Added some more notes to the $CRV chart for reference.
We got a nice daily SFP on our move below our swing that marked the bottom of our TR (trading range).
You'll also note that the spring occurred on relatively low volume. This is key because it indicates that there is no more "excess supply" left on this asset. A break of a major swing low like this would typically coincide with a spike in volume from panic sellers who are selling the "break" or capitulating (like we saw during the 2024 break where we saw record volume from liquidations and forced sellers). The lack thereof validates that excess supply has already been removed at this point AKA weak hands have been completely rinsed and so we are now finally ready for the markup/expansion phase.
While there are significant implications in all of this, one of the biggest is that the 7x rally from .18 to $1.30+ in 2024 wasn't actually the start of the expansion phase but rather just part of the accumulation/basing process, and the "excess supply" that existed at that time was significantly more than what is left today. In other words, on this next move up (the start of the actual expansion phase), supply is even more constricted than it was then, and if this really is the beginning of the expansion phase, for the first time since putting in the initial trading range low back in 2020, then the next leg up should be even stronger/more aggressive than what we saw in 2024 on the rally from .18 to $1.30+.
Now we just need to look for early indications that our rally is beginning (aka low timeframe impulse).
Met a girl in Miami who owes $200K on credit cards and hasn't paid a single dollar of interest in over 5 years…
Thought she was full of shit.
She pulled up a color-coded Google Sheet and walked me through it. The math actually checks out. She might be the smartest person I've ever met or the most reckless. Probably both.
The one fact that makes the whole thing work, steal it right now:
Business cards don't report to your personal credit (Amex, Chase, Citi business~ none of them post to your personal file unless you default). So you can sit on $200K across business cards & your personal report still shows ~0% utilization. Score stays pristine. That's the trick the entire loop hangs on.
Now her actual cycle:
She takes $200K in 0% APR business cards. Deploys it into real estate. Around month 10, before the 0% promo dies, she applies for a fresh round at different banks.
Approved every time (760+ score, because the business debt never touched her personal file).
Then she balance transfers old --> new. The 0% clock resets for another 12-18 months. Old cards drop to $0. New cards carry the $200K. Still $0 in interest.
"but you can't balance transfer business cards"
Some banks let you do it directly. The ones that won't? She liquidates the new 0% cards into cash through a processor (~2-3% fee), then pays the old cards off with that cash. Same result.
The receipts:
5 years. ~$25K total in fees to hold $200K in permanent 0% capital.
Interest on $200K at normal business rates (8-12%) = $16K-$24K/year.
She pays ~$5K/year instead.
Over 5 years that's ~$75K-$95K in interest she just… didn't pay.
Here's how YOU run the first cycle this month, step by step:
1. Form an LLC on your state's Secretary of State site ($50-$200, ~10 min). Any name works.
2. Get a free EIN at irs gov (5 min, instant).
3. Open business checking, drop $100 in it. You now have a "business" with a bank relationship.
4. Park ~$2K in that checking account & let it sit 30 days. This "banking relationship" alone bumps your approval limits 30-60% at that same bank. Same score, same person, just bait money sitting there a month early.
5. Apply Amex & Chase the SAME day (different bureaus, can't see each other). Capital One next day. US Bank day 3.
6. Build a dead-simple Google Sheet: card name, limit, promo start, promo END date. Set a calendar alert 60 days before each expiration.
7. Never let a card cross its 0% date again. That's the entire discipline. That's the whole edge.
She told me: "banks run 0% promos betting you'll forget to pay before interest hits. i just never forget."
Some banks already caught her pattern~ Amex denied last cycle, so she shifted to Navy Federal & US Bank. Capital One still approves her every single time lmaooo.
5 years. Zero interest. $200K in perpetual capital. I checked the math twice. It works.
(i build this exact stack for 700+ scores, $100K-$250K at 0%. if your score isn't there yet I fix it first in 30-90 days. link in bio)
Right so I covered 3 distinct scenarios in my last Youtube vid shared 3 months ago and not much has changed since then. With regards to how my alt targets will be affected in each scenario:
In the most bearish scenario in which the top at 126k is the last top before a potential 5-10 year secular bear, yes, altcoin cycle top targets would be on the lower end of the range.
In the more bullish scenario in which our local top is just that- a local top- and we recover to new highs within the next 3-12 months for our "final" blow off top, then altcoin cycle top targets would be on the higher end of the ranges I've previously stated.
In the most bullish scenario in which our last top is just a potential 1-2 year top (1st subwave top of extended 5th) before continuation of the larger secular bull which would last for a number of years longer (this is the closest scenario to a "supercycle"), alt-coin cycle top targets would be potentially even higher than what I've previously stated, but may take longer to get there because the secular Bitcoin top would still take some years to be put in.
As stated in that video- the lack of a blow off top suggests to me that this is one of the more bullish scenarios, not the most bearish one. Which means my expectations for alts haven't changed but now it's more about how quickly we get to those targets (the "most" bullish scenario just means it takes longer but we go higher).
Yes so this blow-off top on trad markets has been years in the making and I've always expected it as a pre-cursor to our next major crash. We are in the process of going parabolic so we can certainly go higher before the top is officially in but it all ends the same way.
However, remember- when we talk about "pulling liquidity", global equities are a 150T market.
The SPX is currently at 70T.
Crypto sits at a 2.4T market cap.
$BTC makes up 1.4T of that.
Alts make up barely 1T of what's left, and the Top 10 alts make up 80% of that 1T.
This means, alts outside the Top 10, have a combined marketcap of LESS THAN 200B.
Now make this make sense- is a 70T (or 150T if we consider global equities) marketcap sector (SPX), which has added trillions in marketcap over the last couple months, ACTUALLY "pulling liquidity" from a smaller 2T marketcap sector?
Crypto has been between 2T-4T marketcap for the last 2 years. In that time, the SPX has risen 40% or added over 25 TRILLION to it's marketcap.
While the ATTENTION is clearly on trad equities it is not as if tons of liquidity is LEAVING crypto and flowing to equities. The money flowing into equities is predominantly coming from somewhere ELSE, there is barely ANY liquidity in the crypto space relative to trad equities.
You can't squeeze a ton of juice out of a fruit that has no juice left to squeeze.
"Alts are gonna die because trad equities are gonna take all the liquidity out of them"
Bro, what liquidity? Alts outside of majors (Top 10) have a 200B marketcap. That's 1/350th of the SPX or 1/750th of global equities.
The crypto market (especially alts) have been squeezed dry- there is very little liquidity left to flow out of them and into trad markets.
HOWEVER, the opposite is not true. There is HUNDREDS OF TRILLIONS of dollars of liquidity that could potentially flow INTO crypto (including both BTC and alts) which is INCREDIBLY small as a sector.
The SAME WAY we saw a massive influx of liquidity into precious metals over the last few years that led to a massive rise in prices of gold and silver is the same way we will at some point see a massive influx of liquidity into crypto.
This risk at this stage is not that "crypto liquidity will flow into stocks" because there is no excess liquidity in crypto to begin with.
This should literally not be a concern imo.
Your only concern should be not being positioned in this sector BEFORE we see liquidity flow in the other direction- from multi-trillion dollar traditional sectors into the liquidity starved sector of crypto. Because just like silver and gold, when it happens, it will happen fast.
Walk into a bank with $100k.
Buy a CD, collect your 4%.
Then ask to ALSO use that same $100k as a down payment on a rental property.
They'll laugh you out the building. "You can't have your money in two places at once."
But that's exactly what I do every single month.
My shares (VOO/QQQ) sit there compounding ~10% a year.
Those SAME shares secure the puts I sell for another ~15%.
Same money. Two returns. Never on margin. Ratios always in check.
That's how 10% quietly becomes 25%.
And 25% is the difference between $1M and $61M over time.
Portfolio secured puts will change your life.
💯 the whole point is to be in before the crowd, not chasing after it.
If everyone is talking about the massive gains they’ve made in a sector, and you are just now getting involved, odds are you fall into the second bucket.
Bill Hader on the reason why he completely broke during the first CALIFORNIANS sketch on SNL was bc Fred Armisen completely changed his voice for the live show 😂 watch the sketch after the interview
When you start hearing one of the largest holders of Bitcoin making statements about how Bitcoin just needs to appreciate by “x% annually” for their business plan to be viable you just know that the first secular bear market in Bitcoin’s history is gonna be a painful one.
The idea that we will see a bear market worse than anything we have yet seen seems like a foreign concept for some, despite the fact that we have seen these multi-decade boom and bust cycles play out again and again in every other financial market.
If you plan based on data from Bitcoin’s past when its entire past has been one massive secular bull cycle, then you’re gonna be completely blindsided when Bitcoin enters its first secular bear- conditions that we have never yet actually seen before.
$BTC
$CRV basing out nicely here- provided $BTC holds the key support zone it is retesting right now (aka stays above 74k)- I think with this base formation in the upper half of our mid TF range we may be getting ready to leave those untapped lows behind.
"Technically we front-ran it by a hair earlier so would not be surprised if it gets properly tested in the coming days but this is looking very healthy right now."
And here is that proper re-test!
Moment of truth fam, if we hold this retest then things are about to change in a big way imo.
$BTC
Folks, take a second to evaluate the sources you're getting your information on this platform from...
If the guys feed looks like one giant engagement farm, he's probably not a good source to be getting your info from...
And no matter what you read on this platform, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH so that you don't get fooled by those that are simply trying to capitalize on your attention...
An Uber driver asked me what I do for a living while dropping me at the airport
I told him I get people $100K-$250K from banks at 0% interest
He pulled over. On the highway. Turned around in his seat and said "I have a 740. Can you do it for me?"
I told him to keep driving before we die lmfaooo
But yeah. 740 with clean history? Banks would throw $150K-$250K at him tomorrow morning. He had no idea. He's been driving Uber 50 hours a week saving up $30K to start a trucking company. At that savings rate it would take him 2 more years
The banks have the $30K he needs right now. At 0% interest. For 15 months. He could quit driving Uber, buy a truck with business credit, start hauling freight, and be cash flowing before the first payment is even due
"but he's an Uber driver not a business owner"
An LLC takes 10 minutes and $100-$200. An EIN is free. A business checking account is a $100 deposit. He'd have a legal business entity in 20 minutes
Banks don't approve business cards based on your job title. They don't care if you're an Uber driver, a teacher, a bartender, or a janitor. They care about your personal FICO score. That's the primary approval criteria
A janitor with a 740 and clean history is a better credit applicant than a CEO with a 660 and 3 late payments. The algorithm sees a number. Not a person
His 740 on personal cards was getting him $5K-$10K limits at 20% APR
That same 740 on business card applications would get him $25K-$50K per card at 0% APR
Same score. 5-10x the capital. $0 in interest. Different application
I set him up the following week:
Amex Blue Business Plus: $50K at 0%
Chase Ink Unlimited: $35K at 0%
Capital One Spark: $30K
US Bank Triple Cash: $20K at 0%
$135K. He used $85K on a used Freightliner and insurance deposits. Signed his first hauling contract within 3 weeks. Revenue: $18K/month gross. Paying every card minimum from the freight income
He'd been saving for 2 years to start this business. The money was sitting at Chase the entire time. At 0%. Waiting for him to apply
He just didn't know that a 740 credit score and a $100 LLC was the only barrier between him and $135K in startup capital
He would have driven Uber for 2 more years. Saving $1,200/month. While the same bank he deposits his savings into would have handed him $135K for an 8-minute application
Two years of his life. That's what not knowing this cost him
He texts me every month now. Last one said "just cleared $22K. truck's paid for. working on truck #2"
I still have the Uber receipt from that ride. $34.50. Best ROI of my life lmao
dm me "funding" and i'll show you how you can qualify for up to 250k in 0% APR funding (if you have a 700+)
X: "CuRvE is dEaD"
Reality: 5 years later Curve is doing more swaps per day than it ever has, with a significant (and consistent) increase in daily swap volume over time.
Meanwhile, stable coin growth continues to make new all time highs month after month, while Curve remains the most dominant, efficient stable coin DEX in the entire space.
$CRV
Mainstream Oncologists are not allowed to help their Cancer patients with repurposed drugs like Ivermectin.
Oncologists are not paid to successfully treat cancer patients. Very few people understand this.
It's the only medical specialty where you can have 0% success rate and still get 100% of your salary.
Oncologists are paid to sell expensive cancer drugs, they're not allowed to think independently, and they're not allowed to do what's best for their patients.
Unlock it, UNLOCK IT ALL!
Token inflation on $HBAR is approaching it's final stages.
By the end of the first half of this year, nearly 95% of all the $HBAR that will ever exist will be unlocked and in circulation.
Meanwhile, HTF charts are setting up nicely.
All we need to do now is be patient.
@jordanfogel@TicTocTick So many things here to me scream scammer.
I would bet $100k you don’t have trade logs of consistently making 2% per month consistently for years.
Let me know if you want to set up the bet in escrow.
-22 year full time option trader
The number of hacks/exploits in this space seems to have increased lately.
A good reminder to diversify holdings amongst different sectors in this space so you don’t have all your eggs in one basket.
And I don’t mean go pick up 10-15 different assets for the sake of diversification.
I mean find 5-10 (max) crypto assets that you have high conviction in and that are at favorable prices to accumulate.
After four years scalping these minor legs, it is time for me to look at this chart with a different perspective, from this point in time, and price... In other words, it is time to TRULY pay attention. And I say this when literally is unlikely you ever get a better R:R. $CRV