Paper Boy ↘️

Creator of 10YSS | 117/172 in @FantasyPros Multi-Year Draft Accuracy | 189/225 in 2024 Draft Accuracy | Read a book (ask me for a recommendation!) | 2.4x speed

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

If you're drafting and need some more info look no further! No context needed, just go for green!

@MyFantasyLeague

https://t.co/0cHKOTff9u

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

@AndrewSiciliano https://t.co/Th8Ed2qEat

[Bonta Hill @BontaHill]

John Madden:

“If you’ve got two quarterbacks, you have none.”

[𝙏𝙝𝙚𝙎𝙁𝙉𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙨 @TheSFNiners]

#49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk has had an arrest warrant issued for a misdemeanor charge related to speeding, per the @nypost

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

@DanielOyefusi https://t.co/Th8Ed2qEat

[Bonta Hill @BontaHill]

John Madden:

“If you’ve got two quarterbacks, you have none.”

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

Idk. Speeding tickets seem to be an NFL Street-style attribute booster. Just look out how many Myles Garrett has. Aiyuik just trying to get his shake n bake back lol

[New York Post @nypost]

Warrant for Brandon Aiyuk's arrest issued in Northern California https://t.co/Iw60b3TcTJ

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

@heathcummingssr This opening from @MattHarmon_BYB about the 24 class shook me. Hadn't realized the production fell of so steeply across the board.

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

@SleeperNFL @nypost

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

RBs below a 60 model grade:

106-player sample
3.34 avg PPG (.5ppr)
8/106 hit 10+ PPG in first 3 seasons
3/106 hit 12+ PPG
80/106 <=5 PPG

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

The 2026 rookie model has 48 scored prospects

Only 3 cleared an 80+ grade:

Love — 100.0
Tyson — 83.8
Lemon — 80.6

RB Buckets
90+: 1
60–70: 1
<60: 11

WR Buckets
80–89: 2
70–79: 2
60–69: 3
50–59: 8
40–49: 11
<40: 9

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

The 2026 rookie model has 48 scored prospects

Only 3 cleared an 80+ grade:

Love — 100.0
Tyson — 83.8
Lemon — 80.6

RB Buckets
90+: 1
60–70: 1
<60: 11

WR Buckets
80–89: 2
70–79: 2
60–69: 3
50–59: 8
40–49: 11
<40: 9

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

WR grades below 50:

127 players
2.09 avg PPG
1/127 hit 10+ PPG in first 3 years

(Terry McLaurin)

Rookies under 50.0
Caleb Douglas
Ted Hurst
Zachariah Branch
Colbie Young
Malik Benson
Barion Brown
Zavion Thomas
Cyrus Allen
Kevin Coleman
Reggie Virgil
CJ Daniels
Lewis Bond
TBC.

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

@MikeSandman62 I see Parker Washington at 10.8PPG in full PPR last year, no? Different site sourcing perhaps? Other 2 checked out!

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

@FFjunkie_ No TEP. Hope you're right!

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

Slow draft complete. I get to root against Rashee. Should be easy enough.

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

@HypeFFL @AFantasyFormula @TheTommyTutu I've picked inside the top-4 5/8 years in one league. That also lines up closely with my finals appearances. I don't think it's a coincidence. So much value won and lost in the draft. Always trying to finagle my way up a good bit before draft hype season starts

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

@FFjunkie_ 🤣 as the Loveland rosterer, I hope I never need his services

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

SRS Adj P3AK → First 3 years WR PPG
Pearson: 0.440
Spearman: 0.386

SRS ADJ P3AK below 2.0
64 WRs
Avg PPG: 2.42
10+ PPG hits: 1/64 (Terry!)
12+ PPG hits: 0/64

SRS Adj P3AK below 1.50
16 WRs
Avg PPG: 1.86
0 hit even 8 PPG

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

The backbone for my WR model

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

Brenen Thompson
CJ Williams
Kaden Wetjen
Emmanuel Henderson
Deion Burks
Kendrick Law
Anthony Smith

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

WR grades below 50:

127 players
2.09 avg PPG
1/127 hit 10+ PPG in first 3 years

(Terry McLaurin)

Rookies under 50.0
Caleb Douglas
Ted Hurst
Zachariah Branch
Colbie Young
Malik Benson
Barion Brown
Zavion Thomas
Cyrus Allen
Kevin Coleman
Reggie Virgil
CJ Daniels
Lewis Bond
TBC.

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

Built on analytics, refined with football logic, and contaminated by my crazy brain

@MyFantasyLeague

https://t.co/45o3nFDeCd

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

And an accompanying model to boot

https://t.co/45o3nFDeCd

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

If you're drafting and need some more info look no further! No context needed, just go for green!

@MyFantasyLeague

https://t.co/0cHKOTff9u

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

Built on analytics, refined with football logic, and contaminated by my crazy brain

@MyFantasyLeague

https://t.co/45o3nFDeCd

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

The backbone for my WR model

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

I will post a full link to the scoring as soon as I can get everything cleaned up. Model now includes confidence levels along with grading. This factors in certain groupings that couldn't be cleanly put into a final score

@MyFantasyLeague

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

@joshreedy5 @MyFantasyLeague I've said this is the final version no less than ten times lol

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

I will post a full link to the scoring as soon as I can get everything cleaned up. Model now includes confidence levels along with grading. This factors in certain groupings that couldn't be cleanly put into a final score

@MyFantasyLeague

[Paper Boy ↘️ @crossroadsffp]

We did it. Corey Davis moves from 2->4 after an SRS adjusted YPRR addition (Strength of Schedule metric)

https://t.co/G0lwI0gYXt