🇫🇷 France vs Senegal 🇸🇳
🇸🇳 El Hadji Malick Diouf
A roaring full-back who whips crosses into the box like a banshee.
Tonight he’s got:
⚡ Mané
⚡ Jackson
⚡ Sarr
waiting to attack them.
Betfair’s shot creation markets caught my eye:
🎯 2+ shots created @ 12/5
🎯 3+ shots created @ 15/2
🎯 4+ shots created @ 25/1
I also like the assist line at 13/2. The fpl assist rules don’t hurt either.
Interesting ladder. 👀
🇧🇪 Belgium v Egypt 🇪🇬
I think this is a generous price for someone 6ft 5in
🎯 Amadou Onana 1+ Headed Shot on Target @ 14/1
He’s a huge target from corners and free-kicks.
📊 1+ Headed Shot - 19/10 @ Betfred
Unless Onana has a 50p head, I’m struggling to see how those two markets align 🎯
🇩🇪 Germany v Curaçao
Not a game screaming value but one angle caught my eye.
Bet365 seem far more willing than Betfair to price up Sherel Floranus getting involved.
🪜 Floranus Fouled Ladder
✅ 1+ Fouls Won @ 5/4
✅ 2+ Fouls Won @ 7/1
✅ 3+ Fouls Won @ 25/1
Adding in a couple of Florian Wirtz lines as that’s the battle that intrigues me.
🎯 Wirtz 1+ Foul Committed
🎯 Wirtz 1+ Tackle
Let’s see if Wirtz had his Weetabix this morning. 🥣 @StatsHubCom
🇶🇦 Qatar v Switzerland
🍌 Banana Watch
Vargas and Ndoye down the Swiss flanks could make for a long night for the Qatari full-backs.
Ayoub Al-Oui & Homam Al-Amin both to be booked.
12/1 Bet365
45/1 BetMGM 👀
Same bet. Very different prices.
🌎 World Cup opening day.
Before the longshots, dark horses and centre-back theories…
Let’s start by finding the fairway with four Mexico boosts:
⚽️ Betfair – Over 0.5 first-half goal
🇲🇽 Bet365 – Mexico to score
🏆 Sky Bet – Mexico to win
🟢 BetMGM – Mexico to wear green
The real fun starts later.
My World Cup system is back.
104 matches.
Every centre-back.
Every game.
First Goalscorer.
Sounds ridiculous until a 40/1 centre-half nods in a corner after 12 minutes.
Set pieces decide tournaments.
I’ll chart the journey.
👀 Here’s a creative World Cup market from Unibet.
Goals & Assists Combined — club by club.
The twist?
Players only need to outperform their club team-mates at the World Cup.
🇪🇸 Real Madrid — Federico Valverde 33/1
🇫🇷 PSG — Vitinha 14/1
🔴 Man Utd — Amad Diallo 18/1
I’m convinced there’s a monster price hiding somewhere.
Who is it? 👀
@dannykellywords Wish you the best Danny, by far the best, funniest, most knowledgeable and kindest broadcaster on the network.
Colleagues current, former and listeners all supporting you 👊 get back soon
Credit to Betfred for a seriously fun World Cup market I’ve been made aware of.
🏴 Top Premier League Goalscorer
🇧🇷 Igor Thiago 10/1
🇪🇸 Top La Liga Goalscorer
🇦🇷 Julian Alvarez 9/1
🇩🇪 Top Bundesliga Goalscorer
🇨🇴 Luis Diaz 8/1
🇮🇹 Top Serie A Goalscorer
🇹🇷 Kenan Yildiz 22/1
22,769/1 the fourfold 🤯
Completely irresponsible.
Naturally I’ve done a Lucky 15.
🎯 Throwing darts like Stephen Bunting.
🌎 World Cup minnow theory…
🇶🇦 Qatar
🇳🇿 New Zealand
🇭🇹 Haiti
🇮🇶 Iraq
🇵🇦 Panama
Combined points total: 0
Bet365: 99/1
Betfair: 168/1 😳
Surely one of them flukes a draw.
Who bursts my bubble?
Some World Cup Top Scorer prices are wild.
🏴 Ollie Watkins 33/1
🇧🇷 Neymar 40/1
🇩🇪 Nick Woltemade 25/1
What’s the worst bet on the board? 🤔
Over 2.5 goals combined for those three would feel generous 🤦♂️
🦁🦁🦁
Are you bullish or bearish on Tuchel’s England?
Sky Bet are offering 6/1 on:
🇪🇸 Spain QF
🇫🇷 France QF
🏴 England QF
Bet365’s equivalent is 4.25/1.
Spain and France aren’t really the question.
Can the Three Lions sleepwalk into the last eight?
4 more class accounts I’ve found genuinely useful for my World Cup timeline:
🧵 @futbolanalytica
Team & player breakdowns.
🟨 @TheCardDealer
Foul models.
📺 @DaleJohnsonBBC
VAR & laws
🧑⚖️ @m_kirby95
Referee profiles
Different angles. Different info.
Worth a follow. 🌍⚽
Tailed Güler at 80/1. The price & thesis is good.
The last few World Cup assist leaderboards are full of names who came from nowhere to dead heat & contend
A few other prices discussed:
🇧🇷 Paquetá 66/1
🇨🇴 James 70/1
🇨🇴 Luis Díaz 70/1
🇳🇴 Odegaard 70-1
🇹🇷 Çalhanoğlu 200/1
@talkSPORT He’s just making himself into a rage bait pantomime clown 🤡 which is fine but then he should be pulled off of commentary & the elements which require punditry
World Cup thoughts… 🌎🏆
🇵🇹 Portugal - best midfield?
🇫🇷 France - best attack?
🇧🇪 Belgium - best GK ? (assuming 🇪🇸 continue to bench theirs…)
Best defence?
That’s the one causing debate.
🇧🇷 Marquinhos & Gabriel is some pairing
&
🇲🇦 Morocco built on defensive discipline.
Not every gamble involves a betting slip
Bought this last week from USA:
Myles Lewis-Skelly Gold Refractor Rookie /50 PSA 10.
At 19, he became the 2nd-youngest Englishman ever to start a ECL Final.
💎 Gold RC /50
📊 PSA Population: 2
A serious talent. A seriously scarce card