Sam Colbert

#USMC (United States Marine) #golf #investing #StockMarket #Technology #AI #Quantum #Gym #running #ServiceManagement #ServiceDigitalTransformation #forhire

[Alex Mason 👁△ @AlexMasonCrypto]

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS FRIDAY

Everyone thought the biggest risk was SpaceX IPO day.

Wrong.

And if you think SpaceX is going higher, you are completely wrong.

SpaceX’s IPO launched at $135.

Now it’s trading around $230.

That is almost +70% from the IPO price in days.

And now the real problem begins.

At $230, SpaceX is being valued at almost $3.1 trillion.

On only $18.7 billion in annual revenue.

That is almost 200x sales.

After the IPO, everyone finally sees the same thing:

SpaceX demand is massive.

Retail wants more.

Funds want more.

Institutions want more.

But money does NOT appear from nowhere.

To buy more SpaceX, they need cash.

And to get cash, they sell what they already own.

Stocks. Crypto. AI names. High-beta tech.

Everything retail is already holding.

This is a liquidity black hole trading at almost 200x sales.

Now connect the dots:

The IPO already happened.

The first-day pump was already insane.

And now everyone who did NOT get enough allocation is heavily buying shares:

- LIGHT SHOCK: people sell small positions, stocks get hit first, crypto follows, then markets try to stabilize.

- HEAVIER SCENARIO: funds raise cash after the IPO, high-beta tech dumps, Bitcoin loses support, and retail gets trapped.

- WORST CASE: everyone rushes to buy at the same time, stocks dump hard, crypto gets hit first, and people get liquidated.

And now one of the most hyped IPOs in history is absorbing even more money at one of the most insane valuations ever seen.

Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.

The next call will be even more important.

When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.

Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

Yesterday was the Iran relief melt-up: Dow record, Nasdaq best day since March, oil $80. 🎯
Today the trade already changed. It's the Fed now. 🏛️
• Futures flat after +1.7% S&P Monday
• Oil still sliding, Brent <$83
• But gold WON'T roll over (+0.4%, still bid) 🚩

When the dominant binary resolves, don't keep fighting it — find the NEXT one. Small size into FOMC.

#SPY #QQQ #CrudeOil #Gold #tradingscam #TradingDiscipline #RiskManagement #Macro #SPY #QQQ #FOMC #Gold #Trading.

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@Desi_Trade Great way to start the morning off

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@Basssem666 Good info and perspective

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@Basssem666 Only been playing upside on dips so I don’t get hurt by headlines. I don’t agree with it but I understand the markets

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@Basssem666 Definitely a view I’ve taken into consideration, which makes me say we are only looking up

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@usmanashraff

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@usmanashraff Greece was great. Went last oct-nov

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

I just wish everyone to include all news agencies would just stop reporting on it. As they know its to intentionally cause confusion and misinformation. Which takes the focus off real issues.
We should come up with MOU for all news agencies to stop reporting till its actually happens. Playing in hands of this reality show.

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@CNBC The world is so confused on what is really going on. Feels like episodes of a reality tv show.

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@market_sleuth Thank You 🙏 Enjoy your Sunday

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@market_sleuth SMH... breaking the markets

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

MORNING INTEL & MARKET PREP

Friday, June 12, 2026 | Pre-Market — 🚀 SpaceX Debut + Iran MOU

Two things can be true at once today — and that tension IS the trade.

🟢 Trump confirmed a “very strong MOU” to end the Iran war. Oil -4%. Markets ripped 930 Dow points Thursday.
🔴 Iran’s Fars agency simultaneously listed Elon Musk’s SpaceX as a potential strike target.

Narrative says de-escalation. A live strike threat says not so fast. The tape is siding with peace (oil down) — but this is why the binary stays OPEN.

And one critical clarification the market keeps glossing over: this “MOU” is a ~60-day CEASEFIRE with terms — Hormuz reopens, mines cleared, blockade lifted. It is NOT a treaty. The nuclear problem — the actual cause of the war — is deferred, not solved. Premium compressed; war risk NOT resolved. Watch the day 45-60 window.

🚀 Meanwhile: SpaceX debuts. Largest IPO ever — $135, $1.77T, $75B raised. Crypto perps are already trading 33% over the IPO price. Demand is frothy.

The high bar is the trap: with hype this loud, a muted open would itself be a sell signal — huge expectations the tape won’t follow.

Watch TSLA — Musk-bull capital splits between Tesla and SPCX; IPO milestones have averaged -4.2% for TSLA.

The lesson the tape taught this week: when headlines and price disagree, price usually wins. Don’t jump the gun on a ceasefire dressed up as peace.

Don’t chase the open. Trade the strength, go light into the weekend. Warsh’s first FOMC is Tuesday. ⚡

#SpaceX #SPCX #SPY #SPX #QQQ #Iran #Oil #Oracle #TSLA #IPO #FedWatch #Warsh #Gold #MacroTrading #Geopolitics #WallStreet #DayTrading

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

Let me get this right? So basically returning everything back to how it was prior to conflict? At least this slows the escalation down. I Love my country but just wish we could have worked this differently without all the loss of lives and other waste.

What the MOU actually is: A 60-day framework to pause fighting and start negotiations, not a final settlement. It’s explicitly described as “an agreement to get everybody to the table.” The hard stuff, dismantling enrichment, disposing of the highly enriched uranium stockpile, permanent sanctions relief, troop withdrawal, all gets deferred to talks that haven’t happened yet.

Key points:

•60-day ceasefire extension, extendable by mutual consent
•Strait of Hormuz reopens with no tolls; Iran clears mines within 30 days
•US lifts the naval blockade gradually as shipping resumes; issues some oil sanctions waivers
•Iran pledges not to pursue nuclear weapons (but actual enrichment limits are deferred)
•US forces stay in the region and only withdraw if a final deal is reached
•A ~$300B “investment fund” the US would help facilitate, contingent on a final deal

#UnitedStates #Hormuz #MOU #USIran   #stockmarket

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@SuperLuckeee The Plunge protection team jumped in

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@alphaticaio This was great! 🙏

[Sam Colbert @colbertsr]

@market_sleuth 🤑