldn’t make 6+ year deals.

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

Texas vs. LSU

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

Biggest edge in LSU 🐅 vs Texas? The trenches.

LSU's D-line vs Texas' O-line (FBS rank):
…QB pressure: #2 vs #126
…Sacks: #3 vs #124
…Runs stuffed: #7 vs #117

LSU ranks higher in all 6 on the card.

Texas has 2 edges of its own when LSU has the ball ⬇️

#CFB #GeauxTigers #HookEm

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

DL: Worst DL2-DL4 in the country by a WIDE margin. Under no circumstance unless we go get better ones and they become insurance. Jones had a good game against the 2nd most allowed sacks in the country. Wasn’t progress. New elite RT1, LT1, DT1, DT2, End1 as a group are needed more than all other needs combined if we want to win more than 7 next year.

Soles and JQ, sure. Lockett falls under top half of 2026 class. Kash also falls under IOL.

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

@CCignettiIU Bad losses, by the numbers 👇

Lost to an unranked team: Georgia, Texas (twice), BYU, Texas Tech

Indiana's only loss: by 4 to No. 20 Ohio State

Wins over the CFP top 25: Texas 4, Indiana 0

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

All 6 matchups, free:
https://t.co/AhfEI3SXAe

1. The link opens on this battle
2. Tap Players to see both lines man by man, with snaps and FBS ranks
3. Tap the battle chips to flip through the other 5
4. Projected score and win odds are up top

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

Biggest edge in LSU 🐅 vs Texas? The trenches.

LSU's D-line vs Texas' O-line (FBS rank):
…QB pressure: #2 vs #126
…Sacks: #3 vs #124
…Runs stuffed: #7 vs #117

LSU ranks higher in all 6 on the card.

Texas has 2 edges of its own when LSU has the ball ⬇️

#CFB #GeauxTigers #HookEm

[PEARatings @PEARatings]

DELETE

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

I think too many look at conferences as aggregates.

These are an illustration, not exacts:
/ The top ~2-3 of SEC are equal with Top ~2-3 of Big 10

/ ~2-4 of SEC and Big 10 are equal to 1-3 of Big 12 and 1 of ACC.

/ In some years the Big 12’s 1-2 are up there with SEC and Big Ten 1-3.

/ The bottoms of each P4 conference are awful. Bottom 3-4 of ACC would be competitive in G6. Bottom 1-2 of of the rest.

/ Then the middle grouping of each fluctuate significantly year to year. They’re tight knit within the conference.

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

there will be 60k at Saturday’s South Carolina game assuming weather isn’t bad. Arkansas’ Noncon weekday basketball games aren’t unique to Arkansas, but there are other similar sized metros as Arkansas with less exciting basketball programs who have better attendance. There’s more than one problem for the basketball attendance. and it won’t substantially improve just by solving the top 2-3.

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

@wholehogsports Last year, if we had an 80th ranked defense we would’ve won 10-11 games. NIL hasn’t been our problem, and isn’t our problem this year. We’d be 5-4 right now if our defense wouldn’t have gotten out-coached against at half against Tennessee and Auburn.

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

How the grade works, in one image.

Backtest: coaches we had graded above average beat projection the next season 58% of the time. Below average: 44%.

Only 3 of 76 grade clearly above average.

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

Ever wondered the value-add of a coach versus talent?
/ New Series - Coach Pay vs. NIL for Proven Talent: WR Coach Edition (let us know what position you want next!)

Best buy here is situational, but predictable ⬇️

/ Bottom-third-graded WR coach to average: 110-135 yds, +$60K
/ Median WR to top-10% WR: 100-130 yds, +$450K
/ Average-graded WR coach to top third: 0-55 yds, +$65K

Where does your $500K go?

How we graded: apples-to-apples talent adjusted, accounted for surrounding talent, continuity of OC-OL-QB, and much more.

Highest graded in 2026: Simmons (USC), Stepp (Illinois), Whitted (Boise State), Shanahan (Indiana), Cummings (Washington), Wade (Arizona). Board in the replies.

Pay: FootballScoop, ESPN GM survey

#CFB #FightOn #Illini #BleedBlue #IUFB #PurpleReign #BearDown

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

/ Simmons, USC: receivers beat projection in 8 of 11 seasons
/ Stepp, Illinois: 8 of 11, at 4 schools
/ Whitted, Boise State: 6 of 9

Your team's WR room:
1. https://t.co/WjRfMUPcZC, tap Teams, then Position groups
2. Season 2026
3. Sort the WR room by rank change

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

@gatadata88 Opponent Rank at End of Season is what counts 🤪

5-4 against teams with positive W/L this season. Obviously everyone has games left to play, but playing against 9 teams in 10wks who have positive W/L is wild!

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

@HawgBeat @On3 @GamecockCentral They don’t have to blitz bc their DL as a unit pressure rate is insane. One of the worst coverage groups in the SEC

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

@jordanmoore_21 I haven’t defended Alabama over Tennessee, but Alabama certainly deserves to be above 1-loss and some 0-loss teams who haven’t faced anyone.

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

Every FBS team's giveaways, takeaways and penalties, any stretch of weeks ⬇️
https://t.co/WjRfMUOFa4 → Charts → pick the stat → set the weeks

Follow @cfbquant for the weekly numbers

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

SEC Giveaways, Penalties & Takeaways: Last 2 vs. Wks 2-8 ⬇️

* Oklahoma / 14 giveaways in 6 games Wks 2-8. 0 in the last 2

* Arkansas / 131st last two games. 25th wk2-8.

* Georgia / last 2: 1 giveaway, 7 penalties, 6 takeaways

Which swing holds?

#CFB #BoomerSooner #WPS #GoDawgs

[CFB Quant @cfbquant]

@On3 Alabama has faced 9 Top-25 units.

Combined, Utah, UCLA, and Notre Dame have faced 9.