Carter

protocol design, web3 philosophy, internet capital markets, sovereign money systems | @SpreeFinance @CovenantLabsAI @DropChainCRM

[Carter @crazink]

@udiWertheimer Can’t wait to see “but ZEC has better tek than XMR!”

[Carter @crazink]

@jpthor what changed since the community call many years ago where the primary anti-XMR narrative was the lack of baremetal TC nodes? has diversity improved?

[Carter @crazink]

@paul_furber can mutations not occur nonlinearly?

[Carter @crazink]

Watching sci-fi movies published before LLM mass adoption

I find that the technologies like voice assistants “not recognizing a command” is a vestigial feature of a time before natural language interfaces

It’s increasingly hard to suspend disbelief during these movies knowing what is coming

[Carter @crazink]

@doodlestein for either position to make a rational argument, we must define what reasoning is

we lack a sufficient understanding of our own minds. we experience reasoning through our minds, thus we lack a coherent definition of reasoning

[Carter @crazink]

otherwise known as "management"

[Ray Fernando @RayFernando1337]

Agentic Engineering is my favorite term. Making agents to do work for you is a new language.

[Carter @crazink]

Encryption or local ≠ privilege (privilege is between lawyer and client). The issue is third-party custody

If OpenAI/Anthropic is storing your chats, they are forced to hand them over without you in the loop

Local/client-side encrypted LLMs keep the data with you, so you + counsel can fight scope/privilege

[Carter @crazink]

@reganbozman $6.5 at least, wouldn’t be surprised if it was more than that even

[Carter @crazink]

Long run, I think that UMA resolver dependencies need to be battle tested. Insurance that doesn't pay out properly is an irrelevant tool

I view resolver dependency as a security budget akin to PoW blockchain emission. Insufficient security budget = a broken foundation for prediction markets

[Carter @crazink]

oh my

I knew prediction markets would be huge for normie adoption... but this is blowing my mind.

Insurance markets on events means you can tailor your insurance policy around what you want to pay for, and not have to pay for a policy that is irrelevant to you (but is traditionally forced to be included within the policy by the issuer).

This creates a much more robust market for insurance bonds which will likely crowd out margin for large insurance companies... unless they start to embrace them right now and become a "UX layer" on top of these markets for the technically illiterate

Then again, a trained AI agent can do this for you... an Insurance Agent

[Alex Svanevik 🐧 @ASvanevik]

wait this is a Cloudflare insurance market

[Carter @crazink]

When there is sufficient volume riding on a resolution for a prediction market, it increases the demand for (accurate) prediction resolvers.

There will be multi-billion dollar companies built around resolving predictions... this makes resolving events incredibly important to keep secure. I wonder if some separation of concerns / checks and balances should be standardized

Think Doordash but for events validation. "Earn $500 to travel to Bolivia and capture the amount of rainfall over the next 4 days". Must record the event at least 16 hours per day

[Carter @crazink]

huge — we are cooking up something great w/ @jaoudefi

[Spree Finance @spreefinance]

We are proud to welcome Jaou Toure @jaoudefi as the new COO and Co-founder at Spree Finance.

Jaou brings deep expertise in stablecoins, digital assets, and financial infrastructure, and will help drive our mission to rebuild commerce and loyalty for the modern economy.
The industry is advancing quickly and we are excited to have Jaou help lead Spree into its next phase.

[Carter @crazink]

Our @spreefinance stable points system fixes this

hmu @GM

[RC @ResellCalendar]

There was a loophole at GM today that allowed people to stack 15,000 rewards points every few minutes.

Multiple people have reportedly paid off their cars.

[Carter @crazink]

@santiagoroel

[Carter @crazink]

If you’re in BA, come through!

[DogeOS @DogeOS]

🎙️ 3PM - PANEL "Cracking LATAM: How Crypto Wins in Emerging Markets"

Alex Hoffman (Head of Ecosystem) joins Carter Raznik, Bernardo Quintao & Ana Westfal

Bullish on LATAM. Bullish on real utility.

[Carter @crazink]

If you’re in Asia, we are giving away BLACKPINK Tokyo Dome tickets, check it out: https://t.co/yzbpNGSRud

[Carter @crazink]

We just launched https://t.co/4pV01ciRlT tickets

40M+ concerts, games, and shows

buy a ticket, get up to 10% back in stable rewards, built with @Moca_Network + @SpreeFinance + @JoinBookit

I frequently find superior deals on https://t.co/9twXNw28o8 vs existing web2 ticket providers, even before AIR SP back

[Carter @crazink]

The future of prediction markets is this but applied to all events that can be predicted

Polymarket will drive scientific discovery thru economic incentives

[Pentagon Pizza Watch @pizzintwatch]

🚨 BREAKTHROUGH ALPHA DISCOVERY 🚨🍕

We believe we’ve found a way to detect at-sea kinetic events before they’re officially mapped, using only VIIRS thermal anomalies and strict filtering to isolate true ocean-only heat from industrial flares and land fires.

Over the past month, the United States has conducted several narco-boat strikes in the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific, described publicly (often the next day) only as being in international waters with no released coordinates. Drug boat markets have done $7M+ in @polymarket volume since September.

One of these strikes was conducted on October 27.

On October 27, our system flagged a daytime VIIRS (375 m) thermal anomaly at 14.0387°N, 106.4606°W (~415 nm SW of Acapulco) -- the only ocean hotspot in that sector all week.

That distance near-perfectly matches the rescue location Mexico described (“~400 nm SW of Acapulco”), despite no official coordinates being provided.

Officials also released daylight drone video of a strike boat detonating into a large, sustained blaze: exactly the kind of event that can register as a daytime thermal anomaly on VIIRS.

So, what about all the other strikes?

Most small-boat hits are brief; VIIRS often misses short, low-heat events between overpasses. But this strike produced a massive explosion and ongoing flame in daylight, increasing the odds that a single daytime pass would catch a lone ocean pixel, which is exactly what we see here.

Why this matters ( $PPW Alpha ):

If one high-energy event already shows up cleanly on FIRMS, we can automate route-masked FIRMS scanning across our “narco corridors” and surface near-real-time ocean anomalies—the moment they appear—before press or officials give locations. That’s pre-news signal you can trade on @Polymarket or investigate.

We're now turning this into product.

🛰️ PolyGlobe → Fires is live: a VIIRS-only layer, masked to our narco-route corridors, auto-refreshing with clean thermal anomalies (FRP, time, sat). Oil refinery areas have been carved out. No land noise. Just signal.

🔔$PPW ALPHA ALERTS (Telegram) is LIVE

token-gated for holders of ≥ 1,000,000 $PPW. Expect instant pings when our Fires pipeline spots a clean thermal anomaly in our narco route corridors (with coords and receipts), plus timely market movement calls tied to our data.

This is real utility for $PPW: pre-news signals delivered where you trade and talk. Hold ≥1M, verify, and jump in. We will keep shipping MORE high-alpha tools and alerts.

Link to join Telegram for proof of $PPW holding is in replies.