株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰

🔴基本的にDM含め、メッセージのやりとりはしていません。

2026/08/28〜スマホ🤳でデイトレ&スイングの雰囲気トレーダーです🧑‍💻

30代 | たまーに登山 | 筋トレ | ランニング | サウナ | 温泉

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

@hira_kata_boy 昨日のMicrosoftといい、何かきな臭いですね…🧐

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

アメリカ下げてるね〜。
スイングせずにノーポジで良かった😌

時のオカリナも全クリしてしまった🧚🗡️

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

🚨 Another major scandal is coming out of NVIDIA.

And this one has nothing to do with Jensen Huang's affairs.

According to a Wall Street Journal report, Nvidia was offering billions in financial guarantees to AI companies that could not afford its chips, so they could keep buying them.

Some of these deals were being pushed by Jensen's own son-in-law, Nico Caprez, who became a vice president in January. His team was telling small cloud companies and data center builders that Nvidia could arrange credit support for them within a couple of weeks.

The goal was simple: turn them into long term buyers of Nvidia GPUs.

And the size of Nvidia's commitments has exploded. Its own filing shows $530 BILLION in commitments and guarantees, up from $184 billion just one quarter earlier.

Inside the company, CFO Colette Kress was raising concerns. She kept asking how these guarantees were priced and what Nvidia was really getting back.

In an August meeting, Jensen cut her off and called her "a deer in the headlights."

She was also the one who cut Nvidia's guarantee on OpenAI's Ohio data center from $250 billion to $105 billion.

Now Jensen is gone, and the CFO who questioned these deals is running Nvidia.

To understand why this is a big deal, you need to understand the AI funding loop.

Here is how it works:

1. Nvidia puts money into an AI company, or guarantees its loans and leases.
2. That company uses the money and credit to build a data center.
3. The data center is filled with Nvidia GPUs.
4. Nvidia reports those GPU sales as revenue.
5. If the company cannot rent out all its computing power, Nvidia agrees to buy the unused part.

SO NVIDIA IS THE INVESTOR, THE LENDER, THE SUPPLIER AND THE BACKUP CUSTOMER, ALL IN THE SAME DEAL.

The money goes out of Nvidia and comes back to Nvidia as sales.

CoreWeave is the clearest example. Nvidia owns a stake in it, sells it chips, and agreed to buy up to $6.3 billion of its unused computing capacity through 2032.

OpenAI is the biggest. Nvidia is guaranteeing up to $105 billion for its Ohio data center, supplying all the chips inside it, and invested $1.5 billion in the company building it.

Nvidia's own filing for the quarter ending July 26 shows where the money is tied up:

• Supply commitments for memory and chip wafers: $279 BILLION, up from $119 billion.
• Guarantee on the OpenAI Ohio data center: up to $105 BILLION.
• Deals to buy unused cloud capacity from neoclouds: $36 BILLION.

Nvidia's actual liabilities on its balance sheet: $91 BILLION.

That means the commitments outside the balance sheet are almost 6 times bigger than the debts on it.

Nvidia does not lose this money unless something breaks. A guarantee only costs Nvidia if a customer cannot pay.

But this is where it gets uncomfortable.

The WSJ says Jensen himself had started to panic. He warned executives that the biggest cloud companies were moving to their own chips to depend less on Nvidia.

At the same time, the wafers and memory Nvidia had committed to buy were coming at him like an "avalanche."

So the biggest customers were trying to leave, Nvidia was locked into buying huge amounts of supply, and smaller customers were being kept alive with Nvidia's credit.

And things were already starting to crack:

• Nvidia paused some of its financing deals in August.
• Nearly half of the $80 billion in data center bonds issued this year were rated junk.
• Neocloud stocks crashed this week, with Nebius down over 20% and CoreWeave down 17% at the lows.
• OpenAI raised less than it wanted, at a lower valuation.

And now Kress is the one deciding whether this continues.

If she pulls back on the financing, the companies that depended on Nvidia's money will have to borrow elsewhere, in a debt market that is already nervous.

If they cannot, they stop buying chips.

And if they stop buying chips, Nvidia's revenue drops.

That is the risk of a loop. It works perfectly when money keeps flowing, and it hurts on the way down.

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

@pom7000 先週の米🇺🇸中間選挙でいかれましたが、また再び勝ち抜いていきます🙌

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

【収支報告 36日目】

+2,092,912円🔥

週乙です✋今日は、
•QDレーザの決算跨ぎで利確後に、さらにドテンでショート。
•��陽誘電は寄りからショートで後場で利確
•キオクシアの後場の引け前のショートカバーで少し🤏

#株式投資
#デイトレ
#QDレーザ
#キオクシア
#太陽誘電

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

@rk88413197 QDレーザは今年に入ってからも現物でもホルダーだったので銘柄の癖で寄りは上がると思ってました😂

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

QDレーザ決算跨ぎからのドテン売りで利食い🔥

#株式投資
#デイトレ

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

@rk88413197 コメントありがとうございます！基本は2~3銘柄ですかね🧐

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

【収支報告 35日目】

-2,174,287円 😭

含み損全てをようやく清算出来た。
明日からコツコツに切り替えます。

#株式投資

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

11/14までの水星逆行の最後にNVIDIAショック！？👀

https://t.co/BchyzBGUZx

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

$NVDA - NVIDIA CORPORATION - JENSEN HUANG RESIGNS AS PRESIDENT, CEO, AND BOARD MEMBER EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY

[ありゃりゃ @aryarya]

サイバーセキュリティクラウド、個人情報漏えい

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

@QqNm6lReHH73763 お互い、明日の健闘を祈ります🤲

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

@QqNm6lReHH73763 明日は相場に触れれる時間がないので、おそらく前場で損切りですね😂

[株勝🔴だるま デイトレ🔰 @daruma_0828]

コアウィーブの決算、この後の7時からの決算説明会がまた気になる。。。👀

📈 2026年Q3売上高は36.6億ドル、前年比約167%増で市場予想を突破！
✅ 受注残高は1,325億ドル。AIデータセンター需要の強さが鮮明に。
✅ 通期売上高予想も130〜133億ドルへ上方修正！
⚠️ 一方、純損失は7.09億ドル。巨額の設備投資と借入負担が懸念材料。

📊 好決算を評価する買いが入るか、それとも赤字・資金調達懸念が売り材料になるか？注目の1日になりそう。

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

🚨 Today's inflation report could make things much worse.

U.S. inflation has come in hotter than expected AGAIN, and the possibility of a 50-basis-point rate hike in December is now back in focus.

October CPI data:

• Headline CPI: +0.4% vs. +0.3% expected.
• Core CPI: +0.3% vs. +0.2% expected.
• CPI Index: 337.51 vs. 337.02 expected.

S&P 500 futures plunged 0.76% within ONE MINUTE of the release.

Just hours before the report, Fed Governor Christopher Waller warned that a 50-basis-point hike should be considered if Core CPI came in at 0.3% or higher.

He also said a 25-basis-point hike could put the Fed's credibility at risk.

Core CPI came in at exactly 0.3%.

And the other economic data isn't helping either.

• Core PCE inflation: 3.1%.
• Headline PCE inflation: 3.6%.
• October jobs added: 165K vs. 65K expected.
• Unemployment: 4.1% vs. 4.2% expected.
• September PPI: +1.3% in a month.
• Two Fed officials voted for a hike in October.

CME FedWatch is now pricing in a nearly 100% chance of a December rate hike.

Core CPI has risen 0.3% for three consecutive months. If that pace continues, it works out to roughly 3.7% annually.

Headline inflation running at 0.4% every month would mean nearly 4.9% annually.

Both are well above the Fed's 2% target.

Oil has fallen roughly 20% since October 30, which could help bring inflation down.

But the Fed meets on December 9, one day before November's CPI report.

So policymakers won't have that next inflation reading when they decide whether to raise rates.

AI stocks are already under pressure, Bitcoin is struggling to recover, and investors are now watching whether the Fed could raise rates by 50 basis points instead of 25.

With inflation still high and hiring stronger than expected, the latest data gives the Fed little reason to back away from another rate hike.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

US INFLATION COMES IN HOTTER THAN EXPECTED IN OCTOBER

US headline CPI rose 0.4% in October, above the 0.3% forecast, while core CPI increased 0.3% versus 0.2% expected.

Food prices jumped 0.5%, energy rose 0.7%, and gasoline climbed 1.0%.

Housing costs increased 0.3%, while real earnings for private-sector workers were unchanged.

The hotter-than-expected inflation report strengthens the case for further Fed rate hikes.