Variance Δ

A good trade needs good planning and confirmation
Data-based decision making

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

Will update on altcoins soon

Be at ease, we’re good

My plan from now till Q1 2024:

October - November:
- Buying $BTC and altcoins this dip

- FED won’t hike

=> interest rate stabilized
=> risk assets soaring
=> $BTC will hit $32k (either 31th Oct or 1st Nov)

=> Take profit

December:
- Accumulate again as price retrace
- Money historically is drained out at end of year

Q1 2024:
- $BTC ETFs approved
- Airdrop from either L0, ZkSync or Base

=> Hype!

=> Take profit when time is right (I’ll tell)

Trust the plan

#Binance #Bybit #OKX

[Keith Alan @KAProductions]

This #Bitcoin PA has something for everyone. Testing and retesting support at $42k for 4 consecutive days is a sign that there is strong sentiment to stay above $40k, however losing the 21-Day Moving average is a sign that there isn't currently enough sentiment or momentum to push higher.

The 21-Day MA has served as strong Technical Support on the Daily this year. If you look back in history, we do tend to see consolidation and brief periods of whale buying when price trades below the 21-Day MA for extended periods. With that in mind, along with the fact that I expect price to rally toward the @SECGov Jan 5-10 ETF decision window, I'm buying #BTC dips. #NFA

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

@JTheretohelp1 I see what you did there haha

Bullish on $BTC

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

BTC $4h Update - Fake News but Real PA

Cointelegraph is not an accident but a known planned among whales and insiders

Look at the structure of $BTC

24h before the "accident":

- Spot CVD + sm OI + cm OI were opened at an increasing rate with obvious bullish bias
- At the peak of $30k, the whole stablecoin margin futures market is reset => well played
This is like rugging the whole fcking carpet

Going forward:
- Spot CVD is slightly being distributed
- Sm OI is no more => no fear of long/short squeeze
- Cm OI is the master of the current play => focus

Conclusion:
- Price will sideway around $28k before going up higher
- Cuz can't distribute all those $BTC spot at this price

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

$BTC update

Strong push on all 3 fronts:
- massive spot CVD increase
- shorts around $27k to $27.2k on sm got reckt
- cm market (whales market) is long and strong since $27k

=> sign of short killing and market big move up

Whole market is bullish so some correction is imminent

But its okay, pullback is healthy for a prolonged move

Plan remains the same
Take profit at the end of Oct, when $BTC is around $30k - $32k

#Binance #Bybit #OKX

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

Trust the plan

That is all

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

@profit8lue No

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

$ALPACA round 2

Trust the plan

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

Dex + BNB = $ALPACA @AlpacaFinance

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

Dex + BNB = $ALPACA @AlpacaFinance

[CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance]

Dex rising.

👉 https://t.co/KKLDFc4gX4

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

$APE update 2

Price dip lower than our DCA line
Good thing is the bounce from the ATL at $1

But what special is whales are stepping in at this new low

Looking closer how this played out:

- shorting on sm and cm (increasing OI + negative fr)
- buying on spot in large quantity

=> price remain unchanged => undetected

- using spot + perps to liquidate any large long positions

=> without dead weight, the pump is next (to exit spot position)

I just bought more at this price

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

$APE chart setup

Another trend I believe will come back strong beside Ai is NFT

Post-nuked timeline already

Strong backers + nice chart

Ideal entry is $1.15, feel free to scale in at your comfort

I hold both $APE and $BLUR

#Binance #Bybit #Okx

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

$APE update 1

In the past 4 days, the amount of longs liquidated is insane
- 4 instances of abnormal liquidation on both sm and cm markets

Despite that, price still hold strong above $1

As CVD selling diminished,
MM is loading up more OI to short to push price down

I expect price to go down a bit more before resuming upward

A wick below $1.05 is enough to flush out another batch of retails

Will DCA more at RSI bottom

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

@ukhan3373 This week is for buying and DCA

I expect next week market will bounce till end of Oct

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

$ARKM chart setup

Same line of reason with $BEL, $SEI and $MAV

Buy when the price is right and wait for CZ to work his magic

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

$ARKM update 4

Seems like price will retest the local low at $0.33

We are closer to the bottom than to the top

Selling now is purely sentimental

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

$ARKM update 3

Price is going back to the initial entry

But look closer

On 4th Oct, huge amount of long got liquidated and spot cvd started buying in

On 5th Oct, shorts were opened in large quantity
- cvd on sm was negative
- OI remained high
- negative funding rate

=> another massive amount of longs got liquidated

But spot buyers kept on buying despite the price action

=> when shorts are closed, price will pick up again

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

@inversebrah

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

@TheFlowHorse Imo no second hike

Just look at the Fed’s boss

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

@AlgoOnchain $GAS is a pure spot play with interesting CVD activity in last few days

$ALPACA, $FORTH and $BADGER are future Bybit play with ~ $20m mcap

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

$FET update 3

Nothing much to say

Price is still good, above our DCA line

Hold strong

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

$FET chart setup

Another Binance launchpad with mcap at $185m

Ai is also a strong narrative

Price is at entry, closest tp is $0.3

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

$FET update 2

Price is recovering nicely

I believe Ai as a category will pump soon

Trust the plan

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

@AshDmack Updating in a few minutes buddy

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

Back to the chart now

Keep calm

Trust the plan

[Variance Δ @cryptovariance]

@veH0rny We’re being farmed in every way