david

Founder - Fmr Cyber Officer -West Point - Harvard Public Policy

FL. US Army. TX. IT. Seoul. Tokyo. Cambridge, MA. Austin

[david @davidSenTe]

The nukes in Japan were the first act of the Cold War. If we had not dropped nukes the USSR would have controlled the entire Korean peninsula, Hokkaido, and probably northern Honshu as well. That alternate history alone outweighs the obvious pain inflicted on the people of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Worth noting also we had destroyed much of Japanese civilian infrastructure through conventional bombing. The nukes weren't really quantitatively different in terms of pain inflicted on civilians. It was a qualitative message which convinced their leadership to surrender. This could be an argument for using nukes in Iran. It doesn't consider 1) the reputational damage using nukes in Iran would do to the US in 2026. 2) the unlikelihood that it would actually allow us to achieve strategic aims in Iran. Insurgency tactics have evolved since 1945 and Iran is a very different place and a different populace from Japan in 1945. We couldn't nuke Iran into complying and we couldn't occupy them into complying. Given that we started the war in February cutting out loses (in a way LBJ did not) was our only option.

In short don't think this is a useful analogy or thought experiment at all. Good to make your students think through all of the above though.

[david @davidSenTe]

@bendreyfuss I don't see why the two positions have to be mutually exclusive. You can have serious disagreements with a sibling and still back them up passionately to outsiders.

[david @davidSenTe]

@growing_daniel @TheCatholicEngr There may not be many euros in the stadium

[david @davidSenTe]

Legacy Americans tie soccer to Europeanness. The same group who idealize a sometimes imagined view of a superior European haute-couture are the legacy Americans who like soccer. This group also has an awkward overlap with people who use the term "sportsball" when referring to American sports. This is a demographic than even European football fans. It's unnatural
Recently immigrant Americans have a more authentic tie to the sport.

[david @davidSenTe]

Legacy Americans tie soccer to Europeanness. The same group who idealize a sometimes imagined view of a superior European haute-couture are the legacy Americans who like soccer. This group also has an awkward overlap with people who use the term "sportsball" when referring to American sports. This is a demographic than even European football fans. It's unnatural
Recently immigrant Americans have a more authentic tie to the sport.

[david @davidSenTe]

American culture is highly geographically diverse. Talent gravitates towards the cities you mention but local culture is still expressed through the creatives who relocate. Rappers from the Atlanta, filmmakers from Austin (Anderson, Linklater), country music sometimes relocates to SoCal (TSwift), Bad Bunny carrying Puerto Rican culture into the mainstream, athletes carry their college affiliation throughout their careers, etc.

[david @davidSenTe]

@ianbremmer @Tristanrhee3 The Anthropic fight seems to show that normal sovereigns hold the cards in this dynamic

[david @davidSenTe]

@alltejuupptaget @tedfrank You heard of brexit?

[david @davidSenTe]

@robinhanson Tone policing isn't one of them. Elite modes of communication are innoffensive to the point of dryness / joylessness. A construction crew is much more fun than MBAs... Unless you are the 'wet-blanket-no-jokes-allowed enforcer'

[david @davidSenTe]

@bankertobuilder The bottom one is more expensive. Dunking on the poor

[david @davidSenTe]

@growing_daniel Anthropic should be honest about Mythos's capabilities rather than fearmonger in order to achieve a preferential regualatory environment

[david @davidSenTe]

@ATabarrok It should be reinstated but anthropic should come clean and step back from its catastropist rent-seeking rhetoric.

[david @davidSenTe]

7 of the world's 9 most popular countries not represented in this years world cup. 52% of the world's population in those 7 countries alone

[david @davidSenTe]

@sean_from_earth Just saying he wrote the Anthropic party line so reliably he could only have been on their payroll. And when you have infinite money like they do why not buy some former admin influencers

[david @davidSenTe]

@DanielleInSFran @FreddyLA7 Oklahoma*

[david @davidSenTe]

@mungowitz You want to send any of your children/ grandchildren to die in the Iran war?

[david @davidSenTe]

@ianbremmer @atrupar @joshrogin It's not like that at all. Nuclear weapons are qualitatively different than missiles if for no other reason than the nuclear non proliferation treaty. Your handlers want us to commit 100k troops / tens of thousands of lives to send Iran back to the stone age I guess?

[david @davidSenTe]

@ClintFiore Also maybe why they have so many heat-related medical issues in the summer. 'overheating' alone usually isn't the cause for a medical emergency. It's complications from dehydration or electrolyte deficit