Jade Custer

[Financial Crux @FinancialCrux]

#XAUUSD #gold

Gold continued its sharp drop after falling below the 4500 level and is now hovering around support at 4440 and 4400.

If the 4400 level holds firm, a bounce toward 4480 and possibly 4500 could follow.

A move back into the 4480–4500 zone may offer a potential selling opportunity.

With volatility remaining very high, it’s best to use smaller trade sizes and always apply stop-loss protection.

[NoLimit @NoLimitGains]

🚨 Iran just rejected US ceasefire talks. Called them “illogical.”

When are people going to learn?

[Financial Crux @FinancialCrux]

THE $79 SILVER LIE: America Is 89% Import Dependent And They Want You To Sell
#silver

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@ThePPseedsShow I’m thinking more of multiple mergers and spin offs.

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@silvertrade Silver is roughly 18–20× more abundant in the crust than gold.

18:1

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@zerohedge The weakest points in the financial system are clearing and settlement infrastructure

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@unusual_whales Does that mean, if these business “win”, that consumer who bought after these companies “raise prices” can get refunds for the inflated purchase price?

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@AdeptMarket 30 days is my prediction

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@Sorenthek For a Default there needs to be more structure to it, follow:
Registered: < 50M and falling fast
OI/Registered: > 8–10x into delivery
Backwardation: >$1 persistent
Lease: >15% 1M sustained
Vaults: Net multi-day withdrawals >3–5M/day
Exchange: Margin hikes fail to slow delivery

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@amuse @MetamateDaz @grok @grok what are the income caps for social security tax

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@GoldSilverHQ Scarcity Ratio should be the ratio that is the “floor price” or “floor ratio”.

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@ScottSchilLA Some coder that got let go by JPMC is at home laughing right now

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@WallStreetMav My first thought, without any research, does that premium match on average the physical silver price out of China.

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@GoldSilverHQ The realist ratio is the scarcity ratio.
@grok What is the scarcity ratio of gold to silver?

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

Interesting development...
Lease/Tightness (SOFR−fwd): 1M +4.032pp (AMBER)

Friday data was GREEN

[Jay Roberge 🚀 @jmroberge]

🇨🇳China’s Lunar New Year liquidity vacuum = COMEX smash.
#Silver down. Equities hit harder.

Paper games during Asia’s holiday window.

But physical tightness hasn’t changed.
Policy tailwinds haven’t changed.
Supply deficits haven’t changed.

This may be your last real dip. 🚀

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@DarioCpx What CVOL Measures
•30-day forward implied volatility
•Derived from options on COMEX silver futures
•It reflects how expensive options just became

At 112 IV, silver is being priced for:
•~112% annualized volatility
•Roughly ~7% daily standard deviation expectation

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@ThHappyHawaiian With the China Market closed this week, should be interesting to see the outcome. I expect Tuesday to be down, it the rest of the week should be interesting

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

@AlexMasonCrypto Then the price flushed and we have a new base price with a reset of the silver market structure and a reload for another run.

[Jade Custer @custerjs]

2026-02-13 (UTC) Silver Structure:
Shanghai premium +11.98% (CRITICAL).
1M implied lease/tightness -1.59pp (GREEN) → paper stress not confirming.
Tightness MIXED
Acceleration OFF
Phase 0
#silver #XAG #COMEX #SGE