$BTC Update ⏳
There’s still no clear evidence that the correction is over.
As long as we remain below the $63,000 level, I’m staying patient and waiting for confirmation. If Bitcoin reclaims that zone, the chart starts to make much more sense.
The Wizards know one thing: if a real bullish move begins, we’ll definitely be there to catch it.
GM guys
Well, all I did was stick to the plan I’d outlined a few days ago.
In the end, all it took was two simple lines on the chart: a distribution zone at the top and an accumulation zone at the bottom.
The market followed the plan almost perfectly, confirming once again that the best analyses are often the simplest. A weekly close above 61k would suggest a temporary bottom at these levels, forming a range and allowing us to trade again on the lower timeframes.
Breaking below 60k on the weekly chart would push the price lower.
$BTC
Price has swept out pqL (60k) liquidity,
And now the upside is completely exposed with 2 key levels to look for a sweep.
68k and 70k
I am personally targeting the sweep of qO (68.2k) before we form a Lower High,
Then reject from there and start dropping towards low 50s.
Though it's possible for us to get a sweep of 58k first then start the pump towards qO.
People are literally getting bearish after,
- Price has already dropped ~30% from the range top.
- After we swept the pqL (60k) liquidity, which is a major level.
- And had around ~$2B in long liquidations in the past 48 hours.
Usually when we see narrative like this forming, price does the complete opposite of what people expect it to.
The fear is growing, people are closing their long positions.
Even though we are more than 50% down from ATH, and anything below 60k is cheap.
I am aping longs and will hold them all the way up to qO as my first target.
Then look for the continuation lower to add back to longs around ~56k for long term hold/bull market.
Overall longs are the safest option you can take here imo,
Looking for shorts here, is not optimal at all and will most likely get people rekt in the upcoming 1-2 week.
If you still wanna look for shorts here, feel free to take them.
I will see you around 66k-68k soon.
58k - 59k is just not a macro weekly trendline support for $BTC…
its also a key quarterly level….
as long as this 🔑 58793$ level holding on quarterly TF….
everything is in control because like i said $BTC’s 2017 macro trendline what never failed since 2017 also sitting there…
lets see how it goes…
#BITCOIN
🚨 BTC IS NOW ENTERING MANIPULATION PHASE
This is where traders continuously lower their price target until they sell the bottom
Every cycle we've seen the same psychology with different numbers
The actual math:
> Down 52% from $126k ATH
> Historical bear markets bottom at 77-84% drawdown
> Analyst consensus: $50-55k final bottom, Q3 2026
> 10.5M BTC currently underwater - this exact signal marked every previous bottom
Manipulation phase has one job: shake out everyone who bought correctly
Being early on an asset 52% off ATH with 80% of its bear market complete isn't a mistake
Selling into this phase is
Follow + notifs on, I will be mapping every level in real time
$btc long update
🚨 The weekend consolidation played out exactly as planned, now the Lower Timeframes are testing the breakout trigger. 👇
Good morning and happy weekend everyone. If you followed our trading journal yesterday, Bitcoin moved very obediently as expected, conducting a mature consolidation within the lower gray support zone just above our entry area, securing a solid position after the daily close.
Entering this morning, our attention shifts to the 30-minute long-term chart, which is showing very interesting price compression.
As indicated on the chart, the price is currently repeatedly testing and attempting a breakout above the dynamic resistance of the blue line (50-day moving average).
If confirmation of a body close above the 50-day moving average is successfully executed with strong volume, the price will mechanically open the nearest toll road to pursue the green line (200-day moving average) as a relay target towards our Partial Zone around $64,000.
I think the loyal followers here already know exactly what to do, as I've been explicitly calling for this tactic since yesterday.
Our job now is to calmly monitor the strength of this breakthrough while enjoying our morning coffee.
The risk parameters haven't shifted an inch, so keep guarding your positions wisely, and always do your own research (DYOR/NFA)! ☕🔥
$BTC swing short update
As mentioned, roughly 40% of the original position is still running.
Initial plan was full TP around 58k.
> However, we still haven’t seen a meaningful corrective reaction.
> This remains my only short exposure and it’s still decent size
-> I’m letting it run a bit further than originally planned.
Extended final target to 54k.
Currently sitting at roughly +8R.
The swing thesis has played out well so far.
in case we get corrective relief, I will scale again - as i did for weeks
bitcoin:native
Based on the weekly close
1. Close above 65.5k, this was a stop run of the range low and the bottom before a run towards 90k
2. Close below 65.5k, and this down move can still be a deviation, but not a bottom.
I am assuming scenario 1 and buying all the coins.
$BTC Orderflow now shows us that shorts are heavy in the market with funding negative. Coinbase discount exhausting too. Liquidations on Binance already taken.
This can be a good place to bid for a local bounce, Although I am still not sure it has completed it's full move or not. At the bottom, we should trap a lot of shorts.
#btc #btcusdt #bitcoin
$BTC
Price broke below and swept 60k,
The range that looked like stabilizing at 63k didn't hold and we flushed further.
Perps CVD got worse than it was last time and is still rolling over,
Spot CVD also got worse and is in the extremes, but currently flat.
We had another long flush, and rekt the remaining people, who survived last time.
Overall from 74k till now, not a single support has held and price just kept on breaking below all of them.
We have swept 60k (feb lows) as well,
And if price manages to reclaim 62k and holds it now, then we will pump and rekt the shorts all the way up to qO (68.2k)
People are turning bearish after we flushed around $2B in longs, swept the 60k (feb lows) and had a -30% drop without any major hold.
Which doesn't seem so optimal to me and sooner or later all the late shorters will get rekt.
At some point the perps and spot will become the coiled spring.
The further extreme these go, the more violent the eventual reversal will be.
Though rn the data that we have clearly shows that sellers are in complete control, but imo it won't last long.
Just a matter of time before we get a relief bounce and squeeze all the late shorts opening around here.
$BTC
My Current Market Thesis,
Price has swept 60k (feb lows) and now is back above.
Things are playing out a bit different from the previous cycle, but despite that I am still looking for price to tap qO (68.2k).
It's possible for us to go lower and test 58k first,
But overall we are eventually gonna get a bounce and test 68k (~qO).
Price won't just keep falling and people should know it that sooner or later,
We will get a bounce and test nearby key level (qO).
I am long and will continue to hold the longs until we hit 66-68k,
Then look for shorts above qO and hold them all the way down to sub 60k.
We are already down massively from ATH and the only safe side that I can see here is up.
Yes we will still chop for months around here (Scalpers Paradise),
But after that we are gonna go straight up for 3 years,
And I am pretty sure, you wouldn't want to have a wrong bias in that case.
BTC on #Hyperliquid 15m Chart 📊
BTC seems to have momentarily stabilized following the sharp declines that have hit the crypto market. ⚖️
To the upside, the most relevant pool is located at 70,000 USD. This zone builds up a heavy concentration of liquidity, making it a natural magnet for the price if buying pressure steps in. 🎯
To the downside, the most significant liquidity zone sits at 59,200 USD. As long as the price fails to break clearly away from the current range, this area remains the closest target to be swept. 📉🧲
Check the Heatmap here:👉 https://t.co/NFopP93nNQ
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #Hyperliquid #Liquidity
Didn’t think I would get the chance back here…
But have, for the first time in a while, bought some $ETH.
Lowest 1D RSI ever.
When markets move like this it’s very hard to say when the pivot low will form, but historically, buying at these heavily oversold prices is very profitable.
Back in accumulation mode 🫡
So we have now had a drop back to the lows.
Personally, as you all know, I didn't have this down as my base case.
Once we reclaimed $74,400 with a few weekly closes I was not expecting to see below $70k again.
However, now, we look forward.
And the question still remains...
Are we going to continue to follow the traditional bear market pattern of dropping lower until Q4?
That still is undecided imo.
And as you all know, I do believe, and with a lot of data to back it up, that we are in a different type of bear market than previous ones.
The closest bottom I can link to this one is in 2015.
This is the only other bottom where Bitcoin hit oversold on the 1W RSI, then reclaimed 50, and then went on back to the lows again.
That is what has happened here.
But every other cycle, once we reclaimed 50, we never looked back.
In 2015 we did not make new lows, we simply tested them again.
At this stage, only time is going to tell us what the outcome will be.
The acceptance of the 4 year cycle playing out in full has ow become total consensus...
And I can't say it won't happen.
But it is not a guarantee, and there is enough data to show us otherwise.
Ideally, we would want to see Bitcoin develop a bit more of a wick and close the weekly back above $65,000 for this to gain more traction.
What are your thoughts?
$BTC On the macro chart, I always aim for maximum simplicity.
When the price is in key areas, the context is clear and decisions become relatively straightforward. In between, however, there is nothing but noise: chaotic movements, conflicting signals and often subjective interpretations.
For this reason, I haven’t even looked at it for the last two days. I don’t feel the need to analyse every single candle when the market isn’t at any truly interesting points.