Cllr Martyn Shrewsbury #Socialist Sunday Back up

Backup Account Dad Socialist Councillor Ecosocialist, Writer, Philosopher,Psychotherapist Welsh Republican, Political/Cultural Astrologer. Pagan He/Him

[electionmapsuk @electionmapsuk]

Kilburn, Denby, Holbrook & Horsley (Amber Valley) Council By-Election Result:

🌍 GRN: 29.5% (+4.0)
➡️ RFM: 27.0% (New)
🌳 CON: 16.9% (-15.2)
🌹 LAB: 15.9% (-6.1)
◼️ RES: 10.8% (New)

No Ind (-14.1) or LDM (-6.4) as previous.

Green GAIN from Conservative.
Changes w/ 2025.

[electionmapsuk @electionmapsuk]

Welsh Westminster Voting Intention:

PLC: 27% (-3)
RFM: 19% (-7)
LAB: 18% (+10)
CON: 16% (+4)
GRN: 8% (-5)
LDM: 5% (-1)

Via @YouGov, 7-13 Sep.
Changes w/ 27 Apr - 4 May.

[Cllr Martyn Shrewsbury #Socialist Sunday Back up @CouncillorMjs]

How long before Farage claims he didn't know him that well? @ElaineDyson1ack @ZackPolanski

[Zack Polanski @ZackPolanski]

This is utterly unacceptable.

Labour said they were going to bring the feudal system of leasehold to an end.

And now it all "very much depends."

Labour have a huge majority. What does it depend on?

[electionmapsuk @electionmapsuk]

Guston, Kingsdown & St Margaret's-at-Cliffe (Dover) Council By-Election Result:

🌍 GRN: 28.8% (+2.7)
➡️ RFM: 27.5% (New)
🌳 CON: 17.1% (-16.0)
🌹 LAB: 14.6% (-9.2)
◼️ RES: 10.7% (New)
🙋 Ind: 1.3% (New)

No LDM (-9.0) or HER (-7.9) as previous.

Green GAIN from Conservative.
Changes w/ 2023.

[Global Election Simulator @globalelectsim]

🇦🇺 2028 Australian Federal Election Projection:

🔴 ALP (centre-left) - 73 seats (29.8%)
🟠 One Nation (right-wing) - 37 seats (27.9%)
🔵 Coalition (centre-right) - 25 seats (20.6%)
⚪️ Independents - 9 seats (2.0%)
🟢 Greens - 4 seats (12.5%)
🟡 Katter’s Australian - 1 seat (0.2%)
🩷 Centre Alliance - 1 seat (0.2%)

Official Global Election Simulator Prediction

[Nowcast EU 🗳️ @Nowcast_EU]

🇩🇪 Germany | Federal Election Nowcast update — August 22, 2026

➡️ AfD: 28% | 205 (+5)
⬛ Union: 21% | 152 (=)
🟩 GRN: 14% | 104 (-1)
🟥 SPD: 12% | 90 (+3)
🟪 Linke: 11% | 78 (-7)
—
🟨 FDP: 4.6% | 0 (=)
🟪 BSW: 2.6% | 0 (=)

+/- vs. August 7

[electionmapsuk @electionmapsuk]

Penistone East (Barnsley) Council By-Election Result:

🌹 LAB: 51.6% (+14.4)
➡️ RFM: 23.8% (-6.7)
🌳 CON: 11.6% (-7.6)
◼️ RES: 6.5% (New)
🙋 Ind: 2.6% (New)
🔶 LDM: 2.1% (-3.6)
🌍 GRN: 1.7% (-5.6)
🙋 Ind: 0.2% (New)

Labour GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2026.

[Zack Polanski @ZackPolanski]

Sending love to Jason Arday's family and friends.

He was subject of sustained and malicious media attacks which were no doubt more vicious because he was Black.

We must now reflect on the impact of a trial by some of the media and online on someone under extreme pressure.

[Ash Sarkar @AyoCaesar]

Jason Arday wasn't the first academic to be accused of plagiarism at Cambridge. He wasn't the first person to have made implausible claims about his life in an autobiography.

But he was the first where those things became a front-page story, across multiple papers, for days and days.

[Eleanora (Stats for Lefties) 🍉🏳️‍⚧️ @LeftieStats]

🗳️ NEW | Reform lead by 2pts

➡️ Ref: 23% ( -1 )
🔵 Con: 21% ( +2 )
🔴 Lab: 20% ( +1 )
🟢 Grn: 14% ( -1 )
🟠 Lib: 12% ( -1 )
⚫️ Res: 3% ( - )

{ Seats }
➡️ Ref: 194
🔵 Con: 147
🔴 Lab: 97
🟠 Lib: 75
🟡 Nat: 59
🟢 Grn: 50

Via @YouGov, 19-20 Jul (+/- vs 12-13 Jul)

[Eleanora (Stats for Lefties) 🍉🏳️‍⚧️ @LeftieStats]

🚨 Who would you prefer to see as Prime Minister?

➡️ 15% – Nigel Farage ( Ref )
🔴 15% – Andy Burnham ( Lab )
🔵 11% – Kemi Badenoch ( Con )
🟢 10% – Zack Polanski ( Grn )
🟠 5% – Ed Davey ( Lib )

Via @FindOutNowUK, 26-27 June

[electionmapsuk @electionmapsuk]

Grays Town (Thurrock) Council By-Election Result:

🌹 LAB: 37.0% (+5.3)
➡️ RFM: 27.0% (-7.8)
🙋 Ind: 13.0% (New)
🌳 CON: 12.3% (+1.3)
🌍 GRN: 8.8% (-7.3)
🔶 LDM: 1.9% (-4.5)

Labour GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2026.

[Aaron Bastani @AaronBastani]

Right to buy was one of the most insane, deeply damaging policies in Britain’s history. Perhaps the triple lock, in time, will get a strong second place.

It speaks volumes that Labour was still in favour of it until 10 minutes ago.

[Eleanora (Stats for Lefties) 🍉🏳️‍⚧️ @LeftieStats]

🗳️ BREAKING | By a 33pt margin, Brits declare that Israel is committing genocide against Palestinians.

🔵 It is a genocide: 50%
🟡 Not a genocide: 17%

Poll: YouGov, 2-3 July

[Europe Erects @EuropeErects]

UK (Clacton by-election), Ipsus poll:

Count Binface (Count Binface Party-*): 52% (n.a.)
Farage (REFUK~NI): 48% (+2)

+/- vs. 2024 election result

Fieldwork: 8 July 2026
Sample size: 500

[Aaron Bastani @AaronBastani]

I agree with this.

Several parties say Farage is an existential threat to the ideals they believe Britain rests upon.

But they won’t…stand, or even endorse, candidates running against him?

It makes that argument look rather ridiculous, I think.

[Cllr Martyn Shrewsbury #Socialist Sunday Back up @CouncillorMjs]

It's a two horse race @ZackPolanski @ElaineDyson1 @LeftieStats @SydesJokes

[Eleanora (Stats for Lefties) 🍉🏳️‍⚧️ @LeftieStats]

🗳️ NEW | Private renters seem unimpressed with Labour's housing reforms, with Greens ahead🧐

~ Private renters ~
🟢 Grn: 26% ( +14 )
🔴 Lab: 19% ( -23 )
➡️ Ref: 18% ( +5 )
🟠 Lib: 15% ( +1 )
🔵 Con: 12% ( - )

Via YouGov, 22 June (+/- vs GE2024)

[IslamophobiaUK @uk_islamophobia]

Five Muslim men were chased through Edinburgh with a machete on Friday night.

Two of them were 22 years old.

They were walking through their own city. Sighthill. Then the west. Then Leith Walk.

By the end of the night, five were injured and three were in hospital.

Tonight they are lying in those beds wondering if they will be well enough for work on Monday.

The man who did it was pinned to the ground by police, still screaming.

"I'm protecting the country from these Muslim bastards raping our young daughters."

Ask where a man learns to say that out loud.

He didn't invent it.

Three days earlier, Rupert Lowe published a crowdfunded report claiming 250,000 white girls had been raped by Muslim gangs.

The number was everywhere. GB News. X. The front pages.

Then a man took it into the street on the end of a blade.

He needed one breath to name who he hated.

Watch how long it took everyone else.

The BBC first wrote "Islamophobic attacks." Then changed it to "anti-Muslim." The right word, quietly swapped.

Sky News: "appearing to target Muslims."

LBC kept the word. The only outlet that did. The same station that dropped Sangita Myska in 2024 after she refused to soften.

Then the politicians.

Manchester synagogue, October. John Swinney, same day: "Antisemitism is an evil we must confront." He named the faith. He named the community. That was right.

Edinburgh, his own capital. Swinney: "deeply concerned" by "these incidents." Not Muslim. Not Islamophobia.

The Prime Minister, almost a day late: "appears to be motivated by anti-Muslim hatred."

The Home Secretary, Shabana Mahmood, a Muslim woman, the minister whose department decides what this country calls terrorism. Golders Green: "a vile act of terrorism." Edinburgh: "appears."

Even her.

Still no COBRA. The threat level has not moved. And not one of them will name the attacker's faith.

When the man with the blade is one of us, his religion leads the headline before the ambulance arrives.

When he comes for us, he is a bare-chested man with a weapon.

We have watched this before.

Maysum Abdullah took a knife to the neck shielding his pupils. A hero in every paper. A Muslim in none of them.

Mohammed Algasim, a Saudi student, stabbed to death in the neck in Cambridge. His name barely printed.

And it is not slowing down. In a single week, three mosques were attacked and an imam's home was firebombed. Batley. Blackburn. Bolton. Barely a ripple.

A man knew exactly who he hated and said it in one sentence.

The press could not print it without editing it. The politicians could not say it without softening it. The state would not lift a finger to escalate it.

The whole country saw what it was. Almost no one in power would say the word.

Hands held over their mouths.

Tonight, five Muslim men are in an Edinburgh hospital.

They were victims.

They were Muslim.

They prayed, they fasted, they practised the religion of Islam.

And every word of that was stripped from the page.

If they won’t say it. We will.

ISLAMOPHOBIA.

Report: https://t.co/NTLpXVTNS2
Keep us alive: https://t.co/Z8H0Flg44Y
Substack: https://t.co/52Z6Nx1LTm
IG: @islamophobiauk