Dan Thompson

Cofounder & CTO Allowability

[Saffron Huang @saffronhuang]

Here's a plausible positive scenario that doesn't require many further AI advancements. I wanted to clearly paint the path "from here to there" instead of hand-waving so it starts out negative but ends positive (I swear):

A recession leads to slowed hiring and a breakdown of the early-career ladder. The political window opens for industrial policy on AI: governments encourage firms to launch apprenticeship programs to bridge the training gap between junior and senior white-collar roles, instilling discernment and judgment of AI outputs. Programs help reshuffle people with clerical jobs into education (especially elementary and middle school 1-1 tutoring) or nursing (and given AI tools to upskill into providing clinical care). Those with a risk-taking or strategic bent become entrepreneurs and executives overseeing AI agents. Industrial policy is important, but AI also helps to decrease regulatory and compliance burdens on construction; this sector expands, and the built environment starts improving (e.g. high speed rail becomes more possible).

Later on, material abundance (robot manufacturing) means that goods are cheap and easier to manufacture domestically. Most people's spending is therefore on human-led services, today's luxuries. For example, high quality education: schooling in many places (including the US) has historically been low quality for most, with many knock-on effects. 1-1 personal attention by human teachers (for younger students) + AI personalized tutoring (for older students) bridges this gap. Everyone is healthy: cheap AI triaging of medical issues lowers the barrier to preventative as well as life-saving care. Entrepreneurship is enabled by easy access to AI agents. The bar for customer service is raised all-round (high-end retail and hospitality services, like what you see in Japan). Everyone works 3-4 days a week. Baumol's cost disease is a feature not a bug: the relative expense of human services stops being a budget problem and starts being a labor market solution. That is where the jobs are, and they're jobs worth having.

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

Just watched Jensen on @dwarkesh_sp.

He clearly refuses to engage on whether marginal compute still matters (convenient for @nvidia).

But @DarioAmodei isn’t neutral either. Controls extend @AnthropicAI’s lead.

Real tradeoff: slowing China now vs long-term ecosystem.

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@JohnMar_k @Austen Sadly no
Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and interest = 62% of the budget. Those are direct transfers no waste
Military is another 16%
Everything else is another 12%
Cutting a few billion makes no difference
Plus, trumps tax cuts add 200B/year, & only benefit the wealthiest

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@BenjaminDEKR 1. Obviously the reasoning is dumb - they don’t want to admit they’re obviously censoring
2. Most replies are from ppl who would agree with Elon on literally anything
3. Don’t really get why you’d leave over this. Far from the worst example of Elon’s free speech double standards

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@QuasLacrimas 0.5-2% of the population of Africa does this

Roughly the same % of Americans that practice child marriage

These are the kinds of things our aid programs fight btw

You can always find a reason to not help people. Like republicans giving tax cuts to the rich not the “lazy” poor

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@KambanTheMaker I love elephas! But right now it does not support GPT 4 Turbo. Any plans to update the model list from the API so you get the latest models, or to manually add the latest models: `gpt-3.5-turbo-1106`, `gpt-4-vision-preview` and `gpt-4-vision-preview`?

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@FrPeterMussett Alana Chen trusted you, needed you, turned to you. You failed her; killed her. You are spiritually toxic, yet you keep your position&status. Will Christ speak for you, or for Alana? Give up your flock and save your soul. Or keep your pride and face God’s judgment

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@MichaelW1ll1s @foxboi__ @MilliQuinzel @StacyCaySlays but you just look like a bigot. Kind of like someone who says “women belong in the kitchen because they’ve always been there.” You’re just making an assertion with no evidence or actual argument but thinking something doesn’t make it true. Logic > emotions 2/2

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@MichaelW1ll1s @foxboi__ @MilliQuinzel @StacyCaySlays According to: Dylan, the state, and the majority of people in this country, Dylan is a woman. If you changed your name and I insisted on calling you by your old name because “that’s your actual name” would that make a lot of sense? I mean you can pretend she’s not a woman 1/2

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@hoplon762 @AndyMorales8 @sarahefishkind @davidhogg111 @LivesRobbed @RepHaleyStevens @HaleyLive @elijahpelton @FerrellZabala @MaxwellFrostFL @JaredEMoskowitz @CampBeasleywood @po_murray @Jason_Aldean @shannonrwatts Also just fyi I’m a lifelong firearms owner and I started shooting when I was 4. I support reasonable gun control because it has been shown to work. Not everyone who disagrees with you is arguing based on irrational feelings and emotions. Ironically, it seems like you do though

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@hoplon762 @AndyMorales8 @sarahefishkind @davidhogg111 @LivesRobbed @RepHaleyStevens @HaleyLive @elijahpelton @FerrellZabala @MaxwellFrostFL @JaredEMoskowitz @CampBeasleywood @po_murray @Jason_Aldean @shannonrwatts medal it’s a bs publicity stunt”? If so fair enough. But just because ppl disagree with you doesn’t mean that they don’t support fundamental freedoms. I’m happy she has the right to throw away the pin. Doesn’t make her a good person for doing it 2/2

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@hoplon762 @AndyMorales8 @sarahefishkind @davidhogg111 @LivesRobbed @RepHaleyStevens @HaleyLive @elijahpelton @FerrellZabala @MaxwellFrostFL @JaredEMoskowitz @CampBeasleywood @po_murray @Jason_Aldean @shannonrwatts Freedom of association means freedom from state interference with whom you choose to associate. Other people are free to use their rights to criticize. So back to the vet. If conservatives were saying how disgusting that was you’d say “he should do whatever he wants with that 1/2

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@hoplon762 @AndyMorales8 @sarahefishkind @davidhogg111 @LivesRobbed @RepHaleyStevens @HaleyLive @elijahpelton @FerrellZabala @MaxwellFrostFL @JaredEMoskowitz @CampBeasleywood @po_murray @Jason_Aldean @shannonrwatts Oh really? Did I say she should go to jail for throwing away the pin? Did I say she should legallly be forced to support their position? Have you heard of freedom of speech? A right I’m exercising right now? So you would defend the democrat who threw away the vets Purple Heart?

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@APunkAssUnicorn @RealMightyJoe @bean_bang @StacyCaySlays To be clear I don’t agree at all with the characterization that guy made about Dylan. Even if I thought that privately (I don’t - she’s beautiful) I wouldn’t say it because it’s transphobic. But that’s the argument to make. Most gay ppl can absolutely tell if someone else is gay

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@APunkAssUnicorn @RealMightyJoe @bean_bang @StacyCaySlays Come on. I’m gay and I 10000% support Dylan mulvaney. And she’s a beautiful woman. But gay isn’t visible? It certainly isn’t always. But tons of gay men present as gay. Which is great! But let’s not pretend that you can’t possibly ever know. Heard of gaydar? Gay culture?

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@hoplon762 @AndyMorales8 @sarahefishkind @davidhogg111 @LivesRobbed @RepHaleyStevens @HaleyLive @elijahpelton @FerrellZabala @MaxwellFrostFL @JaredEMoskowitz @CampBeasleywood @po_murray @Jason_Aldean @shannonrwatts So if a democrat met with a veteran who gave them his Purple Heart medal with a letter explaining why they supported freer access to firearms you’d defend them if they just threw it in the trash?

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@RefinerTrash @Chasten @sarahefishkind @davidhogg111 @LivesRobbed @RepHaleyStevens @HaleyLive @elijahpelton @FerrellZabala @MaxwellFrostFL @JaredEMoskowitz @CampBeasleywood @po_murray Firstly, red states have higher murder rates and lower incomes. https://t.co/V0kGwM7Rsv. 2nd It is not treason to pass a law. If an unconstitutional law is passed it can be struck down but the lawmakers didn’t commit a crime. The constitution defines treason in fact. Take a look

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@Meow81998508 @sarahefishkind @davidhogg111 @LivesRobbed @RepHaleyStevens @HaleyLive @elijahpelton @FerrellZabala @MaxwellFrostFL @JaredEMoskowitz @CampBeasleywood @po_murray Let’s say you met these parents. They might support positions that you disagree with. That’s fine. You’d throw the pin in the trash right in front of them? That’s like saying if you disagree with someone you can spit in their face even if they’re good people doing their best

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@hoplon762 @AndyMorales8 @sarahefishkind @davidhogg111 @LivesRobbed @RepHaleyStevens @HaleyLive @elijahpelton @FerrellZabala @MaxwellFrostFL @JaredEMoskowitz @CampBeasleywood @po_murray @Jason_Aldean @shannonrwatts So your argument is that since most liberals are ok with abortion, and because some people’s lives are saved by guns, it’s ok to take a pin from the parents of a murdered child and throw it in the trash, right in front of them? If you’d been her, you’d have done the same thing?

[Dan Thompson @danrthompson]

@TaylorLorenz @TrungTPhan @TechCrunch @CommunityNotes Article makes a good comparison to somebody with a broken arm. Says no one with a broken arm expects someone to miraculously fix it. So if someone’s arm won’t heal without treatment they want and can’t afford, it’s ableist to pay for it? Video isn’t perfect but this is ridiculous