AI boomed, but even though this chart is not realistic. $50 to $2.2K is definitely a bubble. Many old investor made money and new investor will definitely going to loss their capital. #SNDK#SanDisk
@FoxNews I am not understanding what just happened. Iran never had a nuclear weapon. US and IRAN fought, IRAN still doesn't have a nuke and all the sanction relieved along with reconstruction payment. Who is really the winner here??? What a waste of resources.
🚨 SpaceX alarak zengin olmayacaksın.
2 trilyon doların üzerindeki bir şirketin 100x yapması neredeyse imkansız.
Asıl büyük fırsat SpaceX'te değil.
SpaceX ekosisteminin büyümesinden en fazla fayda sağlayabilecek 20 küçük şirket:
(KAYDET)
Tesla and SpaceX over the next few months:
• June 18: CRSP index inclusion for SpaceX. Triggers an estimated $4-7B in forced buying by passive funds.
• June 18: FTSE Russell index inclusion for SpaceX. Triggers an estimated $6-9B in forced buying by passive funds.
• June 26: MSCI index inclusion for SpaceX. Triggers an estimated $3-5B in forced buying by passive funds.
• End of June: HW3 Tesla owners get FSD V14 Light. Expect possible delays.
• July 2: Tesla Q2 vehicle and energy storage delivery report.
• July 6: NASDAQ 100 index inclusion for SpaceX. Triggers an estimated $8-12B in forced buying by passive funds.
• Late July: Tesla Q2 earnings call.
• Early-mid August: SpaceX Q2 earnings call, their first earnings call as a public company.
• 2 trading days after SpaceX's Q2 earnings released: 30% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 12% of all outstanding shares).
NOTE: Since only about 40% of all outstanding shares are eligible for early release lockups, that 30% above equates to 12% of all outstanding shares. Elon's shares, board member shares, and some others, are subject to an extended lockup of 366 days. Together, the shares subject to these extended lockup restrictions represent 60% of SpaceX's outstanding shares.
• August 21: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 10: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 25: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September: Indexes rebalance. SpaceX will then have a higher weighting in those indexes due to an increase in the public float from insider shares being unlocked. Passive funds would likely need to purchase billions of dollars worth of additional shares to bring their holdings in line with the new index weight.
• October 2: Tesla Q3 vehicle and energy storage delivery report.
• October 12: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• October 26: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• Late October: Tesla Q3 earnings call.
• Early-mid November: SpaceX Q3 earnings call.
• 2 trading days after SpaceX's Q3 earnings released: 28% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 11.2% of all outstanding shares).
• December 9: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• December: Indexes rebalance again. SpaceX will then have an even higher weighting in those indexes due to an increase in the public float from insider shares being unlocked. Passive funds would likely need to purchase billions of dollars worth of additional shares to bring their holdings in line with the new index weight.
(The Cursor acquisition will likely affect these lockup percentages slightly)
Here's what the $SPCX unlock schedule looks like for the 95% of the shares that are currently frozen:
IPO (June 12, 2026): Only ~4–5% public float initially available.
First major unlock (~Aug 11, after Q2 earnings): Up to 20% of eligible locked shares.
Rolling 7% releases every ~15 days from late August through late October.
Biggest single tranche (~Nov 9, after Q3 earnings): +28%.
Full unlock for eligible shares by ~December 9, 2026 (180 days post-IPO).
Performance bonus: An extra +10% (total 30% after Q2) is possible if the stock stays ≥30% above the $135 IPO price.
@ElonMusk & certain major investors: Separate 366-day lockup (unlocks around mid-June 2027). They do not get any of the early releases shown above.
@SpaceX Unlock Chart courtesy of @grok
SpaceX just bought a $60 billion company without spending a dollar.
The deal for Cursor, the AI coding tool, is all stock. No cash. SpaceX prints new shares, hands them over, done.
Now connect it to what happened last week.
SpaceX went public by floating just 4% of itself. 556 million shares against 13 billion. The tiniest free float a mega-cap has ever listed with. Index funds were forced to buy it. Retail piled in. Tiny supply, enormous demand, and the stock rocketed past $200.
Here's the part that should make you sit up.
The price SpaceX pays for Cursor is set by its own share price in the seven days before closing. The higher the stock, the fewer shares it has to print to cover $60 billion.
So the engineered scarcity that pumped the stock now makes the acquisition cheaper. The squeeze pays for the shopping spree.
A company losing $4 billion a quarter is now buying AI startups with paper it manufactured out of a 4% float.
This isn't aerospace. It isn't even AI.
It's the finest financial engineering of the century, and it's only getting started.
This can not be a normal price action, while we have USA-IRAN conflict. AI boom can't justify this chart. Market is in extreme gamble mood, I am expecting a sharp fall but not sure about the timing.
#NASDAQ, #SPX500#NVDA#ANTHROPIC#OPENAI
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the fastest growing GitHub repos in finance this week:
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@worldlibertyfi 2-year cliff with a 3-year linear vest, so big investor have to sell their tokens after next election, they cant even sell it for $0.05 they have to sell it for $0.000005
@MarioNawfal IRAN is not a competition, but TRUMP is in trouble as he can't open Horumuz by using military power. USA can destroy IRAN but to open Hormuz it will need 3/4 year long ground invasion and Trump doesn't have that time.
@MarioNawfal Can't agree with you, US oil reserve was not for sale, it was for their energy security. Iran war forced them to sell their oil reserve. If US doesn't open their oil reserve, the oil price will go over $150-$180.