Interesting $SPY close.
Reclaimed some EMAs but kept rejecting off the prior daily high โ we're kind of in no man's land here.
Take back 750 and it's good to be/stay long short term.
Reject lower and lose the EMAs again and it's goblintown.
Enjoy your weekends!
Thesis why local top is in:
- Structure on the $SPY isn't great
- Everyone on the TL is victory lapping like stocks go up forever
- Warsh short term hawk to dampen markets and give the Fed room to manuver after letting some air out over the next month or so
- Gas into midterms
BREAKING: President Trump says "there is no $300 billion payment to Iran by the US."
"All there is for the US is success, lower oil prices, and victory. Check out the stock market," Trump says.
Thoughts on $NVDA short.
Daily macro trend flipped bearish. Price has already been capped by the previous highs. I'd anticipate continuation lower and will layer bids into the grey box.
Invalidation is a close above the previous highs around 212ish. I welcome a scam back up.
@qthomp Now will we get a move down to $160? Idk.
I feel like Don will have cried uncle or weaseled his way out of whatever situation he's in to pump markets back up by then.
A more likely scenario imo.
Thoughts on $NVDA short.
Daily macro trend flipped bearish. Price has already been capped by the previous highs. I'd anticipate continuation lower and will layer bids into the grey box.
Invalidation is a close above the previous highs around 212ish. I welcome a scam back up.
May short $NVDA again out of principal. Risk off for now thanks to Kevin. SPY closing below the 21 EMA is no bueno.
This market is a sweat fest and I absolutely hate it.
This is the area I'd look to short if it comes tbh.
@qthomp ? Run it back?
By the way, I am still overall bullish on the market.
In the short term, I would rather take profit on my positions and wait for the next pitch.
When the SPY closes below important levels, just TP and wait for the green light or a large washout to reposition.
May short $NVDA again out of principal. Risk off for now thanks to Kevin. SPY closing below the 21 EMA is no bueno.
This market is a sweat fest and I absolutely hate it.
This is the area I'd look to short if it comes tbh.
@qthomp ? Run it back?
TBH rates unchanged but Kev is gonna be nice and dovey today. Rates will come down. Too much hawkish positioning on that front and I think we ride higher.
It's America's 250th Birthday people! Cmon! We have the Midterms too!