$BTC LTF shaping up favorably for a small rally
deviating back inside the Range Lows allows for a push into Range Highs
if we get there, we'll have the 4H 200MAs HTF trend as resistance confluence
if we reclaim that HTF inflection point at $72k, that would allow for a larger relief-rally towards ~$82k
instead of rejoicing that I had successfully traded the one rally that mattered in recent months, I was reminding you not to get bullish
we’re in an environment where: as long as stocks stay elevated, crypto remains relatively weaker
yet when stocks selloff, crypto does too.
we need stocks to plummet so we can start ripping off the bandaid
think of it as a ‘reset’.
This guy made a (very cool) “autism cube” style coffee machine
But then you go to his website and it’s designed to sell these to 32yo women who make their own sourdough starter
He’s a few very minor code tweaks away from making millions of dollars
OP Collective just lost 94% of it's fee revenue sharing.
Base paid 13.15 ETH/day vs 0.84 ETH from every other Superchain chain combined.
In return, Base received 118M $OP tokens over 6 years.
But with $OP at $0.18 today (down on the news), that deal looks very different than when it was signed at $1.50.
- dumping price on week 1 is almost fatal: only 9.4% of tokens that fell early finished the year positive
- start price matters: 75% of tokens launching under $100m fdv were up after a month vs 22% above $500m
- 80% of airdrop receivers dumped on day 1...
- while pre-sale participants show a ~65% retention rate on day 1 (but continue dumping if price increases)
- favor tokens with liquidity concentrated on one chain: splitting $1m tvl across three chains weakens depth (and is bad for price)
- MMs sell ~50% of tokens to bootstrap quote assets under a token loan agreement
- Pre-market perps are a "source of significant downward pressure."
- 90% of token unlocks were followed by price drops. "Team unlocks hit hardest, averaging a 25% decline over 30 days."
This gap exists because team members sell independently, without coordination, using taker orders that increase price impact.
Good read. Highly recommended:
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a lot of the really smart people i follow on here have been super bullish on hype
i continue to dca even here
and if we retrace sub 30 ill swap some of my btc bags for some more hyperliquid tbh
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