Our latest is on PERPS
Crypto and prediction market people are intimately familiar with perps. Most other investors aren't, but they're about to be, because they're coming to equity markets. Written as a product explainer in the spirit of the Salomon Brothers research days :)
Reflecting on yesterday, which was our midyear investor day for Elm's SMA, ETF, and offshore fund clients.
Across every conversation, two topics kept coming up: inflation, and just how thin the US risk premium has become.
A client who is seeing my real yield tips view asked me the age old question. "Im young why would I own fixed income". The answer is at your risk target owning a diversified portfolio had a higher expected return than owning just equities or concentrated equities. Listen to this
In my 21 years of working in finance, I can tell you without hesitation that the dumbest and most useless market you will ever encounter is the TIPS market.
You can trade it like anything else, but if you take signals from it means you have an IQ of 0.
The potential for 351 conversions to become "transactions of interest" massively influenced our decision at Elm not to move forward with one earlier this year
US Treasury officials just made some of their strongest remarks yet on tax-aware strategies, signaling particular concerns in:
- funds that generate ordinary losses
- 351 conversions
- box spread ETFs
- dividend-dodging ETFs
“I would advise investors to be cautious when something looks too good to be true because it probably is.”