Everyone is watching stocks and bitcoin. The real tell is the 10-year.
Yields at 4.60 pressing into descending resistance. The setup looks like a liquidity grab, a brief push above to trap traders offside before reversing lower.
If that plays out, it's bullish for risk assets across the board. Bonds, stocks, crypto - all hinge on this chart right now.
$ETH is exactly where I expected.
It bounced off the Gaussian Channel after flipping from purple to green AND the 0.5 fib level.
As long as it continues to hold, I expect a similar move to last time where it climbed from $2100 to $4900+.
Bought more $BMNR today.
$BTC hit the lower support zone of interest.
Currently looking for a move as sketched.
Whichever form it takes,
the push out of late May/early June I am still currently biased to be the last key high before the bear market bottom is put in on BTC
We've seen a significant pullback for $RTY / $SPX since the start of this month but are now seeing an HPL signal flash exactly at the support band. If this holds we could see a resumption for risk-on and small caps soon.
It's normal to feel scared about $ETH and $BMNR.
If everyone could handle the patience and volatility, then everyone would be rich.
But here's what I see...
$ETH bounced from the Gaussian Channel after flipping green, which also happened last time before a run to $4,900+.
🚨 VANGUARD JUST DISCLOSED A MASSIVE $BMNR POSITION
Vanguard Capital Management reported ownership of 20.34M shares of Bitmine worth over $400M as of March 31.
One of the largest asset managers in the world now holds a large position in Bitmine.
$ETH $BMNR
🧵
1/
BitMine provided its latest holdings update for May 114, 2026
$13.1 billion in total crypto + "moonshots":
- 5,206,790 ETH at $2,366 per ETH (@coinbase)
- 201 Bitcoin (BTC)
- $200 million stake in Beast Industries @MrBeast
- $88 million stake in Eightco Holdings (NASDAQ: $ORBS) (“moonshots”) and
- total cash of $775 million.
Ticker: $BMNR
Chairman: Tom Lee @fundstrat
Link 🔗
https://t.co/EbkafAVGrc
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