sebelum kamu berfikir bikin grup berbayar 1jt kali 1000 orang maka 1M gak kemana…..
bayangkan kamu akan ladenin modelan haka ngasal dan rugi marah marah kayak gini…..
kalo siap lakukanlah~~
klo enggak…. Sudahlah
umur ini makin lama makin
abis.
bisa tiba tiba selesai
masa mau di habiskan sama
modelan begitu cuma buat 1M?
Rugi sekali….
In 1932, Ben Graham found companies trading below their bank-account cash.
The business was free. The market was too scared to check.
Most people saw a falling stock and assumed a dying company. Graham saw a mispriced coupon.
That's not bravery. That's arithmetic nobody used.
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- GLM 5.1 as a reliable everyday model
why this is huge:
> no paying separate subscriptions for different models
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getting started takes less than 2 minutes:
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2. sign up and verify your account
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supported models:
> minimaxai/minimax-m3
> qwen/qwen3.5-397b-a17b
> moonshotai/kimi-k2.6
> zhipuai/glm-5.1
> deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash
pro tip:
use DeepSeek V4 Flash for speed, Qwen for hard reasoning, Kimi for agents, and MiniMax as your daily coding companion
the best part?
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~40 requests per minute is more than enough for most developers and personal projects
5 frontier models that compete with GPT and Claude, all without spending a dollar
bookmark this and claim your free API key before the limits change 👀
Apakah secara historis reversal dari bottom harus didukung foreign net inflow?
IHSG naik 7,6% Selasa dan 2,7% Rabu.
Asing? Masih net sell Rp 2,45 T dan Rp 3,13 T.
Banyak yang menyimpulkan Asing masih buang barang atau ini rally ini palsu.
Sounds logical.
Tapi premisnya layak diuji dengan data.
Apakah flow Asing/Domestik ini relevan dalam menentukan ini reversal atau bukan?
Saya backtest 4 crash terbesar IHSG: GFC 2008, Taper Tantrum 2013, koreksi 2015, dan COVID 2020.
Tiga dari empat reversal dimulai saat asing masih net sell.
Di 2013 dan 2015, kumulatif flow bahkan masih negatif di bulan keenam, padahal index sudah naik 15–16%.
Inflow besar baru datang di bulan ke-5 sampai ke-12, setelah recovery terbentuk.
COVID paling ekstrem: IHSG naik 56% dalam 12 bulan, dan sepanjang itu asing tetap kumulatif net sell sekitar Rp 27 T.
Asing baru berbalik net buy bulanan pertama kali November 2020, saat index sudah jauh di atas bottom.
Apakah ini berarti 8 Juni sudah pasti THE bottom?
Tidak ada yang bisa menjamin itu, termasuk saya.
Yang bisa dikatakan dengan jujur: rebound dua hari ini terjadi di atas turnover yang naik (Rp 21,7 T → 28,0 T → 31,7 T), breadth-nya lebar, dan absennya foreign inflow bukan alasan valid untuk mendiskreditkan rally, karena secara historis memang tidak pernah jadi prasyarat.
Satu catatan lagi yang jarang dibahas. Label "asing" di data bursa itu flag pada order broker, bukan beneficial ownership.
Dengan makin umumnya struktur nominee dan jasa "masking" kepemilikan.
Garis pemisah antara "real" foreign vs domestic makin kabur.
Watch the tape, not the nationality flag on it.
Lah emang bener.
Masalahnya kan di medsos indo banyak yg walau ngomongin aset saham yg dipegang mereka individual aja masih gagap, tapi demi monet cenblue ngomong fafifu & goreng isu soal inverted yield curve & term structure of interest rates.
Nih dikutip lagi utk kesekian kali:
"Stocks are stories, bonds are mathematics." (David Leinweber in "How I Became a Quant", Lindsey & Schachter (ed.), 2011)
Dari yg ada di sini, hanya 5 yg akan selalu saya rekomendasikan ke mentee/junior:
1. Psycho-Cybernetics
2. The Millionaire Fastlane
3. Never Split The Difference
4. No More Mr. Nice Guy
5. How To Talk To Anyone
You're welcome.
Apa yg dikatakan chef juna itu realita pahit yg terjadi di dunia nyata.
Untuk timku, aku selalu izinkan mereka kok asal jelas.
Tapi ketika aku d tempat kerja lain?
Aku udah skip ultah anak 2x
Ketika anakku sakit, aku baru smpt jemput ketika kelar kerjaan.
“Salahmu lanang”
Most people apply one strategy to every stock. That's the mistake.
I backtested my custom indicator across 4 big Indonesian bank stocks. Same sector, completely different behavior.
The market doesn't care about your one-size-fits-all system. Each stock has its own rhythm, driven by different participants, different catalysts, different flow dynamics.
Your edge isn't just the indicator. It's knowing which model fits which stock and why.
That's the real alpha.