Utku COLAK

Licensed Investor for 13 years | Entrepreneur | ColakLLC owner. | Sayfam kendi not defterimdir. Kimseyi yönlendirme amacı taşımıyorum.

[Utku COLAK @colakllc]

40 yaşıma kadar kodlama ve kuantum fiziği hakkında bilgim yoktu. Biraz bir şey kapabilir miyim diye youtube videolarında kıvranıyordum. Şimdi 34.000 satır kodlu uygulama yapıyorum. Kuantum mekaniği ile göreliliği nasıl birleştiremezler kardeşim triplerine falan giriyorum :) Ama net söyleyeyim benim hayatımı değiştirdi. 40 yaşımda bu devrime denk geldiğim için çok şanslıyım.

[Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv]

🔴Forced selling from leveraged ETFs is amplifying volatility in Korean chip stocks to unprecedented levels:

The CSOP SK Hynix Daily 2x Leveraged Product, the world's largest single-stock leveraged product of its kind listed in Hong Kong, saw assets soar to ~$17 billion as of Monday, more than TRIPLING since April.

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, leveraged ETFs tracking Samsung and SK Hynix were forced to sell a combined ~$6 BILLION of their shares to maintain their 2x ratios, accounting for ~14% of total turnover in both stocks, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.

Furthermore, on Friday, with SK Hynix falling -8.4% and Samsung falling -5.3%, estimated forced selling from leveraged ETFs could be as much as ~$5 BILLION.

This comes as a record $44 billion universe of leveraged ETFs tracking Korean chip stocks must rebalance daily to maintain their fixed leverage ratios, mechanically selling into every decline and buying into every rally, turning normal market moves into extreme volatility.

Leveraged ETF flows are impacting the South Korean market more than ever.

[DANNY @Danny_Crypton]

The biggest IPO warning in 100 YEARS.

This pattern has NEVER failed.

1926 → Goldman Sachs
1972 → Intel
1999 → AT&T Wireless
2026 → SpaceX

Each mega IPO arrived exactly on the peak of a major market bubble.

Then the S&P 500 crashed.

→ 1926 crash: 86%
→ 1972 crash: 53%
→ 1999 crash: 51%
→ 2026 crash: **%

And SpaceX is the final liquidity event before the AI bubble breaks.

Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS.

I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again.

That’s literally my job.

If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

[Kevin Gordon @KevRGordon]

Same idea with the electronic components within PPI

[hurri @hrrcnes]

RUS YAZILIMCILARIN BİZDEN 10 KAT DAHA UCUZA CLAUDE OPUS 4.8 API TOKENLARI ALDIĞI SİTEYİ BULDUM

→ 20 dolarlık api kredisini 0.015 dolara satıyorlar.
→ chatgpt ve gemini dahil bir ton aboneliği yarı fiyatından ucuza alabiliyorlar

her şey var. gerçek insanların puanladığı onlarca satıcı.. normal insanlar ayda 20$ öderken, rus geliştiricilerin dünyasının yarısı 5 dolarlık geçici çözümlerle işlerini hallediyor.

ai dünyasının gri marketi de bu işte, paylaş ki herkes görüp faydalansın.

site: https://t.co/IymYBpGpMN

[Northstar @NorthstarCharts]

Gold, silver, commodities, energy, oil, stock markets - This chart is expected to give us a clear answer in the next 6-12 months. No bias, no fomo, no b/s - simply observe and react accordingly 👇

[Utku COLAK @colakllc]

@cevikfinance Halkaarzindan hemen sonra unitree.

[Emir Şahin @emirusahin]

Büyük hayali olanların yanılgısı, atması gereken adımların da büyük olması.

Ne yapacağını bilmiyorsan, başla.

Belki istediğin şey, o şey değil ama sonunda başladığın yerde olmayacaksın. Farklı olacaksın.

Büyük olması için başlaman, küçük-sıkıcı-tekrarlayan adımlar atman gerek.

[Micro2Macr0 @Micro2Macr0]

BREAKING!!! - @PeterSchiff indicates that $Gold is NO LONGER a Store of Value after it drops below the 200 daily moving average.

Sources: Peter said "I'm going all in on #Bitcoin". 🤑

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: Global central banks acquired +17 tonnes of gold in April, the 2nd monthly purchase this year.

This marks a sharp reversal from March, when central banks sold -30 tonnes of gold driven by Turkey and Russia.

Poland led purchases at +14 tonnes, bringing its year-to-date total to +45 tonnes, with gold reserves now at 595 tonnes.

China added +8 tonnes, the biggest monthly addition since December 2024, bringing official gold reserves to a record 2,322 tonnes, or ~9% of total reserves.

China has now purchased gold for 18 consecutive months.

Central bank demand for gold remains incredibly strong.

[DANNY @Danny_Crypton]

🚨 GOLD IS ABOUT TO REPEAT 1979

🇺🇸 TRUMP just requested an audit of 147 MILLION ounces of gold.

That’s $700 BILLION at current prices.

And the worst part is..
The last public audit was in 1979.

And now the same chart, 50 years apart:

1979: Iran War → Gold Audit → Chaos and Dump
2026: Iran War → Gold Audit → (We are here)

I created a pre-dump GOLD trading guide using AI based on OpenClaw..

All you need: a phone + Claude + 1 hour a day (free)

To join:

• Comment "Gold"
• Like and Retweet

Same pattern. Same setup. History doesn't repeat but it rhymes.

(Must follow me so I can send you a DM, good luck)

[Utku COLAK @colakllc]

@Danny_Crypton Gold

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

AI is about to reshape the global workforce:

24% of jobs globally, or ~838 million positions, are estimated to be exposed to generative AI.

High-income countries are facing the greatest risk at ~33% of employment, with ~6% of roles potentially having the highest exposure.

Jobs with the highest exposure are those with repetitive and predictable tasks, meaning AI can automate them with little human variability required.

By comparison, the exposure of low-income countries is ~11% or one-third the levels of high-income countries.

Europe and Central Asia are the most exposed regions at ~32% of employment, followed by the Americas at ~30%, while Africa is the least exposed at ~13%.

The biggest workforce transformation in modern history is underway.

[Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv]

⚠️The BofA Bull & Bear indicator is flashing its most extreme SELL SIGNAL in months:

The indicator rose to 8.5 this week, up +0.5 points from 8.0, pushing further into sell signal territory.

5 of the 6 components remain bullish or very bullish, with Global Fund Managers Positioning in the top 5% of all readings since 2002, the highest of any component, while none are bearish.

Historically, there have been 17 sell signals since 2002, with global stocks averaging a loss of -2% to -3% over the following 2 to 3 months, and maximum drawdowns of -15% to -20%.

Investor euphoria is signalling this is a time to be cautious.

[Cuma Cevik @cevikfinance]

Episodic Pivot (EP), Qullamaggie’nin en çok para kazandığı, swing trade dünyasının en güçlü setuplarından biridir.

Kavramsal olarak ifade edersek: Bir şirketin gelecekteki büyüme hikayesini kökten değiştiren büyük bir haber (bölüm/episode) sonrası, hisse fiyatının devasa bir hacimle yönünü kalıcı olarak yukarı çevirdiği dönüm noktasıdır (pivot).

Bu durum rastgele bir teknik kırılım değildir; arkasında çok güçlü bir fundamental (temel analiz) katalizörü bulunur.

👉🏻 Bir Hareketin "Episodic Pivot" Olma Şartları

Bir gap-up (yukarı yönlü boşluklu açılış) hareketinin gerçek bir EP olabilmesi için şu 4 şartın aynı anda sağlanması gerekir:

🔹 1. Güçlü Katalizör (The Catalyst): Şirketin temel verilerini veya geleceğini tamamen değiştirecek bir gelişme olmalıdır. En yaygın olanı beklentilerin çok üzerinde gelen bilanço (earnings surprise) veya çok güçlü bir gelecek rehberliğidir (guidance). Diğer örnekler: FDA ilaç onayı, devasa bir iş ortaklığı veya yeni bir ürün segmentinin patlaması (örn: YZ trendinin başında $NVDA veya $PLTR.

🔹 2. Muazzam Hacim (Massive Volume): Hacim sadece ortalamanın üzerinde olmamalı, son ayların hatta yılların en yüksek hacmi olmalıdır. O gün tahtada dönen para son 50 günün ortalamasının en az 3-5 katı, bazen 10 katı olmalıdır. Bu, kurumsal fonların (büyük paranın) tahtaya agresif şekilde girdiğinin kanıtıdır.

🔹 3. Büyük Boşluklu Açılış (Gap-Up): Hisse senedi bir önceki günün kapanışına göre ciddi bir yüzdeyle yukarıda açılmalıdır (Genelde en az %+5, %+10 veya daha fazla).

🔹 4. Doğru Grafik Geçmişi (Neglected/Consolidating Background): Hisse ideal olarak aylardır yatay, düşüş, unutulmuş, sıkıcı bir konsolidasyon sürecinde (base) veya düşüş trendinin sonunda olmalıdır. Kimsenin beklemediği bir anda gelen bu şok haber, hisseyi uykudan uyandırır.

👉🏻 Qullamaggie Bu Stratejiyi Nasıl Kullanıyor?

Qullamaggie'nin EP trading mekaniği tamamen risk yönetimi ve momentum üzerine kuruludur:

🔹 Giriş Stratejisi (Entry): EP günü piyasa açılmadan önce taramalarda gap up yapan hisseler tespit edilir. Katalizörün gücü incelenir. Piyasa açıldıktan sonra genellikle ilk 1 Dakika veya ilk 5 Dakika Yüksek Seviyesi (Opening Range Breakout - ORB) takip edilir. Fiyat, açılış mumunun en yüksek seviyesini yukarı kırdığı an pozisyona girilir.

🔹 Stop-Loss (Risk Yönetimi): Stop seviyesi genellikle çok dardır. İki ana stop yeri kullanılır:

1. Gün içi en düşük seviye (Day's Low): Eğer hisse açıldığı andaki en dip seviyenin altına sarkarsa pozisyon hemen stop edilir.

2. İlk 1 veya 5 dakikalık mumun altı: Çok agresif işlemlerde riski minimumda tutmak için tercih edilir.

🔹 Pozisyonu Taşıma (Take Profit): Gerçek bir EP, sadece 1-2 günlük bir hareket değildir. Kurumsal yatırımcılar o fiyattan milyonlarca lotu tek günde alamayacağı için alımlar haftalarca sürer. Kristjan bu yüzden pozisyonun bir kısmını 10 EMA veya 20 EMA (Hareketli Ortalamalar) üzerinde kaldığı sürece haftalarca hatta aylarca taşır. Trend olgunlaştığında (genellikle 3-5 gün sert yükseliş sonrası veya ilk parabolik momentumda) pozisyonun bir kısmında kâr realize eder, kalanını trailing stop (iz süren stop) ile izler.

Özetle standart teknik analiz kırılımları piyasa yapıcılar tarafından "boğa tuzağına" dönüştürülebilir. Ancak arkasında milyarlarca dolarlık fon girişini başlatan gerçek bir hikaye (örneğin dün $ONDS örneği gibi) ve devasa bir Dolar Hacmi olan bir Episodic Pivot'un başarısız olma ihtimali çok daha düşüktür. Qullamaggie'yi multi milyoner yapan en büyük tradeler her zaman bu kurulumdan çıkmıştır.

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

THE NASDAQ IS FOLLOWING THE EXACT SAME PATTERN AS 1999

In 1995 the Nasdaq started at 400. As it climbed toward 1,300 in 1998, economists turned bearish and called the rally unsustainable. When it reached 2,100, the consensus across Wall Street was that the market was dangerously overextended and ready to collapse.

The Nasdaq did not collapse at 2,100. It went to 4,800. Then it crashed 80% and wiped out everything.

Now look at the current cycle.

The Nasdaq bottomed at 8,000 in 2022. As it climbed toward 11,000 in 2025, economists turned bearish again and called the AI rally a bubble.

When it reached 21,000, the same consensus emerged across Wall Street that the market was dangerously overextended and ready to collapse. The Nasdaq is now sitting at 30,000.

The two charts are not similar. They are nearly identical in structure. The same slow grinding base. The same premature bear calls at every major level. The same vertical acceleration that made every person who called the top look completely wrong.

In 1999 the driver was internet stocks and the mainstream said the valuations were detached from reality. In 2026 the driver is AI and the mainstream is saying exactly the same thing.

Here is the part that should make you deeply uncomfortable.

In the dot-com cycle, the biggest and most violent move came after the point where everyone had already called the top. The final leg from 2,100 to 4,800 happened in under 18 months.

That single move created more generational wealth for the people who stayed in and more generational destruction for the people who bought at the very peak than any other period in that entire cycle.

If this cycle follows the same path, the next zone is somewhere between 40,000 and 50,000 on the Nasdaq before the cycle ends.

Nobody knows where inside that zone the market finally turns. That is exactly what made 1999 so dangerous. And so profitable for the people who understood which part of the cycle they were actually in.

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

The last 3 major market crashes all coincided with CPI crossing above 3.8%.

Dot-com: −49%.
Financial crisis: −57%.
2022 rate hike selloff: −25%.

CPI is approaching that level again and S&P is sitting near all time highs.

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

🚨Hedge funds are shorting the US stock market at the highest level since 2021.

Short exposure to US equity index and ETF products just hit 13% of total gross exposure.

It is nearly double where it was before COVID and the highest reading in 5 years.

The S&P 500 is near all time highs. Bond yields are at 2007 levels. And Japan's bond market is cracking.

Korean retail investors are borrowing record amounts to chase stocks higher.

Retail is buying and Hedge funds are shorting.

One of them is about to be very wrong.

Chart: @dailychartbook

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

🚨 LEOPOLD ASCHENBRENNER IS OFFICIALLY BETTING BILLIONS THAT THE AI HARDWARE BOOM HAS PEAKED.

The exOpenAI researcher who was fired for warning that China could steal their AI models then turned $225 million into $5.5 billion in 12 months just filed his Q1 2026 13F with the SEC.

One quarter ago he had $5.5 billion in disclosed equity exposure. As of March 31, 2026 that number is $13.67 billion. The portfolio nearly tripled in a single quarter across 42 positions.

He initiated $7.46 billion in put options against every major semiconductor company between January 1 and March 31, 2026.

None of these positions existed in his Q4 2025 filing.

- SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF PUT: $2.04 billion
- Nvidia PUT: $1.57 billion
- Oracle PUT: $1.07 billion
- Broadcom PUT: $1.01 billion
- AMD PUT: $969 million
- Micron PUT: $583 million
- Taiwan Semiconductor PUT: $535 million
- ASML PUT: $494 million
- Intel PUT: $159 million

For the past 18 months Aschenbrenner was betting only on electricity, memory, compute, and physical data center infrastructure. That made him one of the best performing fund managers in the world. And his long stock book still reflects that exact same thesis.

- Bloom Energy: $878 million
- SanDisk: $724 million
- CoreWeave: $556 million
- IREN: $401 million
- Core Scientific: $389 million
- Applied Digital: $320 million
- Riot Platforms: $142 million
- CleanSpark: $104 million
- Solaris Energy: $62 million
- T1 Energy: $43 million
- Bitfarms: $38 million
- Bitdeer: $29 million
- Power Solutions: $26 million
- WhiteFiber: $20 million
- Babcock and Wilcox: $19 million
- SharonAI: $18 million
- ProPetro: $13 million
- Hive Digital: $6 million

He is also running call options on specific names at the same time as his puts, which means he is not simply betting against semiconductors everywhere.

- Micron CALL: $422 million
- SanDisk CALL: $388 million
- Taiwan Semiconductor CALL: $354 million
- CoreWeave CALL: $140 million
- Bloom Energy CALL: $55 million

This means he believes the companies supplying power, storage, and compute to the AI industry still have years of growth ahead of them.

But the chip companies that Wall Street has been buying for the past two years at record valuations have already priced in everything good that is going to happen to them.

The man who has been right about every major AI trade for the past 18 months is now betting that the biggest names in semiconductors are about to fall.

If his track record means anything, the chip stocks Wall Street has been buying for the past two years may be in serious trouble.

[Utku COLAK @colakllc]

@cevikfinance Hic takilmayin. Her zaman kimliklerini gizli tutan, korkak, kisa süreli ego zaferleri yaşamaya muhtaç, kendi güvensizliğini bastirmak icin baskalarinin hatalarini kollayip bunlar uzerinden “haklı çıkma” ihtiyacini kendince gidermeye calışan sosyal medyanın toksik tipleri.