Sharing brief thoughts on Trump’s Taiwan gambit. I argue Trump’s approach, if acted on, would be a shift from deterrence to dealmaking in a domain where there is no deal to be made, beyond offering unilateral concessions that undermine US credibility.
https://t.co/1vgbLNFpPm
Beijing continues to distort the intent of UN Resolution 2758. It didn’t address the one China principle. FM Zhou Enlai said at the time that it didn’t resolve the issue of Taiwan’s status. It’s time to be honest about this issue. https://t.co/wWSE8MtsyE
Instead, the agency of neighboring regimes and the resource constraints amid geopolitical competition incentivize Beijing to be a wary patron in its periphery! 8/
Delighted to share my @FPRI_Orbis article, where I argue China leverages the agenda-setting power for an international power transition. The agenda China proposes is development, and the lever to promote the agenda is the BRI https://t.co/YzTQZGKDp8
The Problems With China’s Economy Start at the Top. "One view is that officials in Beijing ��live above the clouds,” lacking a full understanding of how their attitudes and policies affect businesses." Excellent analysis by @EswarSPrasad https://t.co/uCAX2pWWLY
Here comes the US Navy: A US Navy P-8 Poseidon patrol and reconnaissance plane circles a Chinese coast guard ship during the resupply mission to Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea on Augus 22. Image: AFP
Honored to interview with @CarterCenter on the cross-Taiwan Strait triangular security dynamics and pointed out the blind spot of the strategic ambiguity vs. clarity debate https://t.co/0ZPNEbBO0J
Taiwan Is Already Independent: why most of the island's people don't desire a formal declaration. Great piece by Nathan Batto. https://t.co/1CMRNjSNPD via @ForeignAffairs
The blind spot in Wu Xinbo’s fatalism re US policy is how China’s shifts under XJP - more repression & state capitalism at home, more assertive foreign policy abroad - that has induced a reaction by US & others. We’re in a vicious cycle propelled by both. https://t.co/cqGryswkQ1