— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ —

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin W1

See you back at 5 figures in Oct 2026 I guess...

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin W1

See you at 6 figures in Oct 2025 I guess..

[bee🐝 @0xbeehive]

$BTC HAS THREE RULES IN A BEAR MARKET

It's easy:

Rule 1 - Bear market lasts minimum 350 days
Rule 2 - The bottom never forms without touching MA 350
Rule 3 - Price always drops further than anyone expect

Good news: By the timeline we're already 65% through the bear cycle

But the price is still at $80,000. And the 350-day moving average is at $47,000 - completely untouched

Not worried though. There are too many things working against this bullish moment right now. The flush is coming. It always does

When MA 350 gets tagged - that's when I'll be the loudest bull in the room

FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

New Bitcoin Floor Model!

Simple and elegant.

Equal-weighted average of BTC's lifetime SMA, single EMA, double EMA (DEMA), triple EMA (TEMA), and quadruple EMA (QEMA), then plot a ±10% band around that average.

Upper band ×1.1 = $57,112
Lower band ×0.9 = $46,728

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

But if we take the actual top of previous cycle then it may already be bottomed..

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

Very interesting. $GOLD up so much = $USD dropped so much, making USD not as reliable for true price of BTC.

According to GOLD pair, $BTC has already dropped -70% this bear market.

Another dip would line up with previous cycle bear duration + form RSI bull div confirmation.

[CryptoAmsterdam @damskotrades]

Gold and Bitcoin

Last cycle, gold ran hard.

Bitcoin went up, but also dropped -70%.

No real parabolic move for BTC

That parabolic Bitcoin move started exactly once gold went into a long consolidation period.

[CryptoAmsterdam @damskotrades]

Gold and Bitcoin

Last cycle, gold ran hard.

Bitcoin went up, but also dropped -70%.

No real parabolic move for BTC

That parabolic Bitcoin move started exactly once gold went into a long consolidation period.

[Killa @KillaXBT]

After May could be brutal.

In every single $BTC bear cycle, once April passed, we’ve seen extended downside follow through Q3.

Are you really willing to bet against that?

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin M1 (Monthly)

Last cycle, at this stage a monthly close below previous months high triggered 3 months of heavy bleeding.

If April closes below March high of $76,000, expect heavy bleeding in May, June & July.

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin W1

Previous bear market vs current

Numbers and levels match shockingly well so far

(CME gap open up to $84.3k, which if filled would put current bounce at 40% - a bit closer to previous cycles 46%, but this Nov/Dec bounce was also weaker at 21.49% vs 24%..)

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

CME Daily chart showing the mentioned open gap (and older open gaps below which may be areas of interest)

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin W1

6 months later - nailed the top and down -52%

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin W1

See you back at 5 figures in Oct 2026 I guess...

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin W1

See you at 6 figures in Oct 2025 I guess..

[AlΞx Wacy 🌐 @wacy_time1]

Can’t stop thinking about this chart.

Every $BTC rejection from this line has led to a 70% crash.

And we just bounced off it again.

Who’s ready for $40,000 $BTC?

[𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗜𝗡 𝗠𝗜𝗡𝗗 ⛓🧠 @0xChainMind]

BTC CHART IS REPEATING 2021 PATTERN

IF HISTORY STILL MATTERS, NEXT MOVE WON’T BE KIND TO LATE BUYERS

CONSIDER THIS YOUR WARNING

[Crypto Tony @CryptoTony__]

This is not going to happen.

[PlanB @100trillionUSD]

Bears think $126k was the top, and btc will fall below $100k, and 2026 will be a bear market mainly because ... the 4 year cycle!?

IMO that is a BIG misunderstanding. Yes, there is a 4y halving cycle that doubles S2F-ratio, and 6 months before until 18 months after a halving was very profitable last 3 cycles. But, 3 cycles is not enough for a reliable pattern, and it is absolutely not guaranteed that the top is again 18 months after the halving (Oct'25!). Also, S2F model says nothing about tops or bottoms, only about the average price level in a halving cycle, assuming a fundamental phase transition (as described in the S2FX article, on my website in the bio). So IMO the top could very well be in 2026, or 2027, or 2028 ... actually I am much more interested in the average price level than the top (or the bottom).

What I do know is: there has not been a fundamental bitcoin phase transition yet in this cycle. Realized price (grey line) has not diverted from 200 week moving average (black line), RSI has not been 80+ (red) etc. Either the big jump has yet to come, or we have transitioned into a more stable price regime, dominated by institutions, fund mandates (e.g. 1%-10% btc) and rebalancing (sell after pump and buy after dump, to keep exposures within mandate). Both scenarios are very bullish for bitcoin. Also, IMO there can not be a big bear market without a big jump (red RSI 80+ and grey realized price diverting from black 200wma).

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

@QuintenFrancois Reported anon for stealing my tweet

https://t.co/wlWzLIfF50

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin W1

See you at 6 figures in Oct 2025 I guess..

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin W1

Halving to all-time-high

Date ranges get longer every cycle, this might indicate we have a few more weeks left to print the current cycle's all-time-high..

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$GOLD #Gold Monthly

I think a pull back to $2800-$3000 may be possible from here

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$GOLD #Gold Monthly

Cup & Handle target $3965 hit 🎯

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$GOLD #Gold Monthly

Cup & Handle target $3965 hit 🎯

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$GOLD #Gold Monthly

Cup & Handle pattern

Redrawn and updated with a target of $3,965

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$GOLD #Gold Monthly

Cup & Handle pattern target $3,300

Scary for what this means irl

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ ��� @decentralise_]

$GOLD #Gold Monthly

Update

Alternative target $3090 hit

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin W1

Bear market short target sub $40k.

[— ⬩ ᴅ ᴇ ᴄ ᴇ ɴ ᴛ ʀ ᴀ ʟ ɪ s ᴇ ⬩ — @decentralise_]

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin W1

See you back at 5 figures in Oct 2026 I guess...