Kudos - @a16z
Episode "AI Just Gave You Superpowers - Now What?" is a gem! Dystopia takes are a dime a dozen. We invent AGI. Humans become an afterthought. We get it.
@ccatalini was thoughtful, optimistic, practical.
Youtube version?
For ref: https://t.co/aCa7oEAIHj
@draginol 1/3 in each bucket? Nah. Strong performers will make the leap. It's not that hard. And the 3rd bucket does exist. Hopefully <10%. For everyone's sake. @draginol - great categories!
There is going to be a growing divide this year in tech. I see three groups.
1. Skilled employees using AI to accelerate their work.
2. Unskilled employees using AI to create a lot of slop.
3. Employees unwilling or unable to use AI.
I think each group will be roughly the same size. But only one has a viable future in tech. It’s going to be a rough year.
We have used story points with a great deal of discipline and consistency for a long time. The measurable productivity difference between the first group and the others is massive.
Group 2 ended up being a net negative because of “AI slop” that gets into products that then has to be fixed (as early adopters we didn’t have good guard rails u til later).
Group 3 often tried AI too early and formed a strong opinion that is difficult to overcome.