Economist - covering Eurozone and UK, formerly @ecb and Central Bank of Ireland. Interested in text mining, Eintracht, St. Pats and misc. sport. 🇮🇪 in 🇬🇧.
@minevian@florianederer Oh I agree with you! Best format possible given limited number of match days, ideal world if more match days available would be fewer but larger groups, would reduce the disparity between worst and best teams in each pot as each pot would be smaller.
@minevian@florianederer Nothing necessarily wrong! Just shows the element of luck - Pot 2 that time had France and England creating possible v tough groups
Compare the pot 1,2,4 combination of Netherlands, France and Greece to an equally possible combo from those pots of Hungary, Finland, Faroe Islands
@ClausVistesen Won’t lie, you guys going out to the Czechs after us blowing a 2-0 lead while well on top against them as well as blowing the lead in penalties further adds to the sting of last Thursday…
@CrisisStudent We are basically experiencing a lagged version of what happened with the BoE
Member paragraphs meant individual hawkish views were frontloaded, just had to wait for the flow of speakers to see the same for the ECB
@fwred@CrisisStudent@Lagarde Think severe and adverse have monetary policy assumptions in line with baseline rather than no change (subtle but important difference from stance perceptions!)
@jimmy__mcintosh Brilliant shout. Gaffneys isn’t far from there and en route to the city centre and is also class. If you are more central later try cumiskeys on constitution hill - still can get a pint of beamish for under a fiver. Wellington house (Glynn’s) also worth a shout, bit more chaotic.
Less than a week left to apply for this, the most exciting job in UK fiscal policy available right now.
(Chair of the OBR is a close second).
https://t.co/UIkuBX1quy
@ClausVistesen Increasingly of this opinion, helps spoofers generate obvious spoof, but clear efficiency gains in fields you already know (mainly because what makes zero sense becomes super obvious)
@ClausVistesen Considering the “upper percentile” forecasts in the macro projections sensitivity analysis in Dec had an average of 1.21 in 2026 knocked 0.1pp off inflation alone - this really adds to the case for a reasonably firm inflation downgrade in the March projections
Fascinated that this guy manages to take the most negative and pessimistic take on everything EU-related, be it monetary policy instruments or troop deployments