Devin Breise

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@JennieBrooksSD @calonghurst Do we anticipate UCSD will offer vaccinations to 12-15 at their vax centers? If so, how long after EUA approval?

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@chriswhsu @LTrain18 @calonghurst @SanDiegoCounty

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@chriswhsu @LTrain18 @calonghurst @SanDiegoCounty I did some data analysis with the raw Episode Date data + update history.

On 7/1, a 7 day average with a 7 day lookback was missing about 42% of the cases that would later be recorded.

In August average missing cases are 16% (range:11-19%). Maybe OK for public policy?

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@calonghurst @SanDiegoCounty Thank you! I take it from this and the UT’s reporting today that there is an alternative daily “new case” rate that we can’t (yet) see which is “significantly” more up to date than the publicly reported daily numbers? In essence, the public daily numbers are stale?

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@LTrain18 @calonghurst @SanDiegoCounty Did you get an answer on this? Using 14 days of data from yesterday back provides a case rate of 162/100K, a far cry from the 101-105 reported in the UT today.

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@calonghurst @SanDiegoCounty The 14 day running total of County or State reported "new cases" for SD County, normalized for #/100K gives a "case rate" _far above_ what the county and state are reporting. e.g. 5468 14 day total => 162/100K compared with 105/100K reported. Any ideas?

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@Kristen_Taketa @sdut Both UT data and CA data show 14 day case rates FAR above the number required to arrive at today’s reported rate of 105/100k. Using 228 from yesterday and previous 13 days of data gives 162. What gives?

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@PaulSisson Talked to some Drs. Can't make the numbers work. Using County data, the lowest 14 day case total in the last two weeks is 6201. Divide by SD Pop (3.379MM) and multiply by 100K. Result-> 184. County Reports 120 today. Question for the next Press Briefing?

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@PaulSisson hoping you can help me with some math...

When I take the last 14 days of SD case data, apply CA metric https://t.co/thk98iPC3T I get ~190/100K population, as opposed to currently reported ~130.

Have you tried this calculation yourself? Ideas?

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@PaulSisson I thought that might be the case, but if I grab 14 days of confirmed case counts, ending 3 days ago, the result would be even higher (>200). I'm working with a local school on this and we remain mystified...

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@GeorgeScapin @MojangSupport Hey MC Support, maybe we dm you with account info, you set up with temp pws, then we can move on and buy MC?

[Devin Breise @devin_breise]

@GeorgeScapin @MojangSupport Having the same issue for about 4 days.