Daijon

📊 Data Driven Plays & Matchup Edges
📈 Breaking down trends, spots & value daily
🎯Betting the board one play at a time

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@DDOGGSTACKS Dude is an animal🔥🔥

[DDOGG🐶 @DDOGGSTACKS]

⚾️ MLB Play (7/20)

Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
#LetsGoBucs

Collab with @DaijonBets 🔒

Love backing Valdez here. He’s cleared this line in 21/33 games this season, and the splits against LHP are even stronger. He’s gone over in 9/11 matchups against lefties, including 5 of his last 6 when facing a lefty on the road. The recent trend is hard to ignore as well, cashing in 8 straight games against left handed starters and 5 straight in road matchups against them.

His production this season has been elite across the board, posting a .304/.363/.716 slash line with a 1.079 OPS. He ranks in the 98th percentile in batting average, 95th percentile in OBP, 100th percentile in slugging, and 99th percentile in OPS. Against lefties, those numbers jump even higher, as he’s hitting .355 with a .566 wOBA, a massive .588 ISO, and five home runs.

Ryan Weathers relies primarily on a four-seam fastball, sinker, slider, sweeper, and changeup. Valdez has punished the pitches Weathers throws most often. Against four-seamers, he owns a .296 average, .741 slugging percentage, and .455 wOBA. Against sinkers, he’s batting .450 with a .750 slugging percentage and .507 wOBA. He’s been even more dangerous against sliders, hitting .429 with an absurd 1.143 slugging percentage and .650 wOBA.

The only pitch that has given him less success is the changeup, but Weathers throws it just 7.4% of the time, making it a relatively minor factor. On top of that, Weathers has been vulnerable to hard contact and home runs against RHH throughout the season, which happens to fit Valdez’s profile.

Everything points toward another strong outing. Valdez has consistently mashed LHP, the road splits are even better than his already elite overall numbers, and the matchup lines up perfectly against a pitcher whose primary arsenal plays directly into his strengths.

Like and Follow if tailing🐾

📊 @PropsEdge

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB MONDAY | PLAY #2 ⚾️

Esmeryln Valdez “O” 1.5 HRR
1U | -130 PlayProphetX
#LetsGoBucs

Collab w/@DDOGGSTACKS + his ✍️🔥

Love backing Valdez here. He’s cleared this line in 21/33 games this season, and the splits against LHP are even stronger. He’s gone over in 9/11 matchups against lefties, including 5 of his last 6 when facing a lefty on the road. The recent trend is hard to ignore as well, cashing in 8 straight games against left handed starters and 5 straight in road matchups against them.

His production this season has been elite across the board, posting a .304/.363/.716 slash line with a 1.079 OPS. He ranks in the 98th percentile in batting average, 95th percentile in OBP, 100th percentile in slugging, and 99th percentile in OPS. Against lefties, those numbers jump even higher, as he’s hitting .355 with a .566 wOBA, a massive .588 ISO, and five home runs.

Ryan Weathers relies primarily on a four-seam fastball, sinker, slider, sweeper, and changeup. Valdez has punished the pitches Weathers throws most often. Against four-seamers, he owns a .296 average, .741 slugging percentage, and .455 wOBA. Against sinkers, he’s batting .450 with a .750 slugging percentage and .507 wOBA. He’s been even more dangerous against sliders, hitting .429 with an absurd 1.143 slugging percentage and .650 wOBA.

The only pitch that has given him less success is the changeup, but Weathers throws it just 7.4% of the time, making it a relatively minor factor. On top of that, Weathers has been vulnerable to hard contact and home runs against RHH throughout the season, which happens to fit Valdez’s profile.

Everything points toward another strong outing. Valdez has consistently mashed LHP, the road splits are even better than his already elite overall numbers, and the matchup lines up perfectly against a pitcher whose primary arsenal plays directly into his strengths.

♥️ IF TAILING

#GamblingX | #MLB | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB MONDAY | Play #1 ⚾️

Jacob deGrom “O” 6.5 Strikeouts
1U | -126 Kalshi
#AllForTx

There's never much hesitation when Jacob deGrom is in a plus strikeout matchup, and tonight checks all the boxes.

deGrom continues to pitch at an elite level, recording 7+ strikeouts in 5 of his last 8 starts while averaging 6.8 Ks per outing this season. He comes into this one off another 7-strikeout performance and gets a matchup with plenty of swing-and-miss upside.

The White Sox have quietly become one of the better lineups to target for strikeouts against elite arms. Looking at the projected lineup over the last 10 games:

• Murakami — 40.7% K%
• K. Teel — 37.5% K%
• C. Montgomery — 36.0% K%
• C. Meidroth — 28.6% K%
• S. Antonacci — 24.0%

deGrom's arsenal also matches up extremely well here. His slider has generated a 43.4% whiff rate this season while holding hitters to just a .120 batting average, and the White Sox have produced a 41.7% whiff rate against sliders. His fastball still averages 97 MPH, making that slider an even more dangerous put-away pitch.

The recent underlying numbers are just as encouraging. Over the last 10 games, the White Sox own a 34.4% whiff rate against right-handed pitching while striking out 26.4% of the time. As long as deGrom has his usual command, this matchup gives him multiple paths to another 7+ strikeout performance.

♥️ IF TAILING

#GamblingX | #MLB | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@TheGr8Picks @PropsEdge BIG W’s otw!

[Finesse @FinesseTheBooks]

If you are victory lapping people’s accounts getting taken away for doing what they’ve been doing for months and months, you are a bitch.

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@ChronicBets @KalshiSports Love brother! 🤙

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

July 19th, CARD ⚾️

$10 To Someone That LIKE ❤️, RETWEET ♻️ and COMMENT When We Sweep! 🧹

1U | Eduardo Rodriguez O17.5 Outs
#Dbacks
1U | Nathan Eovaldi O5.5 Strikeouts
#AllForTX
1U | Foster Griffin O17.5 Outs
#Natitude

❤️ IF TAILING

#GamblingX | #MLB | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

I see alot of conversations about us getting banned but no worries if that’s the case..

We pivot fully to IG, so make sure to follow because I’ll consistently be posting on there⬇️

https://t.co/dAjkxNDR5C

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

Code “SUMMER” - 2 Months for $20

Extra Plays & DFS Slips 🤙

https://t.co/npJCWSMU82

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB SUNDAY | PLAY #1 ⚾️

Eduardo Rodriguez O17.5 Outs
1U | -132 @KalshiSports
#DBacks

Eduardo Rodríguez has been a workhorse for Arizona this season. When he's pitching well, the Diamondbacks have shown they're comfortable letting him work deep into games, and I think that's the case again today.

• Cleared this line in 13 of his 19 starts this season (68.4%).

• At Chase Field, he's gone over 17.5 outs in 9 of his last 10 home starts, averaging 20 outs per outing.

• His 18-out season average is already above today's number.

• He already faced this Cardinals lineup once this season and finished with 20 outs, comfortably clearing today's line.

The Cardinals can make pitchers work, but as long as they aren't drawing a bunch of walks and Rodríguez's command is there, this should clear. He's gone over in 13 of 19 starts, 9 of his last 10 home starts, and already reached 20 outs against St. Louis earlier this season. I'm backing him to work into the sixth inning once again.

♥️ IF TAILING

@PropsMadness 📊
Code "DAIJON" Will Get You 25% Off!

#GamblingX | #MLB | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@PropKitchen HEATER HEATER✅✅🔥🔥

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

July 18th, Recap 🧾

3-1 (+1.06U) 💰

✅ Rafael Collignon O22.5 Games
✅ Taj Bradley O5.5 Strikeouts
✅ MacKenzie Gore O5.5 Strikeouts
❌ Shane Bieber U15.5 Pitcher Outs

A solid day overall. Three winners on the card. We'll take that and keep building.

#GamblingX | #MLB | #Tennis | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

July 18th, CARD ⚾️🎾

$10 To Someone That LIKE ❤️, RETWEET ♻️ and COMMENT When We Sweep! 🧹

✅Collignon/Cerundolo O22.5 Games
⚾️Taj Bradley O5.5 Strikeouts
⚾️MacKenzie Gore O5.5 Strikeouts
⚾️Shane Bieber U15.5 Pitcher Outs

❤️ IF TAILING

#GamblingX | #MLB | #Tennis | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

Mackenzie Gore o5.5 Strikeouts ✅

It got sweaty, BUT he came through BIg🔥✅

♥️IF TAILED

#Gambling𝕏

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB SATURDAY | Play #3 ⚾️

MacKenzie Gore O5.5 Strikeouts
1U | +105 @KalshiSports
#AllForTX

Gore is one of those pitchers I'm always interested in backing when the price is right. His ability to generate swings and misses gives him one of the higher strikeout ceilings on any slate, and getting plus money makes this even more appealing.

He's averaging 5.8 strikeouts per start this season and has cleared this number in 6 of his last 12 starts, including 4 of his last 7. The strikeout upside has been there all year, and this is another spot where he has a realistic path to six.

The Braves don't have an overwhelming team strikeout rate overall, but over their last 20 games against left-handed pitching, several hitters have been striking out at a high clip:

• Matt Olson — 35.3% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Austin Riley — 35.0% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Joey Bart — 28.6% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Jorge Mateo — 27.8% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Eli White — 27.3% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Drake Baldwin — 25.0% K% (L20 vs LHP)

Gore's swing-and-miss stuff has been there all season, and when he's locating the fastball early, the strikeouts usually follow. At +105, I think there's enough value to back him to reach 6+ punchouts.

❤️ IF TAILING

@PropsMadness 📊
Code "DAIJON" Will Get You 25% Off!

#GamblingX #MLB #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

Taj Bradley O5.5 Strikeouts✅

Dude respects coin🪙🔥

Cash w/the bros @ChronicBets @PropKitchen @DDOGGSTACKS 🤝

♥️IF TAILED

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB SATURDAY | PLAY #2 ⚾️

Taj Bradley o5.5 Strikeouts
1.5U | -140 @PlayProphetX
#NoPlaceLikeHERE

Collab w/ @ChronicBets @PropKitchen & @DDOGGSTACKS 🤝

Backing Taj again in this one. 6+ Ks in 12/18 (67%) of starts this season including 7/L10 and 5/L6 starts.

Gets the Cubs here who have been a sneaky good K matchup. Over the L15 they rank bottom 10 in K% vs RHP. They have 7 bats in the projected lineup holding a K% above 18% vs RHP and 6 bats above 20%.

Taj holds good numbers against this lineup with 10 Ks in 27 ABs (37% K rate). He has really worked in his Split-Finger and Curveball this year to keep batters guessing. Should play well here as the Cubs hold +30% whiff rates vs both of those pitches. Taj holds a whiff% above league average this season and the Cubs have high whiff% bats riddled throughout the lineup.

Overall a solid spot to back Taj again. This Cubs lineup just allowed Bailey Ober to rack up 7Ks today and he holds a 16th percentile K% compared to Taj who ranks in the 81st percentile and has much better stuff overall. 16.5 outs line juiced on the over and 1K per inning feels very doable. We like the over!

♥️ IF TAILING

@PropsMadness 📊
Code "DAIJON" Will Get You 25% Off!

#GamblingX | #MLB | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@DDOGGSTACKS @PropsEdge @PropKitchen @ChronicBets @TheGr8Picks Green card! 🔥🔥

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@PropKitchen @THEBETTINGFLOOR @ChronicBets @DDOGGSTACKS Thanks my guy!

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

July 18th, CARD ⚾️🎾

$10 To Someone That LIKE ❤️, RETWEET ♻️ and COMMENT When We Sweep! 🧹

✅Collignon/Cerundolo O22.5 Games
⚾️Taj Bradley O5.5 Strikeouts
⚾️MacKenzie Gore O5.5 Strikeouts
⚾️Shane Bieber U15.5 Pitcher Outs

❤️ IF TAILING

#GamblingX | #MLB | #Tennis | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB SATURDAY | Play #4 ⚾️

Shane Bieber U15.5 Outs Recorded
1U | -118 @PlayProphetX
#BlueJays50

Bieber simply hasn't looked like himself since returning, and now he gets one of the toughest possible tests. This White Sox lineup is patient, makes a ton of contact, and has the type of approach that can drive a starter's pitch count up in a hurry.

The White Sox have quietly become one of the toughest lineups in baseball to put away. Over their last 20 games vs RHP they own:
• .279 AVG
• 131 wRC+
• .339 wOBA
• 82nd percentile in Contact%
• 92nd percentile in Chase%
• Just an 8.9% BB rate

They're simply making pitchers work, and that's exactly what you want when fading pitcher outs.

This lineup also has several hitters that consistently grind at-bats:
• Murakami – 16.9% BB
• Vargas – 12.2% BB
• K. Teel – 12.2% BB
• B. Montgomery – 10.3% BB
• C. Meidroth – 9.6% BB

Bieber is averaging just 13.3 outs this season and has stayed under this number in 3 of his 4 starts. The only time he cleared this line came against a Rangers lineup that doesn't work counts nearly as well as Chicago.

The White Sox rank near the top of the league in pitches per plate appearance, and if they stick to that approach again, I don't see Bieber lasting deep enough to record 16 outs.

♥️ IF TAILING

@PropsMadness 📊
Code "DAIJON" Will Get You 25% Off!

#GamblingX | #MLB | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB SATURDAY | Play #3 ⚾️

MacKenzie Gore O5.5 Strikeouts
1U | +105 @KalshiSports
#AllForTX

Gore is one of those pitchers I'm always interested in backing when the price is right. His ability to generate swings and misses gives him one of the higher strikeout ceilings on any slate, and getting plus money makes this even more appealing.

He's averaging 5.8 strikeouts per start this season and has cleared this number in 6 of his last 12 starts, including 4 of his last 7. The strikeout upside has been there all year, and this is another spot where he has a realistic path to six.

The Braves don't have an overwhelming team strikeout rate overall, but over their last 20 games against left-handed pitching, several hitters have been striking out at a high clip:

• Matt Olson — 35.3% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Austin Riley — 35.0% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Joey Bart — 28.6% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Jorge Mateo — 27.8% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Eli White — 27.3% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Drake Baldwin — 25.0% K% (L20 vs LHP)

Gore's swing-and-miss stuff has been there all season, and when he's locating the fastball early, the strikeouts usually follow. At +105, I think there's enough value to back him to reach 6+ punchouts.

❤️ IF TAILING

@PropsMadness 📊
Code "DAIJON" Will Get You 25% Off!

#GamblingX #MLB #BettingX