DGDshill 🍓🤖 @dgdshill - Twitter Profile

And now the sales pitch has quietly changed again. First BTC was electronic cash. When it could not function as cash at scale, it became “digital gold”. When that became difficult to defend, it became a “store of value”. Now the slogan is “generational wealth”. That phrase is not an economic argument. It is a recruitment device aimed at people who fear they have already missed the opportunity. It implies that merely holding an already trillion-dollar asset can still deliver the sort of returns available when it was tiny. It cannot. A 1,000-fold increase from a trillion-dollar valuation produces a quadrillion-dollar valuation. That is not “optimistic”. It is larger than the economic base from which the supposed wealth would have to come. There is no pool of outside capital remotely sufficient to buy existing holders out at those prices. Nor can everyone obtain generational wealth from holding the same non-productive asset. BTC does not generate factories, housing, food, energy, dividends or productive output. One holder’s realised gain requires another person to provide the money. The quoted price may rise, but the system cannot convert every paper gain into spendable wealth simultaneously. That is the concealed fallacy. Advocates multiply the last traded price by every coin and call the result wealth, as though the entire supply could be sold at that marginal price. It could not. Large-scale selling would collapse the price long before most holders realised anything resembling the displayed valuation. The earliest buyers could make 1,000-fold returns because the starting valuation was negligible. Buyers entering after institutional adoption and trillion-dollar capitalisation cannot repeat that trajectory. The required capital does not exist, and the underlying economy could not validate the resulting claims. So “generational wealth” is merely the latest replacement slogan. The original function failed, the previous justification became stale, and the promised return became mathematically impossible. What remains is the oldest speculative pitch in finance: buy now because someone later will supposedly pay vastly more.

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