#XAUUSD
→ The gold bull market is not over, but wave IV is not finished yet.
The bigger correction points toward the 3,637-3,183 zone before the next major leg up.
GOLD TARGETS:
#Gold continues to drop this morning and approaching the $4090 target. This could give a quick trade but I still think this will go below 4000 in the coming weeks.
NOTE: I have posted my longer term views and targets several times, but briefly;
- 3900 is the minimum downside target for me. I might start a position there but will judge at the time. This is the first area I would consider a bottom could form
- The box from 3200-3450 is my base case though and if it does go there, thats where I would buy big for short and long term
$GLD $GLL $GDX $GOLD #trading
My thesis is that this won't be a normal bear market.
Previous cycles didn't have AI accelerating at this pace.
Previous cycles didn't have the same recession risks hanging over the global economy.
AI isn't necessarily bullish for crypto.
If anything, it could accelerate exploits, hacks, scams, and ultimately erode trust across the industry.
Then there's the supply side.
Sooner or later, large leveraged players like Saylor will be tested.
And if forced selling ever arrives, it won't be good for the market.
My personal view remains the same:
We eventually revisit COVID-era levels across most of crypto.
Including Bitcoin.
Most people think that's impossible.
That's exactly why it's worth considering.
$SILVER $SI $SLV $XAG
May the real silver bears please stand up? 🐻
$55-$40 coming fast.
I’ve been calling for $55 as the minimum downside target for weeks.
But I also expected us to hit $81 first after the last dump, before the next leg down.
Well... I got absolutely screwed on that call.
The market showed me the🖕and is dumping straight down the blue path. 😅
I’m still expecting continuation lower.
There is still a tiny chance for the white path to play out, but a break of $63.78 and a daily close below would rule that out for me.
My target zone remains $55 – $40.
(Yes, $40 is possible).
That area is going to offer a great buying opportunity.
When we reach that range, I’ll be looking to load up again.
Anyone else preparing to buy the dip? 👀
$BTC
The top line projects Bitcoin towards $54K, and the bottom line projects 32K.
Whichever line is reached at the vertical time markers is expected to form the cycle low.
$BTC
Nobody knows when or where btc is going to bottom.
Anyone saying so with certainty is just a 🤡
With that being said...
Here is my guess so I can claim some clout in the future and make it my pinned tweet.
I was a vocal, raging Gold bull since the $2k breakout in 2024, but it's important to lose the bias once a move has come to an end.
The first phase of the gold bull peaked with the blow off move in Jan. This remains a rebase period. $3,500-$4,000 is the range to accumulate again.
Since 2013, Bitcoin has been printing a series of bearish divergences on the monthly RSI.
Each cycle has made a higher price high, but the RSI has failed to make a higher momentum high.
In other words, every cycle has shown weaker momentum than the previous one.
That's not noise.
That's a market gradually losing strength over time.
My interpretation is simple:
We're on the verge of confirming Bitcoin's first long-term bear market.
The divergences aren't causing it.
They're simply revealing what's already happening beneath the surface.
The momentum that fueled Bitcoin's rise for over a decade is fading.
And if this reading is correct, the next chapter won't be another normal cycle.
It will be a long-term bear market.
I hate to say it, but if Bitcoin doesn't bounce soon, the next few weeks could confirm the start of the first true long-term bear market in its history.
The trend that has been in place since 2017 is on the verge of breaking.
And if this scenario plays out, I can already tell you what comes next:
The next halving will be the first one that fails to produce a new all-time high.
Most people aren't even considering that possibility.
They should.
For those asking, my roadmap hasn't changed:
BTC → 30K first, 12K–15K later.
ETH → $900–$1,000 first, $300–$400 later.
The first levels are for trading the dead cat bounce.
The second levels are where I'm interested in building long-term positions.
Patience is the edge.
$SILVER Waiting for entry 🥈
Two textbook bull traps off the top
Rejected at the 50–61.8% Fib retarcement, then the 38.2–50% classic post-parabolic behaviour after the ATH in January
Now the 200-day MA (~$66–68) is the only level that matters. Everything pivots here
My targets to get long:
📍 Silver → $60 area
📍 Gold → $4,000 area
Price has broken below the $70 range support, structure is weak, no reason to catch this falling knife yet
Let the market come to you 👇
I will live stream in under an hour on the liquidity Blackhole that opened up last week and is about to turn most things into the biggest of shorts. Await a link shortly, one of the most intense and destructive periods is about to commence it effects everything in all nations.
I met Kate’s parents.
It was a nail bitter.
We landed after 24 hours of travel and immediately went to her mum’s house where the family congregated… her mum, dad, auntie, three cousins, sister, brother-in-law, a 3-wk old newborn, brother, and soon-to-be sister-in-law. There were 15 of us crammed into a living room.
Upon arriving, someone said “oh I know your content from X”.
Blood drained from my face. Nobody could tell though because my face is already pretty pale.
Her dad and I hit it off. We cracked macadamia nuts from his tree, used an electric saw to open a coconut, and spoke about being carried as a baby by his 14 year old brother in the Bosnian snow while a German shot at them with a machine gun.
Her mother, also from Bosnia, needed some time to warm up. That’s reasonable. I understand. I’m a bit unusual. She’s soft spoken, careful with her words, and protective of her daughter. A few days in and I began to worry that I may head home with an undecided verdict.
I decided to live in her mum’s world. I ate everything she prepared, including meat, bread, and pasta, and embraced the discomfort of being an introvert in a week-long marathon social interaction with the entire extended family.
We spent time in her garden and she fed me stevia leaves, peppers, celery, chives, peanut berry, grapefruit, and starfruit.
Growing up, my mother and I maintained a garden together. I loved tending to it daily and it felt good to be back in the soil. Spending time with Kate’s mum motivated me to grow a longevity garden.
Our shared love of gardening was the first big breakthrough.
What really sealed the deal was when I interviewed Kate’s mum for an hour on camera, covering her upbringing and life and learning more about Kate. Somehow that format allowed her to see me more clearly than a generic social setting.
I think she came to understand and trust my devotion to Kate.
In the final hours before my departure, she was radiating with warmth. The entire family had gathered for a meal and it was laughter and teasing all around.
My love and respect for Kate deepened. I spent time going through all of her childhood things, helping me see and understand her with greater depth. More on this later.
It feels nice to be part of the family.
BREAKING:
SpaceX just priced the biggest IPO in history.
$135 per share.
555,600,000 shares.
$75,000,000,000 raised.
Valuation: $1,750,000,000,000.
Elon Musk's 42% stake worth approximately $735,000,000,000 from SpaceX alone.
Combined with Tesla.
The world's first trillionaire.
The company that lost $4,280,000,000 in Q1 2026 alone.
Just became one of the most valuable on earth.
Worth noting: insiders own 95% of shares.
Lockup period: just 60 days.
By November 2026 most insider shares could already be free to sell.
Do your own research before you buy.
🚨 SPACEX IPO IS LOADING THE BIGGEST INSIDER SELL EVENT IN A DECADE
This could end up as the largest scheduled cash-out in modern market history
SpaceX is set to list on June 12 at a $1.75-$2 trillion valuation
That instantly makes it bigger than Microsoft, putting it behind only Apple and Nvidia in the entire US market
Meanwhile the company posted a $4.28 billion loss in Q1 2026 alone. Total losses since founding: roughly $41.3 billion
Insiders hold 95% of every share that exists - that's about $1.66 trillion of wealth sitting in private hands, waiting for the door to open
Normally insiders are frozen for 180 days after a listing to stop a wave of selling from crushing the stock on day one
SpaceX threw that rulebook out the window:
> Around 60 days after listing: 20% of insider shares come unlocked
> If the stock runs 30% above IPO price: another 10% unlocks automatically
> Days 70, 90, 105, 120 and 135: a fresh 7% chunk releases at each step
> After Q3 earnings hit: another 28% comes free
By late November, roughly 93% of eligible insider shares can already be sold
This isn't an IPO. It's the most carefully scheduled insider exit Wall Street has ever signed off on
I've watched this exact movie play out before
Every IPO that ran loose lockups looked beautiful until the supply started hitting, then bled for months
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated on this one