$MU broke below $1,000 today after reports China’s CXMT plans to launch new server memory by year-end using a design that packs more memory into smaller chips despite U.S. equipment restrictions.
Most of that supply will likely serve China’s own data centers first so bigger risk is longer-term DRAM pricing rather than an immediate threat to Micron’s HBM business.
100€ en 1999 = 55,60€ de pouvoir d'achat en 2026.
Assez terrible.
Pour contextualiser : le franc 🇫🇷 avait perdu 75% de son pouvoir d'achat entre 1945 et 1958.
À cause de l'inflation de l'après-guerre et des déficits de la IVe République.
C'est ce chaos monétaire qui avait poussé de Gaulle à créer le "nouveau franc" en 1960 (100 anciens francs = 1 nouveau franc).
L'euro a été vendu comme un "rempart" à ce scénario : une banque centrale indépendante, un objectif d'inflation à 2%, la stabilité comme mantra.
Pendant 20 ans (1999-2020), l'euro a presque tenu sa promesse. 😅
Mais depuis 2021-2022, la donne a changé : pandémie, guerre…
En 2 ans, plus d'érosion que dans les 10 précédentes.
💀
Pour éviter cette érosion, une solution : investir.
100€ investis sur le MSCI World (indice mondial de référence) en 1999 :
→ 640€ aujourd'hui
→ 355€ en pouvoir d'achat
Soit un écart de x6.4 👀
Il faut y soustraire les impôts mais c'est quand même pas mal.
BREAKING:
S&P 500 equal-weighted Index is now underperforming the S&P 500 by its largest margin in 23 years.
Just a handful of companies are pushing the stock market higher, while the majority is being crushed by rising yields.
This is exactly what happened before the 2000 dot-com crash.
🚨 Sudden dump in US bond yields across the curve.
Yields are dropping fast across the whole curve, right after the 10-year hit its highest level since 2002.
Oil is also falling, and the market is now pricing in lower inflation.
If this holds, the pressure on the Fed and stocks eases a lot.
HOW TO RETIRE EARLY FROM AI IN THE NEXT 3–5 YEARS
Keep this.
Most people will spend the next 3–5 years chasing what already moved.
Follow the money EARLY:
MONEY IS FLOWING INTO COMPUTE
AI Chips: $NVDA $AVGO
Memory / HBM: $MU $SKHY
Foundries: $ASML
EDA / Chip Design: $SNPS
Networking: $ANET $ALAB
Photonics: $LITE
Interconnects: $CIEN
↓
COMPUTE IS FORCING AN INFRASTRUCTURE BOOM
Data Centers: $IREN $CIFR
Cooling: $VRT
Servers: $DELL $SMCI
Storage: $PSTG
GPU Cloud: $CRWV $NBIS
Construction: $FIX
Digital Infrastructure: $EQIX
Cybersecurity: $CRWD
↓
INFRASTRUCTURE IS FORCING A POWER BOOM
Grid: $PWR
Electrical Equipment: $POWL
Power Producers: $VST
Gas / Turbines: $EQT
On-Site Power: $BE
Energy Storage: $EOSE
Nuclear: $OKLO
Uranium / Nuclear Fuel: $CCJ
↓
POWER REQUIRES RAW MATERIALS
Copper: $SCCO
Critical Minerals: $LAC
Rare Earths: $MP
↓
THEN AI EXPANDS INTO THE REAL WORLD
AI Applications: $PLTR
Robotics: $TSLA
Industrial Automation: $ROK
Autonomy: $GOOGL
Drones: $AVAV $RCAT
Defense: $KTOS
Space: $SPCX $RKLB
Quantum: $IONQ
AI Healthcare: $TEM
This is the entire AI buildout.
You need to position around what has to be built next.
We just got a weaker than expected September jobs report, a 2-month downward revision of -60,000 jobs, and weaker than expected PCE inflation data.
Meanwhile, the 10Y Note Yield can't even hold a decline for more than one hour.
The bond market is not messing around.
#XAUUSD
Gold has broken below $4,200. The move may slow down today, so first I’m watching how price reacts inside the 2H candle range.
#GOLD
🔴 Resistance: 4,175–4,200 │ 4,215 │ 4,250–4,260
🟢 Support: 4,110–4,100 │ 4,050 │ 4,020 │ 4,000 │ 3,950
🎯 MAIN SCENARIO
SELL is the priority.
First, watch the 4,160–4,175 area for a short-term SELL reaction.
If price remains weak below 4,200, downside targets remain 4,110–4,100 → 4,050 → 4,020 → 4,000.
Gold and silver are hammered this morning on the continued rise in bond yields. Gold is down just under $140 and silver is down almost $3. But a bond bear market is very bullish for precious metals, as it means a weaker U.S. economy, rising budget deficits, and higher inflation.
US bond market volatility is at historic levels.
The MOVE index jumped +19% last week, its largest weekly increase since April 2025, following "Liberation Day."
This index is also called the "VIX of bonds" and measures the yield volatility of 2Y, 5Y, 10Y, and 30Y Treasuries.
This marks its 3rd-largest weekly increase since the 2022 bear market.
The move comes as the 10Y Note Yield jumped +17 basis points last week, to 5.17%, its highest level since June 2007.
At the same time, the 30Y Note Yield rose +16 basis points and surpassed 5.50% for the first time since June 2004.
To put this into perspective, in the week ending March 17th, 2023, the MOVE Index surged +29% following the US banking crisis, when 3 regional banks collapsed.
The US Treasury market is experiencing crisis-like volatility.
THIS HAS MARKED EVERY MAJOR BUYING & SELLING OPPORTUNITY SINCE 1990
Use it. It’s how generational wealth is made.
Dot-Com Crash.
Global Financial Crisis.
COVID Crash.
2022 Bear Market.
2025 Tariff Selloff.
The $VIX is Wall Street’s fear gauge.
If you trade $SPY or $QQQ, understand this:
VIX <20 ->TRIM / REDUCE RISK
VIX 20–30 -> HOLD
VIX 30–40 -> START BUYING
VIX >40 -> BUY THE PANIC
RIGHT NOW: VIX 14.87
Fear is low. Don’t chase. Protect profits.
GLOBAL BOND MARKET CRISIS IS HERE.
🇺🇸 US 10Y yield hits 5.167%, a 19-year high.
🇺🇸 US 30Y yield reached 5.45%, a 22-year high.
🇯🇵 Japan 5Y yield hits 2.40%, a 31-year high.
🇯🇵 Japan 10Y yield hits 3.09%, a 30-year high.
🇩🇪 Germany 10Y yield hits 3.62%, a 17-year high.
🇫🇷 France 10Y yield hits 4.73%, an 18-year high.
🇫🇷 France 30Y yield hits 5.25%, a 24-year high.
🇦🇺 Australia 10Y yield hits 5.44%, a 15-year high.
Historically, whenever global bond yields have surged like this, a recession and stock market crash has happened.