Connection Capital

Institutional-grade speculation by @dankrupk

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Alpha #12: Steakholder Foods (STKH). Link in bio

[The Trading Parrot @TradingParrot]

Why did Tether DOUBLE its excess reserves from $4B to $8B last quarter? The only logical answer: they're preparing for something bad. Plus their first-ever audit over the summer. This is the tell nobody's talking about — at 59:11 in today's video
#Tether #USDT #Crypto #Stablecoins #MarketRisk @connectioncapit

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

The Democrats proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% could accelerate crypto debit card growth due to crypto's ability to offer additional rewards to card holders.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Around 80% of policies from the Trump administration have been implemented via executive order. This suggests that the recent Democratic sweep of Congress may have little effect on future policy.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Natural gas (NATGAS) looks like it could break out in the coming weeks, possibly days.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

The primary purpose of AI is to prevent wages from rising as the population shrinks (lower labor supply = higher wages). If wages are allowed to rise (as they should), inflation will rise, interest rates will rise, and debts will default.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Is this a bottom signal?

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

The 10 year Treasury bond yield is close to a local bottom here. This suggests the flight to safety may not last much longer, which in turn suggests the local bottom in stocks is close.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Why are the markets down? Because oil is up. Why is oil up? Because of fears that the war in Iran will escalate.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Why does Bitcoin bitcoin:native perform better under Democrat rule? One possibility is that the traditional financial system is allegedly / reportedly biased against conservatives / Republicans.

Putting money in crypto, especially BTC, provides not only a hedge but a critical lifeline by which conservative, primarily anti-establishment populists, can store their wealth and transfer value.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

For years, Democrats have been scrutinizing Tron tron:native. Now that they have swept both the House and Senate, it's likely there will be actual action against Tron in 2027, if only because of Justin Sun's ties to Trump.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Psychedelic stocks including $CMPS, HELP, DFTX, and others previously held by Connection Capital (and sold at ~2x profits over the summer) are finally approaching reaccumulation levels, exactly as expected.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Microstrategy / Strategy daily dividends begin today. This is eerily similar to how Terra's Anchor Protocol stabilized yields at the beginning of May 2022, roughly 2 weeks before UST collapsed. Food for thought.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

With Binance presumably taking a large loss as a result of the recent hack, it will be interesting to see if prime assets owned by the exchange will be sold off to competitors, such as CoinMarketCap.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

A couple of months ago, Tether did its first ever audit. Now it has doubled its excess reserves. The purpose of this is presumably to increase confidence in USDT's backing and stability. Why now?

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

Those claiming that crypto is resilient despite the Binance hack should keep in mind that it takes time for the effects of such shocks to affect the broader markets. The full extent of the damage is yet unknown.

[Connection Capital @Connectioncapit]

For months, Connection Capital has been warning about escalating attacks on the offshore crypto industry by the onshore crypto industry. No, it was not North Korea that hacked Binance.