Curious Trader

[DoctorDueDiligence @DueDoctor]

Really big miss here

$VSXY up 298% since this post

Turns out when women lose weight they buy new lingerie

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@TheOneLanceB One area I’d point out that this likely doesn’t take into consideration is even if crime is down based on the data, could it “feel” like crime is up because certain things aren’t policed like they used to be? Largely in blue states/cities like Chicago, New York, San Fran, etc.

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@AnnaFlorcia

[Riley Beesley @rileybeesley]

My first employer said get an experimental vaccine, or you’re fired.

I fought months refusing, not knowing my future.

They covid tested me daily and forced a mask only on my face.

I wasn’t granted the 5th Amendment. It was show your vaccine card or Fauci fired you.

Evil man.

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@AnnaFlorcia @T_OConnell $LQDA

[TMK @themagaking]

He created a virus, lied about its origin, unleashed it on humanity, and then denied people treatment so he could force a vaccine on them that was more dangerous than the virus itself, forced people to wear masks, stay at home, not go to school, shut down businesses, arrested people, and separated families, while telling people they couldn’t celebrate holidays or gather in large crowds except for Black Lives Matter. All while he became a celebrity, made millions, wrote books, laughed about it, called himself Science, as 1.3 million Americans died under his watch. He can go straight to fucking hell.

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@TheOneLanceB Yes. Like many, I stay off IG. Very much enjoy this short form content on in play trades/analysis. Thanks

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@OddStockTrader $ORCL

[Cody 🇺🇸 @OddStockTrader]

Going to try something for the next hour:

Chart Request Live:

Send me a ticker and I'll give my opinions on it

GO!

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@joeyrattlesnake Holding until it gets bought out by or TOC says otherwise.

Godspeed to everyone.

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@TcheeseRa 🤣

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@SahilBloom @bluewmist @nikitabier account based in India you know what to do.

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@Raunav410657 Found your account just the other week. Congrats on an amazing call and look forward to reading your future work.

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

Could this be the catalyst to drop BTC to $40K? @T_OConnell interesting loop of contagion risk

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

What's going on with $STRC? Let us explain:

$STRC is a product Michael Saylor's Strategy sells to raise cash. You pay $100 for a share, and they pay you back roughly 11.5% a year in cash. Think of it like a high-yield account, not a normal stock. They then use that cash to buy Bitcoin $BTC.

The deal only works if the price stays near $100. That's the promise: park your money here, collect the yield, and your $100 stays worth about $100.

Strategy keeps it near $100 using one lever: the dividend. If the price slips below $100, they raise the payout to attract buyers and lift it back up.

The reason Strategy cares so much? When $STRC sits at $100, Strategy can issue new shares and use the cash to buy more Bitcoin. That's a big part of how the whole machine is funded.

But below $100, the machine stalls. Every $STRC share carries a $100 obligation no matter what it sells for, so issuing at $90 means collecting $90 while still owing dividends on the full $100. They'd be taking on a dollar of obligation to raise ninety cents. So they stop issuing and wait for the price to climb back toward par.

And right now, that machine is breaking. $STRC hit a new low today at ~$82. Bitcoin has been weak, and Strategy's cash pile has dropped from $2.25B to around $1B .

Two problems hit at once: Below $100, Strategy stops selling new shares, so that funding source dries up. And the dividend still has to be paid in cash every couple of weeks no matter what. So they reached into the Bitcoin...

In late May, Saylor sold 32 BTC to cover obligations on $STRC. First bitcoin sale since 2022, and the first sign the system was being truly tested.

That sale is the spark... it told the market Strategy was tapping its bitcoin to make payments, confidence cracked, and buyers started demanding a higher yield to hold $STRC. The price slid, and the loop kicked in.

The loop summarized: Price drops, so they need a higher dividend payout to defend $100. A higher payout means more cash owed to investors. More cash owed means dipping into cash reserves or selling bitcoin. Selling bitcoin pushes its price down and erodes investor confidence in the entire structure. A lower bitcoin price pushes $STRC down again. The death spiral begins.

Each step makes the next one worse. That's why the market is watching $STRC so closely right now.
$MSTR $BTC

[Evan @StockMKTNewz]

Whenever Trump see the stock market going down

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@calvinfroedge Give us some official terms here Calvin.
Deadline, etc.

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@T_OConnell

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

$LQDA

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@OddStockTrader $amc $2 calls

[Curious Trader @curioustrader_]

@BowTiedBroke 779 feet

[🏴‍☠️ @calvinfroedge]

Feels like the last panel of the clown meme