Daniel Ale

Engineer, Author, Speaker, Mentor

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

This is scary asf.

Also an eye opener.

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

https://t.co/2XRbmfesAv

[Math Files @Math_files]

Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn.

So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works.

Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it?

Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them.

For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information.

Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible.

Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

🚨 CALL FOR TECH DEVELOPERS

At Lagos Executive Cardiovascular Centre (LECC), the team is scaling a platform that supports patient access, rural outreach, cardiac screenings & AI-assisted diagnostics.

Kindly share your CV with [email protected]

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

I just published Mastering High Availability: Setting Up PostgreSQL Streaming Replication with Docker Compose and… https://t.co/iqRMV3PbNE

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

@BitMartExchange

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

@UZX_Official

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

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[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

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[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

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[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

@FutaBro There was a guy in 2006, 100l then, I bet he was in maybe 300l or 400l at the time. It insulted a young lecturer from MTS. I completed Masters before he graduated. He was humbled

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

@FunsoAkinsanya @oluseun_akin1 You can inform him to reach out

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

@PeterObi As a former chairman of a bank i believe that you understand what it means for a bank to go bankrupt up to the point where it's licence gets revoked. I also expect that you know what that also means for depositors. We all know that that this bank has been depressed for a while

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

@BranchKoda764 @ShehuSani That trader is selling what he or she bought

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

@preciousohagwu @RealOlaudah Several people didn’t have sex before marriage and the marriage experience is worse than this. Abstinence may have its advantage, but it guarantees absolutely nothing. Everyone should do what works best for them.

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

@RealOlaudah He might have found out certain things just before the wedding that he is unable to shake off. It’s important to ask these questions… letting things just be won’t help either, it will only get worse. The wider the gap the more difficult the recovery.

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

@DanielRegha Really? You are unbelievable. It’s his money, plus he bought the house, he didn’t steal it. Others can get another house to buy.

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

@ChuksEricE @pauladefarasin @MissPearls @urchilla01 @Royal_Spotlight @harrizone98 @DocOmeiza @OmegaXDreams @McPilot7 @IkukuomaC I really couldn’t connect the sermon extract that you shared with your comment and how it relates to the killing that had happened, however unfortunately that is. Moving on is a great piece of advise irrespective of what has happened to us.

[Daniel Ale @danielale9291]

@yabaleftonline I think she needs help, she might be sick.
Its absolutely ridiculous.