Slurped 3070 ETH, think JpoW more dovish tomorrow in his talk than market expects, interest futures almost completely pricing out cut in June… then add a soft print CPI for April and we are back on track
@chiefingza Think still heavily correlated to cost of capital, think jumped gun slightly on when first interest reduction comes (swap futures went like 5-10% to 60-70% q1 and now dipped back a lil). Think it comes but rather q2 which will correspond well with a new rally post halving
Think about it, smart money sold a few days ago and avoided the dip. Now they are front running the approval early next week, while everyone is sidelined and playing it “safe”, just to buy back higher coming week (just for them to commence the dump again)
@outpxce@Chall_Rajni Not in assets with underlying cash flows and secular growth, however, crypto is definitely at this point of time zero sum, thinking anything else will annihilate you
LDO is going to run really fucking hard coming 1-2 weeks, price discovery post 3,4 (thinking around 5). Muscle memory from last year as well as ETH narrative picking up, will be the obvious beta. But ofc also degen Spartan redemption arc 🫡
Think want to be long now, everyone else de risking, being flat over holiday seems “prudent”, but not the case. Long l1 alts (avax, mina, near, tia), now until new years, expect the flush sometime within 2-3 first weeks of January. After that is when you load up the Texas hedge