Context

The first AI native prediction market. Predict anything with one prompt. Discord:

[Context @context]

We started Context in 2021 with a simple goal: make web3 more fun. Today, we’re saying goodbye to Context Markets and Context, the company.

Thank you to everyone who tried our products over the years: Context (the social feed), https://t.co/E6zpLPffzV (acq. @zora), https://t.co/KVts0sqSb0, https://t.co/XFU0oJmDEh, and https://t.co/hTAhxSirVx.

While we didn’t succeed commercially, we are proud of our contributions to consumer crypto. We’re deeply grateful to our users, early supporters, and financial backers.

Thank you.

[🪱 @worm_emoji]

Thank you everyone for the nice words on this. It means a lot.

I'm grateful for Context's team that worked hard on our products. They are very talented.

We have people looking for roles in engineering, product, and ops based in NYC and remote.

Please email [email protected] if you would like to find out more. Thank you.

[Context @context]

@zora For users of Context Markets, here is the announcement we posted today in our Discord. All funds remain safe and accessible at https://t.co/4BVxH4nISf.

[Context @context]

We started Context in 2021 with a simple goal: make web3 more fun. Today, we’re saying goodbye to Context Markets and Context, the company.

Thank you to everyone who tried our products over the years: Context (the social feed), https://t.co/E6zpLPffzV (acq. @zora), https://t.co/KVts0sqSb0, https://t.co/XFU0oJmDEh, and https://t.co/hTAhxSirVx.

While we didn’t succeed commercially, we are proud of our contributions to consumer crypto. We’re deeply grateful to our users, early supporters, and financial backers.

Thank you.

[Context @context]

Two things can be true:

1. Frontier coding models are getting kind of absurd
2. 90% of people still think of 4o when they think of "AI"

Maybe OpenAI's new model changes that.

3% chance Spud releases this month.

[Andrej Karpathy @karpathy]

Judging by my tl there is a growing gap in understanding of AI capability.

The first issue I think is around recency and tier of use. I think a lot of people tried the free tier of ChatGPT somewhere last year and allowed it to inform their views on AI a little too much. This is a group of reactions laughing at various quirks of the models, hallucinations, etc. Yes I also saw the viral videos of OpenAI's Advanced Voice mode fumbling simple queries like "should I drive or walk to the carwash". The thing is that these free and old/deprecated models don't reflect the capability in the latest round of state of the art agentic models of this year, especially OpenAI Codex and Claude Code.

But that brings me to the second issue. Even if people paid $200/month to use the state of the art models, a lot of the capabilities are relatively "peaky" in highly technical areas. Typical queries around search, writing, advice, etc. are *not* the domain that has made the most noticeable and dramatic strides in capability. Partly, this is due to the technical details of reinforcement learning and its use of verifiable rewards. But partly, it's also because these use cases are not sufficiently prioritized by the companies in their hillclimbing because they don't lead to as much $$$ value. The goldmines are elsewhere, and the focus comes along.

So that brings me to the second group of people, who *both* 1) pay for and use the state of the art frontier agentic models (OpenAI Codex / Claude Code) and 2) do so professionally in technical domains like programming, math and research. This group of people is subject to the highest amount of "AI Psychosis" because the recent improvements in these domains as of this year have been nothing short of staggering. When you hand a computer terminal to one of these models, you can now watch them melt programming problems that you'd normally expect to take days/weeks of work. It's this second group of people that assigns a much greater gravity to the capabilities, their slope, and various cyber-related repercussions.

TLDR the people in these two groups are speaking past each other. It really is simultaneously the case that OpenAI's free and I think slightly orphaned (?) "Advanced Voice Mode" will fumble the dumbest questions in your Instagram's reels and *at the same time*, OpenAI's highest-tier and paid Codex model will go off for 1 hour to coherently restructure an entire code base, or find and exploit vulnerabilities in computer systems. This part really works and has made dramatic strides because 2 properties: 1) these domains offer explicit reward functions that are verifiable meaning they are easily amenable to reinforcement learning training (e.g. unit tests passed yes or no, in contrast to writing, which is much harder to explicitly judge), but also 2) they are a lot more valuable in b2b settings, meaning that the biggest fraction of the team is focused on improving them. So here we are.

[Context @context]

If you don't have an agent on Context analyzing League of Legends matches and trading mispricings while you sleep...

You're falling behind.

[Context @context]

The biggest college basketball game of the year tips off tonight.

We built a live prediction simulator for Michigan vs Arizona in 20 minutes.

- Real-time odds from Context
- Toggle game factors to shift win probability
- Simulate in-game events and watch odds move
- Full rosters, stats, tournament paths

This is what prediction markets look like when they're composable.

[Context @context]

You can literally have Claude scroll X and make prediction markets on whatever trending in real time.

Claude seemed pretty stoked about the TBPN announcement.

Only on Context.

[Context @context]

Trade on Context: https://t.co/YcFQVx651N

[Context @context]

NEW MARKET 🚨 Will Anthropic officially open source Claude Code in the next month?

Markets are giving it a 4% chance...

[Context @context]

Live markets are now on Context.

Find and trade live events in real time across sports, e-sports, and more.

https://t.co/4BVxH4ogHN

[Context @context]

Trade on Context: https://t.co/4s8CtV8m5y

[Context @context]

NEW MARKET 🚨 Will Luka Doncic be suspended again this season?

[Context @context]

To get started, ask your Hermes agent to read the README.md in this repo:

https://t.co/3GDcMMIIgn

[Context @context]

Context now supports @NousResearch's Hermes.

Ask Hermes to do market research, develop automated trading strategies, and build prediction market applications on top of Context.

Agent markets are here.

[Context @context]

Trade the Sweet 16 games live on Context: https://t.co/K4MusnKIwj

[Context @context]

Only 16 teams remain...

Who do you think is winning it all?

[Context @context]

Trading on prediction markets has never been this fun

1) Set up OpenClaw with the Context CLI
2) Give it a link + thesis
3) Let it do research and find markets
4) If it finds none, it create it's own market for you to hedge with

From scrolling → position in under a minute

[Context @context]

Meek,

You don't need developers anymore.

You just need agentic prediction markets.

[MeekMill @MeekMill]

I need a game developer to help me build the illest bikelife game in like a tong hawk in the bikelife world... I be seeing games built that I imagined it years ago... I can do it connect me!

[Context @context]

Will the US take Kharg Island? Trade on Context: https://t.co/k91WEohd6u

[Context @context]

JUST IN 🇺🇸 Trump says he's considering leaving Iran, and that the Strait of Hormuz will have to be guarded by the "other nations who use it"