Charli

building my simulation w/ crypto

[ElevenLabs Developers @ElevenLabsDevs]

Call your Hermes Agent

[Livsun @L1vsun]

a quant at a prop firm showed me a 5x5 grid on a napkin

said:
> this is our entire edge. we don't predict price. we predict which box the market is in and where that box historically leads

i didn't understand it for weeks. then it clicked

never looked at a chart the same way since

grid is called a Markov Chain transition matrix. the math is from 1906, it's in every probability textbook on earth

and hedge funds use it because it asks a completely different question than retail traders ever ask

retail: will this go up or down
quant: what state is this market in, and where does this state typically go

every market lives in one of maybe 5-6 states at any given moment

tight range, volatility compression, trending with momentum, post-spike reversal, pre-breakout coil

not random labels - clusters you identify from actual data using volatility, volume, and momentum readings stacked together

once you have the states, you build the matrix:
P(state 2 -> state 4) = 73%
P(state 4 -> state 1) = 61%
P(state 1 -> state 3) = 68%

each cell is a historical probability. now when the market is in state 2, you're not guessing

you're betting on 73% historical completion. you size it with Kelly. you take the trade when the math says to, not when it feels right

i built this on BTC using 2 years of 4-hour data. identified 5 states

one i labeled "volatility compression below 20-day mean for 6+ consecutive candles" transitioned to a directional move above 1.8 ATR in 71% of cases

average reward/risk on those trades: 5.4

that's not prediction. that's reading a probability table the market keeps filling in for you every single day

the part that should bother you: the data to build this is free. the framework is in any quant textbook

python to implement it is maybe 200 lines

what Renaissance Technologies has that you don't isn't secret data or proprietary signals

it's this framework applied to higher-resolution data with more sophisticated state definitions

you're not missing information

you're asking the wrong question every single time you open a chart

[Andrej Karpathy @karpathy]

Personal update: I've joined Anthropic. I think the next few years at the frontier of LLMs will be especially formative. I am very excited to join the team here and get back to R&D. I remain deeply passionate about education and plan to resume my work on it in time.

[Ruben Hassid @rubenhassid]

https://t.co/Dah90zDXmT

[LangChain @LangChain]

🚀 LangSmith Agent Builder is now available in Public Beta

Now anyone can create production ready agents without writing code, just chat.

Agent Builder guides you from initial idea to deployed agent, creating detailed prompts, selecting required tools, and even creating subagents.

Our Beta release also includes:
🧰 Bring your own tools via MCP server
🧩 Browse, copy, and customize agents across a shared workspace
🧠 Use your preferred model

Try Agent Builder free: https://t.co/N2O8g0LDt1
Read more on the launch: https://t.co/m763CWM3l8

[Solana @solana]

Hello Wall St.

[Bitwise @Bitwise]

Bitwise is excited to announce the long-awaited launch of $BSOL, the first U.S. ETP with 100% direct exposure to SOL. BSOL aims to stake 100% of its SOL holdings in-house, using @heliuslabs technology.

Tomorrow at 1pm ET, join Bitwise Co-Founder and CTO @hongkim__ and Helius CEO @mert for a conversation on what today’s milestone means for Solana, its incredible ecosystem, and the future of finance.

[LangChain @LangChain]

🧠 OpenMemory: AI Memory Engine

An open-source memory system enhancing LLM apps through LangGraph integration. Features structured memory with 2-3× faster recall and 10× lower costs than hosted solutions.

Check it out 🔍
https://t.co/ooZJ6tELLX

[MartyParty @martypartymusic]

Today https://t.co/8D7vu5k9RP announced it has submitted an application to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) for a National Trust Bank Charter. This filing positions the company alongside other major crypto firms seeking federal oversight to expand custody, staking, and payment services nationwide, without the need for fragmented state-level approvals. If approved, the charter would allow @cryptocom to operate as a federally regulated trust institution, focusing on digital asset custody and related fiduciary activities though it wouldn't enable full banking functions like deposits or loans.

[Pontus Abrahamsson @pontusab]

This is how I structure our multi-agent AI system:

• 10 agents (triage + 9 specialists)
• 43 tools (grouped by domain)
• 12 artifacts (visual canvases)

Each agent gets only the tools it needs. Clean and maintainable.

[Adeniyi.sui @EmanAbio]

BOOM $Sui TVL is an at ATH!! 🔥

[Jerry Liu @jerryjliu0]

I used Claude Code Skills + souped up PDF parsing to create an M&A deal comp agent 🤖

Given a directory of public M&A filings (DEF 14A), it parses and analyzes each pdf, and generates an Excel sheet with deal terms and comparables.

1️⃣ The native parsing is pypdf which sucks, so I swapped it out with LlamaIndex semtools.

This uses LlamaCloud for parsing - letting it handle deeply complex financial tables, charts, and anything else you throw at it.

2️⃣ Claude has native skills to write Excel spreadsheets!
Full prompt is in the video below 👇

LlamaCloud + Semtools access also takes < 5 mins to setup, come check it out!

Some notes:
- disclaimer: Some of the values in the Excel spreadsheet are 100x bigger because they’re formatted as percentages not raw values
- We’re working on native Claude skill integrations too!

Semtools: https://t.co/xg1iqbghIr
LlamaCloud: https://t.co/xg1iqbghIr

[LangChain @LangChain]

🤖 🧠 Deep Agents Evolution

A breakthrough in AI architecture enabling agents to scale from 15 to 500+ steps through advanced planning and memory systems, revolutionizing how AI handles complex tasks.

Learn more about this evolution 🔍 https://t.co/BdCRwgl0di

[Pietro Schirano @skirano]

So, basically when working on frontend only use Claude 4.5.

Backend, refactoring, logic issues, Codex-High.

Hope this helps!

[Charli @charlionchain]

Hmm 🤔

[Coin Bureau @coinbureau]

🚨DEFILLAMA TO DELIST ASTER PERPS DATA!

The platform flagged “almost perfect correlation” between Binance and Aster’s perpetual trading volumes — raising serious integrity concerns.

[Real Vision @RealVision]

🚨GIVEAWAY🚨

Win one of 5 FREE 1-year Alpha memberships to celebrate the launch of the new Real Vision.

How to enter:
1️⃣ Join the waitlist [link in comment]
2️⃣ Drop a screenshot of the waitlist entry confirmation
3⃣ Like & RT this post

Winners announced on Oct 8

Ready to see the future of finance? 🥂...

[Charli @charlionchain]

@RealVision unfuck my future too

[Vlad Tenev @vladtenev]

PSA:

Tokenization will eat the entire global financial system

Thank you for listening

[Charli @charlionchain]

@token2049 Hey guys the queue is insane are there multiple routes that I’m missing here??