The most Influential Biases on your Decision-Making:
1. Illusion of Skill - We regularly confuse luck with skill because we solely focus on outcomes.
2. Recency Bias - We tend to put too much weight on recent events.
3. Anchoring - Our judgment is heavily screwed by the first information we are given about something.
4. Regression - We love to see cause-effect relationships where none exist.
Everything, always, regresses to its mean!
5. Hindsight Bias - In retrospect, events seem more predictable than they actually were.
6. Halo Effect - You either like or dislike everything about someone or something. Nothing in between.
7. Loss Aversion - Losses weigh twice as much as the equivalent gain.
Because of that, we reject gambles where chance would favor us.
8. Commitment Bias - We have a tendency to remain committed to our past behaviors and opinions.
Particularly when expressed publicly, even if they do not have desirable outcomes.
9. WYSIATI - What you see is all there is.
You can't consider what you don’t know.
Paradoxically, knowing less also increases your confidence about being right.
What Bias did I miss?
We are taught that costs are either fixed or variable:
o Fixed Costs = Costs fixed in $ regardless of output
o Variable Costs = Vary directly in $ with output
But that isn't the full story ...
I met Mmusi Maimane a few times. He really is a wonderful, decent human being whom I admire. Which is precisely why he would not survive in the cesspool of politics. For that job you need at least some attributes of a gangster