@laurabronner Any chance the difference here is due to never-Trump Rs who came out to vote Biden in November and then voted R down the ticket out of convenience/habit but now that Trump is off the ballot might not be motivated to show Tuesday?
@DrPaulGosar@realDonaldTrump Whatever you do don’t read it. Then you’d find out the tweet is referencing Arizona, the affidavit is referencing Michigan, and the “data” cited in the affidavit is from Minnesota.
@NateSilver538 One thing that stuck out was this peak in the sim. Appears the most likely result was Biden with 400+ EV which would imply TX, IA, OH all blue even though the model had them leaning red. Any idea what drove this behavior in the simulation? Is it somehow related to TX-size?
@editti22@CalRipkenJr That’s me on my first and only day as part of Cal’s all-volunteer Security force rocking the acid-washed jorts in a way that only a true mid-90s middle schooler could. Picture taken right before I blacked out and have no actual memories of the walk back to the dugout.