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My top prediction was $121,362.
$BTC ended up topping at $126,100.
I will be using the same model to predict the bottom.
Diminishing cycle analysis. Pattern recognition. Mathematics. Numerology. Every tool in the same model I used to predict $121,362 as the cycle top... with a offset.
My base model outputs $38,800 as the predicted bottom. To account for the same 5% variance that offset my top prediction, I've included two upside multiples: $40,740 and $42,680.
Even at the highest end of my range, $42,680, we are still below $60K.
Which is exactly why, purely on the math alone, $60K as the bottom is very optimistic.
I’ll stick with my math, and regardless of everything, I’ll be buying as much spot $BTC as possible around July/August.
Anything within the $40-$60K range is a bargain long term. These predictions are purely based on math & patterns.
Billionaires don’t have bank accounts like you and me. They have art collections,Yachts,Mansions,Stocks. None of it gets taxed until they sell it. So they just never sell it. They borrow against it instead. Live off the loans. Pay almost nothing. Then when they die, their kids inherit it all tax-free. The wealth never gets taxed, It just gets passed down.
And we wonder why the gap keeps getting wider.
See my analysis at the time of the previous bearish wedge pattern. A similar pattern might be developing.
Not a prediction.
Breakdown of the lower boundary will be the signal for a possible move towards 52.5K. $BTCUSD
STANCHART CUTS BITCOIN TARGET, WARNS OF FURTHER DROPS
Standard Chartered slashed its end-2026 Bitcoin target to $100,000 from $150,000, its second cut in three months, and warned prices could fall to $50,000 before recovering.
The bank cited ETF outflows, a weaker macro backdrop, and delayed Fed rate cuts as key risks. Bitcoin has dropped over 40% from its October peak, while investors have pulled nearly $8 billion from U.S. spot ETFs.
The bank also cut its 2026 Ether target to $4,000 from $7,500, expecting it to dip to about $1,400 first. Despite the losses, analysts say the downturn has been more orderly than past crypto crashes.
If Bitcoin went to $8K no one is going to refinance MSTR, it would go to 0 instantly. Look through history, in massive leverage unwinds no one jumps in to save your burning ship. The entire MSTR business model hinges on Bitcoin going up double digits year after year, else leverage becomes a problem. I also doubt we go to $8K, so I doubt there is an issue this time (provided $8K is the real threshold), but Bitcoin won't grow at its historic 20%+ growth rate forever, MSTR will need to pivot into a bitcoin bank eventually with "real yield" or fail. It's a ticking clock. I don't know how Saylor sleeps at night knowing this.
Imagine calling yourself an investor and not knowing about a company that is less than 5 years old that run-rates $1 bn of PROFITS, and has a liquid investable asset that captures this growth. $HYPE
Shows how 1-dimensional TradFi investors are due to existing workflow limitations and hubris.
While not the majority, there are a few fast growing, insanely profitable companies in crypto like Hyperliquid that the majority of investors have never even heard of, and won't bother to learn, unless they IPO.
Calling all crypto exchanges, brokers and media members. You have to point out and celebrate the good assets if you want anyone to invest seriously in this space. Don't be surprised that your customers are leaving if you only focus on macro, dying L1s, XRP, DOGE and other nonsense.
1/ $SKR Swaps on Solana are exploding post-Seeker airdrop by @solanamobile!
Check this chart below: Cumulative volume hit ~200M in just days—from Jan 22-26, 2026.
@ledger_top brings the deep dive via our @Solana analytics dashboard:
https://t.co/aqLHhtEAxj
If this works, I am pretty sure that the optimal formula to capital formation for early stage startups is:
1) staking for long term holders
2) day 1 tge 20%+ release of tokens
3) better to have zero investors but if you have some unlock them all 100% on the same day 1 year after tge
The rest is up to the pmf gods.