Chantal

[The Laundry Mat @_TheLaundryMat]

🎯

[James Muninn @Muninn]

We should borrow relentlessly

@Qullamaggie borrowed the parabolic short concept from @timothysykes in microcaps, and applied it to larg caps, with some help from @InvestorsLive

We don't have to reinvent the wheel

[James Muninn @Muninn]

Parabolic short is probably the easiest trade to learn, mechanically.

And the most difficult to execute.

Reviewing how the legends trades these, bar by bar, and how they stalk them for days, has been truly eye opening.. and having good mental models on how they play out

[James Muninn @Muninn]

Shoutout to @DGTrading101 for doing the only write up on Michail Shadkin (ex Epicacapital) I could find.. He has inspired TWO Market Wizards (@Qullamaggie and @Tradestl )

It's wild how everything is out there, we just need to put the pieces together

[Tradestl @Tradestl]

Got to spend the afternoon with one of the best today. He’s not on X anymore but for those of you remember Michail Shadkin aka Epicacapital. He still trades and yes he’s still killing it. It was a great day of discussing trading, family, current market environment and different trading strategies. He is truly a trading legend.

[CaitlinFor3 @CaitlinForThree]

Sophie Cunningham on Caitlin Clark being assaulted on the basketball court:

"None of us saw that happen in real time, but if we did we would have had her back. They're definitely targeting her and the league and the refs do nothing to protect her."

[Cinema Shogun @CinemaShogun]

WOW 😂

Sophie Cunningham explains her viral pointing 🫵 meme‼️

Violent black lesbians in the WNBA have been targeting Sophie Cunningham and Caitlin Clark for the last couple of years simply because they’re attractive White Women who can play basketball.

Sophie has responded by trolling them every chance she gets.

😂 🤣 😂 🤣 😂

She doesn’t even have to say a word. All she has to do is point a finger 👉 and they literally lose their minds.

[Novak Djokovic @DjokerNole]

Live on @netflix. Thanks to @Turki_alalshikh.
Let’s go 👑

#RiyadhSeason #SixKingsSlam

[Di Krass @Di_Krass_]

Wall Street doesn't predict prices - it prices the randomness in them. That is where the billions are, and it runs on one equation.

The model trading desks actually use is Geometric Brownian Motion:

dS = μS·dt + σS·dW

μ (drift) is the slow expected trend. σ·dW is the random shock - a coin flip scaled by volatility. It is the engine under Black-Scholes, the formula that prices trillions in options.

The idea is 125 years old. Louis Bachelier modeled prices as a random walk in 1900 - five years before Einstein used the same math for particles. His verdict:

"the mathematical expectation of the speculator is zero."

Sixty years later Eugene Fama won a Nobel for the same finding: prices are "no more predictable than the path of a series of cumulated random numbers."

And the math is brutal. Drift grows with time (t); noise grows only with its square root (√t). Over one day the shock buries the trend - so daily direction is a coin flip, and traders invent reasons after the candle prints.

The trap hides in one assumption: that returns are "normal." Real markets have fat tails. Black Monday 1987 (-22.6% in a day) was a 20-sigma event under the bell curve - impossible in billions of years.

Nassim Taleb calls that bell curve "the great intellectual fraud." The equation that prices everything is blind to the one day it matters most.

the edge was never the trend inside the wiggle. it is knowing how much of the wiggle is nothing. the full quant build is in the article below.

[Di Krass @Di_Krass_]

Every trader believes the chart has a trend to follow. An MIT professor proved the price has no slope at all - not for a single instant.

Choongbum Lee - MIT mathematician, teaching the calculus Wall Street prices options with.

"it's nowhere differentiable... the standard tools of calculus can't be used here."

a stock's path is Brownian motion - the limit of infinite coin flips. it never smooths into a line, so ordinary calculus breaks on it.

to price anything at all, the Street had to invent a new one - Itô calculus - on one rule: dB² = dt. randomness squared is time. a French student, Bachelier, used it for option prices in 1900 - five years before Einstein used it for atoms.Оці

your edge works the same. the trend you think you are trading is a slope that was never there, and the desk charges you for the noise you mistook for it.

MIT filmed the whole course and left it free. an hour at a chalkboard, and almost nobody has used a line of it.

the edge was never the trend. it is knowing the price has no slope, and charging for the randomness instead. watch it, and don't forget this.

[Jeff Sun, CFTe @jfsrev]

$URA $NLR $URNM have moved into the top-performing 1-month RS% group after today's follow through action.

RS 100% 1-Month Industry Group

$NLR - Nuclear Power
$URA - Uranium
$IAI - Broker-Dealers
$KCE - Capital Markets & Financial Services
$XME - Metals & Mining
$URNM - Uranium Miners
$IPAY - Digital Payments & Fintech
$ARKW - ARK Internet & Next-Gen Tech
$CNBS - Cannabis
$SVIX - Short VIX Futures (Volatility)
$PBE - Dynamic Biotech
$PPH - Large-Cap Pharmaceutical
$SILJ - Junior Silver Miners
$SIL - Silver Miners
$GDXJ - Junior Gold Miners
$GENZ - Global Gaming & Casinos
$GLD - Gold
$GDX - Gold Miners
$SOLZ - Solana Spot
$IBIT - Bitcoin Spot
$COPX - Copper Miners
$ARKF - ARK Fintech
$ARKK - ARK Innovation
$ARKG - ARK Genomics
$BLOK - Blockchain

[Vince Vora @VinceVoraAlpha]

After a healthy pullback and a brief consolidation around the $40 level, $IAUM has reclaimed its 40-week moving average. Looking at the weekly chart, technical indicators are turning supportive as price action sets up a potential test of its previous all-time highs.

[Azraël @azrael_options]

@unusual_whales Housing was the first leg of the rate cycle to break. With sellers stacked like this, prices keep sliding until inventory clears or rates drop hard enough to pull buyers back in.

[Danny @DjokovicFan_]

🚨Novak Djokovic is GUARANTEED to be seeded top 4 at the US Open.

This means he can't play one of Alcaraz or Zverev before the final and neither of them before the semifinal.

Also worth pointing out how incredible it is to be top 4 at 39 years old.

[Danny @DjokovicFan_]

🗣️Goran Ivanisevic on Novak Djokovic:

"Novak refused the COVID vaccine and was ready to stop his career, a decision no other elite athlete would make. He was ready to end his career for this reason. He went all the way just to not get vaccinated. The world condemned him, criticized him relentlessly, even belittled him for standing firm. Yet he never wavered, standing firm in his conviction with a determination that still resonates. We were locked up like sheep for three years and we were manipulated."

[Anas Alhajji @anasalhajji]

👇👇👇

[Mark Carney @MarkJCarney]

My statement on Canada-U.S. trade negotiations:

[Chantal @ChantalB85597]

#Australia

[Danny @DjokovicFan_]

Novak Djokovic in his documentary on why he refused the COVID vaccine:

"Because I didn't need it. Why should I get the vaccine? I'm healthy, I'm an athlete. I had corona. I had immunity. I wasn't a threat to anyone. There was no reason for me to get vaccinated. It's my freedom to choose which that fundamental right that you have as a human being on this planet — the freedom to choose — which was taken from a lot of people."