Daijon

📊 Data Driven Plays & Matchup Edges
📈 Breaking down trends, spots & value daily
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[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB SUNDAY | PLAY #1 ⚾️

Eduardo Rodriguez O17.5 Outs
1U | -132 @KalshiSports
#DBacks

Eduardo Rodríguez has been a workhorse for Arizona this season. When he's pitching well, the Diamondbacks have shown they're comfortable letting him work deep into games, and I think that's the case again today.

• Cleared this line in 13 of his 19 starts this season (68.4%).

• At Chase Field, he's gone over 17.5 outs in 9 of his last 10 home starts, averaging 20 outs per outing.

• His 18-out season average is already above today's number.

• He already faced this Cardinals lineup once this season and finished with 20 outs, comfortably clearing today's line.

The Cardinals can make pitchers work, but as long as they aren't drawing a bunch of walks and Rodríguez's command is there, this should clear. He's gone over in 13 of 19 starts, 9 of his last 10 home starts, and already reached 20 outs against St. Louis earlier this season. I'm backing him to work into the sixth inning once again.

♥️ IF TAILING

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[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@PropKitchen HEATER HEATER✅✅🔥🔥

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

July 18th, Recap 🧾

3-1 (+1.06U) 💰

✅ Rafael Collignon O22.5 Games
✅ Taj Bradley O5.5 Strikeouts
✅ MacKenzie Gore O5.5 Strikeouts
❌ Shane Bieber U15.5 Pitcher Outs

A solid day overall. Three winners on the card. We'll take that and keep building.

#GamblingX | #MLB | #Tennis | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

July 18th, CARD ⚾️🎾

$10 To Someone That LIKE ❤️, RETWEET ♻️ and COMMENT When We Sweep! 🧹

✅Collignon/Cerundolo O22.5 Games
⚾️Taj Bradley O5.5 Strikeouts
⚾️MacKenzie Gore O5.5 Strikeouts
⚾️Shane Bieber U15.5 Pitcher Outs

❤️ IF TAILING

#GamblingX | #MLB | #Tennis | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

Mackenzie Gore o5.5 Strikeouts ✅

It got sweaty, BUT he came through BIg🔥✅

♥️IF TAILED

#Gambling𝕏

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB SATURDAY | Play #3 ⚾️

MacKenzie Gore O5.5 Strikeouts
1U | +105 @KalshiSports
#AllForTX

Gore is one of those pitchers I'm always interested in backing when the price is right. His ability to generate swings and misses gives him one of the higher strikeout ceilings on any slate, and getting plus money makes this even more appealing.

He's averaging 5.8 strikeouts per start this season and has cleared this number in 6 of his last 12 starts, including 4 of his last 7. The strikeout upside has been there all year, and this is another spot where he has a realistic path to six.

The Braves don't have an overwhelming team strikeout rate overall, but over their last 20 games against left-handed pitching, several hitters have been striking out at a high clip:

• Matt Olson — 35.3% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Austin Riley — 35.0% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Joey Bart — 28.6% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Jorge Mateo — 27.8% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Eli White — 27.3% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Drake Baldwin — 25.0% K% (L20 vs LHP)

Gore's swing-and-miss stuff has been there all season, and when he's locating the fastball early, the strikeouts usually follow. At +105, I think there's enough value to back him to reach 6+ punchouts.

❤️ IF TAILING

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[Daijon @DaijonBets]

Taj Bradley O5.5 Strikeouts✅

Dude respects coin🪙🔥

Cash w/the bros @ChronicBets @PropKitchen @DDOGGSTACKS 🤝

♥️IF TAILED

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB SATURDAY | PLAY #2 ⚾️

Taj Bradley o5.5 Strikeouts
1.5U | -140 @PlayProphetX
#NoPlaceLikeHERE

Collab w/ @ChronicBets @PropKitchen & @DDOGGSTACKS 🤝

Backing Taj again in this one. 6+ Ks in 12/18 (67%) of starts this season including 7/L10 and 5/L6 starts.

Gets the Cubs here who have been a sneaky good K matchup. Over the L15 they rank bottom 10 in K% vs RHP. They have 7 bats in the projected lineup holding a K% above 18% vs RHP and 6 bats above 20%.

Taj holds good numbers against this lineup with 10 Ks in 27 ABs (37% K rate). He has really worked in his Split-Finger and Curveball this year to keep batters guessing. Should play well here as the Cubs hold +30% whiff rates vs both of those pitches. Taj holds a whiff% above league average this season and the Cubs have high whiff% bats riddled throughout the lineup.

Overall a solid spot to back Taj again. This Cubs lineup just allowed Bailey Ober to rack up 7Ks today and he holds a 16th percentile K% compared to Taj who ranks in the 81st percentile and has much better stuff overall. 16.5 outs line juiced on the over and 1K per inning feels very doable. We like the over!

♥️ IF TAILING

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[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@DDOGGSTACKS @PropsEdge @PropKitchen @ChronicBets @TheGr8Picks Green card! 🔥🔥

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@PropKitchen @THEBETTINGFLOOR @ChronicBets @DDOGGSTACKS Thanks my guy!

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

July 18th, CARD ⚾️🎾

$10 To Someone That LIKE ❤️, RETWEET ♻️ and COMMENT When We Sweep! 🧹

✅Collignon/Cerundolo O22.5 Games
⚾️Taj Bradley O5.5 Strikeouts
⚾️MacKenzie Gore O5.5 Strikeouts
⚾️Shane Bieber U15.5 Pitcher Outs

❤️ IF TAILING

#GamblingX | #MLB | #Tennis | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB SATURDAY | Play #4 ⚾️

Shane Bieber U15.5 Outs Recorded
1U | -118 @PlayProphetX
#BlueJays50

Bieber simply hasn't looked like himself since returning, and now he gets one of the toughest possible tests. This White Sox lineup is patient, makes a ton of contact, and has the type of approach that can drive a starter's pitch count up in a hurry.

The White Sox have quietly become one of the toughest lineups in baseball to put away. Over their last 20 games vs RHP they own:
• .279 AVG
• 131 wRC+
• .339 wOBA
• 82nd percentile in Contact%
• 92nd percentile in Chase%
• Just an 8.9% BB rate

They're simply making pitchers work, and that's exactly what you want when fading pitcher outs.

This lineup also has several hitters that consistently grind at-bats:
• Murakami – 16.9% BB
• Vargas – 12.2% BB
• K. Teel – 12.2% BB
• B. Montgomery – 10.3% BB
• C. Meidroth – 9.6% BB

Bieber is averaging just 13.3 outs this season and has stayed under this number in 3 of his 4 starts. The only time he cleared this line came against a Rangers lineup that doesn't work counts nearly as well as Chicago.

The White Sox rank near the top of the league in pitches per plate appearance, and if they stick to that approach again, I don't see Bieber lasting deep enough to record 16 outs.

♥️ IF TAILING

@PropsMadness 📊
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[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB SATURDAY | Play #3 ⚾️

MacKenzie Gore O5.5 Strikeouts
1U | +105 @KalshiSports
#AllForTX

Gore is one of those pitchers I'm always interested in backing when the price is right. His ability to generate swings and misses gives him one of the higher strikeout ceilings on any slate, and getting plus money makes this even more appealing.

He's averaging 5.8 strikeouts per start this season and has cleared this number in 6 of his last 12 starts, including 4 of his last 7. The strikeout upside has been there all year, and this is another spot where he has a realistic path to six.

The Braves don't have an overwhelming team strikeout rate overall, but over their last 20 games against left-handed pitching, several hitters have been striking out at a high clip:

• Matt Olson — 35.3% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Austin Riley — 35.0% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Joey Bart — 28.6% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Jorge Mateo — 27.8% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Eli White — 27.3% K% (L20 vs LHP)
• Drake Baldwin — 25.0% K% (L20 vs LHP)

Gore's swing-and-miss stuff has been there all season, and when he's locating the fastball early, the strikeouts usually follow. At +105, I think there's enough value to back him to reach 6+ punchouts.

❤️ IF TAILING

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[Daijon @DaijonBets]

Collignon/Cerundolo o22.5 Total Games✅

3 set banger 🔥🔥 cashed w/@THEBETTINGFLOOR 🤝

♥️IF TAILED!

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

7/18 ATP Play 🎾

Raphael Collignon vs. Juan Manuel Cerúndolo O22.5 Games

1U | -155 Kalshi

Collab w/@THEBETTINGFLOOR + ✍️

I think this one turns into a battle.

These guys have already played each other multiple times, and every match has been tight. Their styles match up perfectly for a long one. Cerundolo’s lefty game and elite defense do a great job of taking away Collignon’s biggest weapon, forcing long rallies and making him earn every point.

Collignon has been playing great tennis and his serve should keep him in plenty of service games, but Cerundolo is one of those players that never goes away. He’ll extend rallies, pressure second serves, and grind his way into close sets.

Gstaad’s altitude also helps. The conditions make serves more effective while still rewarding clay-court rallies, which is a recipe for long sets. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a tiebreak or even three sets here.

♥️IF TAILING

#ATP #TennisX #Gambling𝕏

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@DDOGGSTACKS @PropKitchen @ChronicBets One if those spots where it just feels right!🔥

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@PropKitchen @ChronicBets @DDOGGSTACKS @PKChefs @propsmadness We trust Taj!

[DDOGG🐶 @DDOGGSTACKS]

⚾️ MLB Play (7/18)

Taj Bradley o5.5 Ks
#NoPlaceLikeHere

Collab with @PropKitchen 🍽️, @ChronicBets 🧪, & @DaijonBets 🔒

Backing Taj again in this one. 6+ Ks in 12/18 (67%) of starts this season including 7/L10 and 5/L6 starts.

Gets the Cubs here who have been a sneaky good K matchup. Over the L15 they rank bottom 10 in K% vs RHP. They have 7 bats in the projected lineup holding a K% above 18% vs RHP and 6 bats above 20%.

Taj holds good numbers against this lineup with 10 Ks in 27 ABs (37% K rate). He has really worked in his Split-Finger and Curveball this year to keep batters guessing. Should play well here as the Cubs hold +30% whiff rates vs both of those pitches. Taj holds a whiff% above league average this season and the Cubs have high whiff% bats riddled throughout the lineup.

Overall a solid spot to back Taj again. This Cubs lineup just allowed Bailey Ober to rack up 7Ks today and he holds a 16th percentile K% compared to Taj who ranks in the 81st percentile and has much better stuff overall. 16.5 outs line juiced on the over and 1K per inning feels very doable. We like the over!

Like and Follow if tailing🐾

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[PropKitchen 🧑‍🍳 @PropKitchen]

MLB DISH OF THE DAY 🧑‍🍳

⚾️ PK Dish #1 (7/18)
🍽️ 𝐓𝐚𝐣 𝐁𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐥𝐞𝐲 𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑 𝟓.𝟓 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐤𝐞𝐨𝐮𝐭𝐬

Cooked w/ @ChronicBets, @DDOGGSTACKS & @DaijonBets 🤝

LIKE IF TAILING ❤️

We are backing Taj again after he has recorded 6+ strikeouts in 12 of 18 starts this season, including 7 of his last 10 and 5 of his last 6.

He draws a Cubs lineup that has quietly become a favorable strikeout matchup. Over their last 15 games, Chicago ranks bottom 10 in K% vs RHP. Seven hitters in the projected lineup own a K rate above 18% against righties, with six above 20%.

Bradley has also performed well against these hitters, recording 10 strikeouts across 27 career at-bats for a 37% K rate. He has incorporated his splitter and curveball more frequently this season, which should play well against a Cubs lineup producing whiff rates above 30% against both pitches.

Bradley’s overall whiff rate is above league average, while Chicago has several high-whiff bats throughout the projected lineup. The Cubs also allowed Bailey Ober to record seven strikeouts today despite Ober ranking in just the 16th percentile in K%, compared to Bradley’s 81st-percentile mark and significantly stronger swing-and-miss arsenal.

With Bradley’s outs line sitting at 16.5 and juiced toward the over, he should have enough leash to work through five-plus innings. One strikeout per inning gets him to the window, and he has consistently shown the upside to clear this number. We like the over.

Best Odds: -141 FanDuel

📊 Data via @propsmadness - use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!

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#MLB #MLBPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

@ChronicBets @PropKitchen @DDOGGSTACKS It’s a Taj day🔥🔥

[Chronic @ChronicBets]

⚾️ MLB Play #1 | 7/18

Taj Bradley Over 5.5 Strikeouts
HR -140 | 1u

Collab with the fellas! @PropKitchen
@DDOGGSTACKS 🤝 @DaijonBets

Backing Taj again in this one. 6+ Ks in 12/18 (67%) of starts this season including 7/L10 and 5/L6 starts.

Gets the Cubs here who have been a sneaky good K matchup. Over the L15 they rank bottom 10 in K% vs RHP. They have 7 bats in the projected lineup holding a K% above 18% vs RHP and 6 bats above 20%.

Taj holds good numbers against this lineup with 10 Ks in 27 ABs (37% K rate). He has really worked in his Split-Finger and Curveball this year to keep batters guessing. Should play well here as the Cubs hold +30% whiff rates vs both of those pitches. Taj holds a whiff% above league average this season and the Cubs have high whiff% bats riddled throughout the lineup.

Overall a solid spot to back Taj again. This Cubs lineup just allowed Bailey Ober to rack up 7Ks today and he holds a 16th percentile K% compared to Taj who ranks in the 81st percentile and has much better stuff overall. 16.5 outs line juiced on the over and 1K per inning feels very doable. We like the over!

❤️ IF YOUR TAILING!

📊 @PropsEdge
Code “CHRONIC” for 20% OFF your plan!

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

MLB SATURDAY | PLAY #2 ⚾️

Taj Bradley o5.5 Strikeouts
1.5U | -140 @PlayProphetX
#NoPlaceLikeHERE

Collab w/ @ChronicBets @PropKitchen & @DDOGGSTACKS 🤝

Backing Taj again in this one. 6+ Ks in 12/18 (67%) of starts this season including 7/L10 and 5/L6 starts.

Gets the Cubs here who have been a sneaky good K matchup. Over the L15 they rank bottom 10 in K% vs RHP. They have 7 bats in the projected lineup holding a K% above 18% vs RHP and 6 bats above 20%.

Taj holds good numbers against this lineup with 10 Ks in 27 ABs (37% K rate). He has really worked in his Split-Finger and Curveball this year to keep batters guessing. Should play well here as the Cubs hold +30% whiff rates vs both of those pitches. Taj holds a whiff% above league average this season and the Cubs have high whiff% bats riddled throughout the lineup.

Overall a solid spot to back Taj again. This Cubs lineup just allowed Bailey Ober to rack up 7Ks today and he holds a 16th percentile K% compared to Taj who ranks in the 81st percentile and has much better stuff overall. 16.5 outs line juiced on the over and 1K per inning feels very doable. We like the over!

♥️ IF TAILING

@PropsMadness 📊
Code "DAIJON" Will Get You 25% Off!

#GamblingX | #MLB | #BettingX

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

July 17th, Recap 🧾

2-2

✅ Griffin Jax O4.5 Strikeouts
✅ Sandy Alcantara U18.5 Outs
❌ Jake McCarthy O1.5 Total Bases (Replacement Play)
❌ Ruud/Molcan MLP

A split day. Jax and Sandy got the job done, but the replacement play and tennis parlay came up short.

Down a bit because the 2U L..

♥️IF TAILED

[Daijon @DaijonBets]

July 17th, CARD ⚾️🎾

$10 To Someone That LIKE ❤️, RETWEET ♻️ and COMMENT When We Sweep! 🧹

1U | Jared Jones O5.5 Strikeouts
#LetsGoBucs 
1.5U | Griffin Jax O4.5 Strikeouts
#RayUp
1.5U | Sandy Alcantara U18.5 Outs
#FightinFish 
1U | Molcan/Ruud MLP

Tennis writeups in the comments! ⬇️

❤️ IF TAILING

All plays available on @KalshiSports

New users:
Use code DAIJON

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[Daijon @DaijonBets]

7/18 ATP Play 🎾

Raphael Collignon vs. Juan Manuel Cerúndolo O22.5 Games

1U | -155 Kalshi

Collab w/@THEBETTINGFLOOR + ✍️

I think this one turns into a battle.

These guys have already played each other multiple times, and every match has been tight. Their styles match up perfectly for a long one. Cerundolo’s lefty game and elite defense do a great job of taking away Collignon’s biggest weapon, forcing long rallies and making him earn every point.

Collignon has been playing great tennis and his serve should keep him in plenty of service games, but Cerundolo is one of those players that never goes away. He’ll extend rallies, pressure second serves, and grind his way into close sets.

Gstaad’s altitude also helps. The conditions make serves more effective while still rewarding clay-court rallies, which is a recipe for long sets. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a tiebreak or even three sets here.

♥️IF TAILING

#ATP #TennisX #Gambling𝕏