One day, you’ll look in the mirror, older, wiser, and wondering how time slipped away so quietly.
Your greatest regrets won’t be your failures. They’ll be the chances you never took.
Manage your risks. Protect your peace.
But take some shots.
Because without risk… there is no story worth telling.
$OTHERS. Since 2024, we've been through this twice. If the pattern repeats, we have another week or so of chop. In 2025, April marked a low, and in May, we had a rally. June marked a double bottom and reversal, later that month. Let's see how it plays out.
Let’s talk about the bull case for a minute.
Not “this is the bottom.” Not “send it.” Just the bull case.
Because, like it or not, BTC is sitting at support. Maybe it fails. Maybe this thing loses the floor, and we’re having a very different conversation soon.
But we’re at the area now and I’m not going to pretend I haven’t seen this type of setup resolve bullish before. I have.
What caught my eye is how different this trip into the zone looks compared to February. Back then, once BTC lost the 80k area, it only took about 5-7 days to flush into the 60k zone.
Fast move. Heavy volume. Real liquidation.
This time, BTC got back near 82k, topped for a few days, and then took roughly 24 days to work its way back into the same general area.
Yes, the last few days got ugly and that matters. But the entire trip back down was still slower, less violent, and a lot more controlled than the February flush.
That’s interesting.
From a Wyckoff angle, that’s basically effort vs result.
In February, sellers hit hard and got paid immediately.
This time, sellers got us back to the same zone, but it took almost a month.
So now I’m asking a pretty simple question...
Was Feb 5-6 stopping action?
Was Feb 24 a secondary test?
Was that February through April range some form of early accumulation?
And is this just the market coming back into the same area to see if supply is actually dried up?
That’s the bull case.
Not confirmed. Not something to marry. Just something to respect.
Because if that earlier range was real accumulation, then this is where the bigger hands should be interested again.
They don’t need to defend my opinion. They need to defend price and that’s all that matters now.
Do buyers show up? Do we get a spring and reclaim? Do late shorts get trapped?
Can BTC bounce with some force, pull back, hold a higher low, and start taking levels back? That’s what I’d want to see for the Bull case.
If price just sits here, fails to reclaim, and starts accepting lower, then forget the bull case.
Then it was just a range inside a downtrend and the market is searching for value lower. Simple.
But I don’t want to blind myself to one side just because the narrative is ugly.
That’s how turns get missed. We’re all just studying footprints here.
The bear case is easy. Lose this area, lose the February low, and lower value becomes the conversation.
But the bull case is there too, fast liquidation into the zone in February, a much slower return into the same zone now, and one question left for the market to answer.
Was that earlier range accumulation, or not?
The next few days should tell us a lot.
The missing piece in the bull case is demand and demand does not prove itself in a story.
It proves itself here at this level.
If that earlier range was real accumulation, this is where the bigger hands should start showing up again.
This is where the theory has to become evidence.
@coingecko Why are people still following that schmuck? The dude got lucky with BitMEX during the Wild West days of crypto. Last year, he bought LIDO and some other ETH-related shit and had to take a loss.
Why does this drop feel strange:
1: The White House dude said big news is coming in a few weeks regarding SBR
2: Scott Bessent confirms that he is working on SBR
3: The Clarity bill was put up for a Senate vote on June 14th
4: Jamie Dimon came out and said that he will fight the Clarity bill ( Dude has a history of manipulating prices).
5: Saylor sold 32 BTC ( Why? We still don't know)
6: ETF sold 1.2 B (Why? Who? We still don't know)
7: In May, the OTC desks were running very low on BTC
Something is up, and I don't think we should be overly bearish.
@SatoshiFlipper Now we need the big boy to pump, or it doesn't mean shit. We need OTHERS market cap to grow. When BTC finally reverses, alts will outperform.