My account would be nearing 100,000 followers today if I hadn’t blocked thousands upon thousands of accounts i don’t deem “fit” to be part of this community. Here’s who I consider unfit:
🔹️ Those who display zero critical thinking, and laziness.
🔹️ Those whose feeds are primarily filled with reposted giveaways and/or mindless takes from moonboys.
🔹️ Those who follow and engage with several known frauds I’ve exposed in the past.
🔹️ Newly created accounts with no content nor replies.
🔹️ Those with accounts that don’t appear genuine, based on profile pictures, bios, content, and reply sections.
Yes, I personally check all of this to ensure we’re building a community of thoughtful, authentic people. It’s never been about amassing the highest follower count for me -- it’s about cultivating quality and wisdom within this space. Built different.
The fastest way you can ruin your life is believing that there's only one person meant for you.
Everyone is replaceable, the fact that you think is not is just a byproduct of your mind.
You are attached to memories, to what could have been but never was, to promises made and not kept, to the emotions you felt during that time.
But these feelings, as real and overwhelming as they may seem, are rooted in the stories you tell yourself.
The truth is, people come into your life to teach you, to help you grow, to show you a part of yourself you might not have seen otherwise.
When they leave, it’s not a betrayal of destiny, it’s a part of the natural rhythm of life.
Clinging to the past, to the "what-ifs," is like gripping sand too tightly, it slips away, leaving you with nothing but the ache of holding on.
The idea that someone is irreplaceable often blinds you to the countless other connections waiting to unfold, relationships that could enrich you in ways you can't yet imagine.
Letting go doesn’t mean forgetting or invalidating the significance of what you’ve experienced.
It means acknowledging that its chapter in your life has closed, and that’s okay.
Life moves forward, and so must you.
You are more than your memories, more than the promises broken by others, more than the love you think you’ve lost.
You are a dynamic, evolving being with infinite capacity to connect, to heal, and to rediscover yourself.
Don't let your life hinge on one person, one moment, or one story.
You are the greatest project you'll ever work on.
Reset, refocus and restart, as many times you need to.
Love is abundant.
Important steps toward the confirmation of altseason:
This continues to appear more and more like an HTF recovery.
The thing is that if we observe this 3D candle, it truly gives the perception of a powerful liquidity grab with a very thing body and a long wick.
The context matters the most, as this liquidity sweep has been made toward a significant HTF level (WFVG + 0.618 Fib level) front-running the weekly OB.
And, as you can see, the ETH/USD pair is showing a lot of strength too, closing above the WSH at 3.563$, therefore marking a significant turning point in the structure.
"But what if it fails again? What if we see another move down on the ETH/BTC pair as happened before?
In my opinion is highly unlikely and this depends, once again, on the context.
The previous fakeouts we saw were occurring alongside a trending BTC D. while BTC didn't break its ATH yet, a necessary condition to nourish the altseason and seeing ETH outperforming.
Now we had a bunch of D closures below 58.56% on the BTC D creating the first BOS and therefore flashing a potential HTF reversal.
Your eyes should now go on the next weekly closures as closing below 58.56% would confirm the overall weakness, officially confirming the altseason when you also see:
- a break of 57.07% -> WSL
- a reclaim of the WSH on ETH/BTC at 0.042
Your risk appetite could therefore rise substantially, knowing that ETH will likely perform better (easy long if you find a good entry) than BTC and your alts too (watch for ETH beta plays if you're interested to hedge your ETH position)
One important thing to close the post.
You keep asking me "Bro, when can we expect? how it will last?"
Don't cage your mind into a specific timeline as this can easily turns into a double-edge sword since you'll exclusively look at the period for selling your assets.
Focus on the targets for each macro chart + your specific altcoins and add periods as confluence (important dates, try to decrypt the news).
This is the "secret" for not getting rekt.
Listen, I'm not here to please anyone.
I'm here to share what I learned during these almost 8 years in crypto, proposing my approach which is based on cold and rational takes.
Some may like it, some may not because it's seems that I'm "bearish" while I'm actually trying to keep you level headed.
It would be extremely easy for me to ride the wave of bullishness making posts that nourish your expectations and hype as I would grow my account to 100K in an instant through engagement farming.
But ask yourself: "What this approach led to in the past cycles?"
It led to the slaughter of hundreds and hundreds of people because they were believing in the super cycle, in the fact that they could have made millions out from a few pennies and other similar absurd predictions/statements.
Sorry, this is something you will never find in my account, I will never say anything like that.
Sometimes I'll be right, sometimes I'll be wrong which is part of being an analyst, but I will never thrive on your emotions.
Grateful to those who will appreciate my takes/approach.
I want to cover a completely different topic, something unrelated to the world of crypto or trading, but tied to life and the thoughts that often cross my mind during these 30 years of mine.
And since I find myself in front of the stove on this cold winter evening, these thoughts become even more pronounced. (If you're in the mood for something "sentimental," semi-long, and different, read on; otherwise, feel free to skip ahead.)
At this age, or at least in my experience, many doubts weigh on the mind, especially those related to one's personal future but inevitably to the future of relationships as well.
It seems natural to wonder how our life will look in 10 years or more, and especially if there will be someone to share it with.
After several negative experiences (though I prefer to call them growth experiences rather than negative), I find myself single.
And while I am at peace with myself, people often ask me, "Haven't you found anyone yet? You should get moving; there are people your age who already have families."
These questions only serve to make one feel inadequate and out of sync with societal expectations, completely ignoring all the complexities tied to one's past and circumstances.
I won't deny that while I am focused on improving myself in every aspect, these questions sometimes manage to make me waver, to make me feel as if I'm missing a piece of happiness, something "only others have achieved," namely those in relationships.
Because it's easy to fall into that "trap," right?
Our minds and hearts are so tangled that they always tend to focus on what we lack rather than what we already have, especially in the context of seeing others' apparent happiness.
But is that really the case?
The truth is, we don’t know if those people are truly happy.
And believe me, many of them stay together out of fear of loneliness or find themselves stuck in relationships that are unsatisfying for both parties.
Relationships, in a way, are comparable to memecoins: some will change your life for the better, while others can ruin it.
Choosing a partner, if we feel the need, is one of the most important decisions of our lives, a decision that can only be made if we are happy with ourselves first.
We will not find happiness elsewhere because, as the word "partner" suggests, it is someone to share and achieve goals with, someone who should add value to what already exists.
For this reason, even if society expects you to be "settled" already, don’t rush to find someone to "complete" you just because you see others doing so.
Constant comparison is the path to perpetual unhappiness.
Some find love at 20, some at 30, others at 40 or 50 and yes, some never do.
But that doesn’t mean you can’t find happiness in other things.
On the contrary, the world is full of beautiful experiences to live and find satisfaction in.
The fundamental thing is to never feel inadequate in any aspect of life, because everyone has their own story.
Above all, look to the future with positivity because the only certainty we have is death, but not the beautiful things that might happen tomorrow.
March List of the 13 Top Bullrun Signals (updated and documented):
- People are consistently adjusting their targets to increasingly higher levels.
A few months ago, 90/100K seemed outrageous, but now these are considered highly conservative targets due to the influx of institutional capital, Trump's strong pro-BTC stance, and his inauguration at the White House.
Targets like 200K+ are starting to appear more frequently on my X feed.
- Taking profits is not yet entirely frowned upon, but those who are trimming positions or adopting a more conservative approach feel hesitant because "there’s much, much more" left in the tank.
As a result, most prefer to keep their entire portfolio allocated.
- Yes, your hairdresser is already discussing which crypto to buy.
I personally already received multiple messages coming from external crypto people, aka retail asking me what to buy to multiply money in a short-time period because “Wow, Bitcoin is almost at 100K, amazing” and “Which will be the next Bitcoin?” 👁️
- Advertisements are becoming increasingly frequent: this week alone I’ve seen three on public TV, mostly promoting platforms but not exclusively.
National news programs are talking about Bitcoin’s “incredible rise” and how it has shows no signs of slowing down.
Whether it’s print news, television or online outlets, Bitcoin is a hot topic especially following Trump’s presidential victory and his apparent “inclination” toward crypto.
- Although we haven’t yet reached the level of public interviews aimed at large-scale promotion of Bitcoin, figures like Michael Saylor, Max Kaiser and Anthony Pompliano are becoming more “vocal” 🗣️🔊 on social media.
They’re constantly updating BTC’s price highlighting its intrinsic value, which they argue aligns perfectly with the U.S. debt problem and should therefore be adopted as global reserve to “save us”.
- Few people are actually considering the potential downside and are instead focused solely on the upside. As mentioned earlier, Bitcoin is nearing $100K, and institutional capital is driving it "to the moon," along with ETFs.
People are more afraid of being left out than of facing potential losses, and many are increasing their exposure in anticipation of a massive boom in the sector.
- Users are increasing significantly on cryptocurrency exchange platforms, and Coinbase is currently the second most downloaded finance app in the United States. It is climbing the ranks and has entered the top 70 most downloaded apps globally on the App Store.
- Crypto YouTube videos are increasing in views, nowhere near 2021 levels but the spike is notable, fast approaching March highs. (source @benjamincowen )
- Celebrities didn't start to advertise or promote crypto projects yet, but more and more "influential people" are talking publicly about this space like, for example, Andrew Tate that often write his posts alluding to this space
- Memecoins volumes are out of the roof but quite differently from the last bullrun where they marked the absolute top since this cycle there's a whole narrative behind them.
However, the volumes around dogs, cats and other animals are definitely 🚀
- Money giveaways didn't start yet, people are not gifting uncle's sam paper randomly
- During the past 90 days, Google Trends show a huge increase in researches for "Bitcoin" worldwide,
- "Portfolio screenshotting" ain't yet an Olympic sport but if we scroll through Instagram and other social media we can see some kids starting to flex their SOL wallets full of memecoins and double-digit gains
Conclusion:
Retails are definitely here and we're fast approaching euphoric stages.
Maybe Christmas dinner will be the perfect moment to discuss about their amazing investments to their families. 🎄🎅🎅🎅
70/100? 👁️
10% locked soon to secure our Decentralized Sequencer?
Sequencer node operators and users that contribute to sequencer mining through LSTs earn passive rewards to secure our network, maybe that’s why we’re headed for supply shock…
Are you sequencer mining?
🔗 https://t.co/hOq7yjb8jX
I want to add 4/5 reasons to this post in order to add "substance" to it.
Why do I believe we're close to an altseason?
There are multiple factors that make me confident about this.
First and foremost, Bitcoin dominance has reached an extended level, draining liquidity from altcoins, a critical condition to push BTC toward a new ATH and attract waves of retail investors hoping to get rich overnight.
Since the breakout in June from 48/49% to 56/58%, Bitcoin dominance has created spikes around the 60-62% macro resistance level.
While there's a bi-weekly imbalance at 66%, I find it unlikely we’ll reach that level filling it, for reasons that will become clearer as long as you read this post.
The second point is about the ETH/BTC pair that has been on a prolonged downtrend for over two years, reaching a significant demand level at 0.035.
While the structural shift isn’t confirmed yet (we’ll need a high timeframe close above 0.042), a major portion of the downward move appears complete.
The USDT pair for ETH has also recovered, breaking key highs from October 30 and August 24, indicating a full trend shift (CHoCH).
The third point relies on the clear downtrend in USDT dominance, which continues to create lower highs and lower lows.
Each pullback here represents an opportunity to buy, as long as we haven’t reached the macro target.
An altseason becomes more plausible when USDT dominance trends down and similarly, Bitcoin’s rise is impossible with the USDT D. rising.
Fourth point?
Both TOTAL 1 and TOTAL 2 have recently broken out from a 90-day range, reinforcing the bullish signal.
The retest of TOTAL 1’s breakout from the upper channel indicates solid positioning for further upside, as you can see from the post below.
We’re also seeing increased activity of several altcoins and not only the latest trends like AI and meme coins but also in older, “forgotten” assets like ADA.
This movement signifies a broader redistribution of liquidity into various projects.
If we want to add more “sauce” to the recipe, the general interest is rising, albeit not on the same level as in 2021, the political influence, with figures like Trump pushing a “pro-BTC” agenda, has also helped boost attention, particularly with promises of turning America into the “crypto capital of the world” an absurd but appealing notion to some.
What’s still missing?
For a "true" altseason to kick off, Bitcoin needs to enter price discovery.
And by that, I don’t just mean a brief spike above the previous ATH.
We need to see sustained upward momentum, with BTC breaking into the 80K range.
Hitting that psychological 8 instead of 7 would mark a distinct shift in sentiment, trust me.
At that point, as Bitcoin finds its peak (you can find my projection in the pinned message), we’ll likely see BTC dominance break down (watch for at least a daily BOS) and ETH/BTC perform robustly.
Unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum’s movements are more explosive, so don’t expect a slow grind upward..expect sharp breakouts.
For those expecting a 2021-style altseason with 50-100x returns, it’s probably a dream.
Some coins may indeed skyrocket with 20-30x potential, but that’s not likely to be the norm.
In any case, excellent profits are on the table and it is up to you to decide whether to refuse a course because you are hungry while waiting for a starred dish to arrive because you feel like it.
Don’t forget this.